Garden, MI Marine Weather and Tide Forecast

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Garden, MI

April 14, 2024 4:22 AM EDT (08:22 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:01 AM   Sunset 8:38 PM
Moonrise 9:52 AM   Moonset 1:59 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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LMZ261 Lake Michigan From Seul Choix Point To Rock Island Passage 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South Of A Line From Seul Choix Point To The Mackinac Bridge And North Of A Line From Charlevoix Mi To South Fox Island 5 Nm Offshore- Lake Michigan From Charlevoix To Point Betsie Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Point Betsie To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Lake Michigan From Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Pentwater To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- 318 Am Cdt Sun Apr 14 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .

Today - West winds 5 to 10 kt veering to north 10 to 15 kt. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.

Tonight - North winds 10 to 15 kt becoming northeast late in the evening, then becoming southwest after midnight becoming west late. Waves 1 to 3 ft subsiding to 1 to 2 ft.

Monday - West winds 5 to 10 kt backing to south. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Monday night - Northeast winds 5 to 10 kt increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tuesday - East winds 10 to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 25 kt. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 ft building to 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft.

Tuesday night - East winds to 30 kt increasing to gales to 35 kt. Rain showers. Waves 7 to 10 ft occasionally to 13 ft.

Wednesday - Southeast gales to 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Rain showers. Waves 6 to 9 ft occasionally to 12 ft.

Thursday - West winds 10 to 20 kt becoming southwest. Chance of rain showers. Waves 3 to 5 ft.

No data

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Garden, MI
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Area Discussion for - Marquette, MI
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Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 632 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024


- Scattered showers developing late afternoon into tonight with maybe a few thunderstorms possible along WI border and south central. Overall rain amounts 0.05 to 0.20 inch, highest across the Keweenaw and eastern UP.
- Mostly dry weather through Tuesday morning. RHs fall to around 30% in the interior west Sunday and Monday, causing some fire weather concern.
- A low pressure tracks through the Upper Great Lakes during the midweek, causing widespread rain showers.
- Chances of precipitation remain possible (~50%) into the late- week, though uncertainty exists on timing, intensity, and precipitation type.

Issued at 317 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Afternoon RAP analysis shows the weak ridge axis shifting east of the area, ahead of a weak shortwave moving along hte Ontario/MN border. Rather dry midlevel air is apparent on water vapor over the Great Lakes , but deeper moisture is present with the approaching shortwave. WAA out ahead of this, with a tight theta-e gradient draped from the UP northwest through the Arrowhead of MN, has touched off some weak convection that is finally moving across Lake Superior and the western and north-central UP UP. That said, with steep surface dewpoint depressions on the order of 20 degrees, and very dry afternoon NUCAPS soundings, weak radar returns do not appear to actually be reaching the ground. Apart from the broken cloud cover streaming in, would expect no more than some sprinkles or a stray light rain shower the rest of the afternoon.

Otherwise, temperatures are climbing well into the 50s so far across the western half of the UP, while northerly flow off of Superior is keeping the eastern UP comparatively cooler, in the lower to mid 50s. The Keweenaw, Meanwhile, is struggling even to get out of the 40s. Across the western half of the UP, we should see many spots peaking in the 60s while elsewhere temperatures aren't expected to budge much more.

Showers continue to stream into the area this evening ahead of the approaching shortwave, generally along and north of the theta-e gradient analyzed over the area. This track would largely keep showers limited to the northern half of the UP before the shortwave drops through from 03Z onward. Coverage of showers expands ahead of the associated cold front, with some dynamical support as the right- exit region of the upper jet streak becomes directed over the area.
However, showers quickly wrap up from 06Z onward as the front moves out. Weak, elevated instability apparent in soundings will lead to a chance for some rumbles of thunder across the south-central UP, with some heavier embedded rainfall amounts possible in storms.
Otherwise, would expect the highest rainfall totals overnight to be across the Keweenaw, through the north-central and eastern UP. heavy rainfall is not expected, with amounts topping out below a quarter- inch.

Skies clear out behind the passing front, but temperatures stay fairly mild overnight with most of the area bottoming out in the mid and upper 30s.

Issued at 438 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

The extended forecast starts out dry with good agreement in the model guidance of a more wet and active period for mid next week. A mid level closed low over CA on Sunday makes its way eastward over the Rockies by Monday night, lifting northeast over the Central Plains through Tuesday. Meanwhile, a trough sets up in the Canadian Prairie Provinces with a east-southeast track set for the rest of the week. These features continue their trajectories into the Upper Midwest/Great Lakes, phasing together Wednesday/Wednesday night. The resulting closed low/trough will then progress eastward through the weekend as ridging builds back over the western U.S. This is where guidance begins to really diverge, but northwest flow over the Upper Great Lakes with shortwaves riding through the region provide additional chances for precip this weekend into next week.

Starting Sunday, the shortwave fueling tonght's precip chances will be located over the northern end of Lake Superior. While model soundings show low level moisture in the lowest 5kft in the morning (also visible in PWATs with values around 0.4" to 0.5"), the shortwave's associated PVA remains north of the CWA Drier northwest flow also erodes the low level moisture, lowering PWATs by ~0.1" while q-vector divergence is noted over the UP. Overall, this likely will delay the low level clouds off Lake Superior from clearing as the shortwave departs to the southeast, but the area will stay dry.
Despite the lingering cloud cover, dry mid levels will help mix down lower dew point temps, especially in the southern half of the UP.
This would causing RHs to tank in the afternoon, especially in the interior west near the WI/MI state line where low level lapse rates approach 6-7C/km. With highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s near Lake Superior and mid 50s to possibly upper 60s in the interior, min RHs will be in the upper 20 to mid 30% range. With wind gusts around 15 to 20 mph, counties bordering WI flirt with elevated fire weather conditions. Will need to monitor these conditions as we get closer.
With sfc high pressure building in from the northwest Sunday night, dry weather and light winds continue. Temps fall into the 30s.

Dry weather holds through Monday with mid level ridging building into the region and sfc high pressure extending over the Upper Great Lakes. While the right entrance region of the upper level jet approaches the CWA from the southwest during the day, there is no significant shortwave providing PVA. Also weak q-vector convergence looks to remain outside the CWA, yielding little to no forcing for precip. This continued dry weather increases the fire weather risks as low level lapse rates approach 7-8C/km and model soundings show a significantly dry profile. Expect another warmer than normal day with highs near Lake Superior in the low to mid 50s and mid 50s to mid 60s for the interior. Lower dew points mix down again during the afternoon yielding min RHs in the mid 20 to 30% range. Luckily, fire weather concerns will be lower as winds are expected to be lighter than Sunday, staying below 15 mph. Regardless, fire weather partners should continue to monitor this for changes. Temps fall back into the 30s (coldest east) Monday night as clouds increase from the southwest ahead of the next system.

Moving on to the midweek system, the southern stream deep trough will be positioned over Plains Tuesday morning while the northern stream trough will broadly span British Columbia and Alberta. The southern trough lifts northeast through Tuesday night toward the Upper Great Lakes while the northern one forms a closed low over Saskatchewan. Cyclogenesis begins on the lee side of the Rockies on Tuesday. The sfc low then weakens as it follows the southern trough into the Great Lakes for Wednesday and Wednesday night. Dry weather looks to maintain during the day Tuesday, with showers then lifting north over the UP Tuesday night and Wednesday when the better WAA, PVA, and q-vector convergence arrives. NBM PoPs then drop off Wednesday night as dry northwest flow drastically diminishes available moisture; PWATs around 1" drop to ~0.3. However, with the current uncertainty in the guidance surrounding the trough/closed low's track east through Canada/Great Lakes late next week and into the weekend, NBM PoPs were left around 20-50% Thursday into the weekend. Winds will be worth monitoring as NBM shows gusts around 25- 35 mph Tuesday through Wednesday. Another thing to watch with the late week precipitation relative to the mid-week system will be precip type. Uncertainty remains high at this time, but GFS and EPS probabilities of at least 1 inch of snow begin increasing Thursday night into Friday with around 20-40% by 0Z Saturday.

Additional shortwaves then ride the northwest flow over the Upper Great Lakes late this weekend into early next week bringing additional chances for precip. Confidence remains low with the given spread in the guidance at this time.

Issued at 632 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the period for IWD and for most of the period at SAW. SAW will see some fog late tonight which will bring it down to MVFR for a couple hours. CMX will have rain which will help to bring in an MVFR deck by late Sun morning off of Lake Superior which will lower to IFR/LIFR by Sun afternoon.

Issued at 438 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Winds late this afternoon into the evening hours will become northeast as a weak low pressure system tracks east into the Great Lakes. However, winds are expected to remain below 20 kts through Monday with high pressure building southeast into the Upper Great Lakes Monday, holding into Monday night. Our attention then turns to a stronger low pressure system mid week. This system looks to eject off the Rockies Monday night, lifting northeast into Wisconsin by Wednesday afternoon as it weakens slightly. The low then continues northeast through the Great Lakes Wednesday night with troughing swinging behind it over Lake Superior Thursday/Friday. East gales are likely (60-90% chance of gusts exceeding 34 kts) over the west Tuesday afternoon, expanding eastward over the lake into Wednesday as the system moves through. Winds remain around 20-30 kts Wednesday night into the weekend, quickly becoming westerly behind the low Wednesday night. Winds then veer northwest Thursday night/Friday.

Upper Michigan...
Lake Superior...
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LSZ251.

Lake Michigan...

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
FPTM4 - Fairport, MI 26 mi43 min S 8.9G14 44°F
PNLM4 - 9087096 - Port Inland, MI 33 mi53 min ESE 14G17 41°F 46°F29.60
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 46 mi83 min E 5.1 29.68

Wind History for Port Inland, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KISQ28 sm27 minSE 0610 smMostly Cloudy41°F37°F87%29.61
Link to 5 minute data for KISQ

Wind History from ISQ
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Tide / Current for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of great lakes   

Gaylord, MI,

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