Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Garden, MI
July 3, 2024 1:42 AM EDT (05:42 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:00 AM Sunset 9:47 PM Moonrise 2:25 AM Moonset 7:10 PM |
LMZ261 Lake Michigan From Seul Choix Point To Rock Island Passage 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan South Of A Line From Seul Choix Point To The Mackinac Bridge And North Of A Line From Charlevoix Mi To South Fox Island 5 Nm Offshore- Lake Michigan From Charlevoix To Point Betsie Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Point Betsie To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Lake Michigan From Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- Lake Michigan From Pentwater To Manistee Mi 5 Nm Offshore To Mid Lake- 852 Pm Cdt Tue Jul 2 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .
Rest of tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt becoming south 15 to 25 kt. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft subsiding to 3 to 5 ft.
Wednesday - Southwest winds 10 to 20 kt increasing to 15 to 25 kt. Chance of showers in the morning. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Wednesday night - Southwest winds 10 to 20 kt becoming west 10 to 15 kt after midnight, then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 1 to 3 ft subsiding to 1 to 2 ft.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 10 kt becoming southwest 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thursday night - East winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Friday - East winds 10 to 15 kt increasing to 10 to 20 kt. Showers likely in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Friday night - Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt becoming north. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Saturday - Northwest winds 10 to 20 kt becoming west. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 20 kt becoming south. Waves 1 to 3 ft.
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi north - .
LMZ200
No data
No data
FXUS63 KMQT 030525 AFDMQT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 125 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
-After a brief dry break for the late afternoon and early evening, additional showers move back in tonight with around a 20% chance for thunder early on.
- Widespread southerly wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph (potentially up to 40mph in the downsloping areas near Superior) continue this afternoon, falling back into the evening.
- Low chance (~25%) of afternoon showers/storms across interior western Upper Michigan on Independence Day. Rain/isolated thunder spreads over the region Thursday night and Friday.
- While not a washout...scattered shower and thunderstorm chances continue this weekend...especially Sunday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Water vapor and RAP analysis continue to highlight an upper trough and surface low over Manitoba, and a couple of shortwaves ahead of this. The first, currently moving out of the Great Lakes, touched off our initial round of rain showers that is slowly tapering off across the eastern UP this afternoon. After a brief dry break, the next shortwave ejecting out of the Plains will bring in our next round of light showers after 00Z. Though some thunder is possible, confidence is low with rather limited instability (a few hundred j/kg of MUCAPE by the evening and capped soundings).
Meanwhile, with plenty of lower cloud cover over the area, temperatures are on the cool side with most of the area only peaking in the lower 60s. However, some spots in the western UP are struggling even to get out of the 50s. Southerly winds remain gusty, especially across the downsloping areas long Lake Superior, with a strong 40-50KT LLJ directed over the area. Gusts up to 20-30mph are common area-wide, but where downsloping becomes a factor, stronger gusts in excess of 35mph and even up to 40mph are not out of the question. Winds fall back into the evening while the jet shifts eastward out of the area.
As the next shortwave moves in, rain showers become most likely across the eastern half of the UP with areas west of M-95 possibly staying dry the rest of the night. Another quarter to half an inch of rain is possible across the eastern UP. Otherwise, temperatures shouldn't fall back too much with rain and lingering low cloud cover. Expect lows to range in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Any lingering precipitation will end pretty quickly in the east Wednesday morning as slightly drier air pushes in from the west.
There may be just enough leftover instability for an isolated shra to pop up during the afternoon across the interior but most areas will remain dry with a pleasant early summer day. Westerly winds will be gusty, 25-30 mph, across the higher terrain of the Keweenaw...diminishing late in the day.
Surface ridging builds in for Wednesday night through Independence Day. Once again an isolated shra/tsra can be ruled out in the interior west during the afternoon/early evening Thursday but most will remain dry with typical early summer high temperatures in the mid 70s to around 80.
Rain and isolated thunders chances increase late Thursday night through much of Friday, especially for the south half of the U.P. as shortwave and surface low track eastward through the lower Lakes.
Most of the rain will be east of the U.P. for any Friday night fireworks displays.
Ridging builds back in for Saturday with seasonable temperatures and nothing more than an isolated diurnal shra/tsra inland from Lake Superior. The next shortwave and weak surface front arrive on Sunday with a better chance for showers and thunderstorms...it doesn't look like a washout but definitely the wetter of the weekend days. One more shortwave passes Monday with at least small chance for shra/tsra activity before a trend towards drier and seasonable summer weather for Tuesday and beyond.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Lingering showers at SAW will taper off shortly, but IFR cigs are expected to linger through daybreak if not a bit after. Cigs should scatter out with VFR expected by mid-morning. A similar trend toward VFR should be seen at IWD/CMX, though likely earlier. Winds shift westerly during the day today, with gusts around 20 kt at IWD and approaching 30 kt at CMX.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Gusty south winds up to 30 kts will diminish over the eastern Lake this evening. Expect another round of lighter rain over the southern part of the Lake tonight which could produce patchy fog. On Wednesday...post frontal southwesterly winds should be able to climb to 25-30kts across the western half of Lake Superior, mainly between the Keweenaw and Isle Royale by Wednesday afternoon. Winds lighten Wednesday evening, and then are expected to be at or below 20kts through the weekend into early next week.
MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 125 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
KEY MESSAGES
-After a brief dry break for the late afternoon and early evening, additional showers move back in tonight with around a 20% chance for thunder early on.
- Widespread southerly wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph (potentially up to 40mph in the downsloping areas near Superior) continue this afternoon, falling back into the evening.
- Low chance (~25%) of afternoon showers/storms across interior western Upper Michigan on Independence Day. Rain/isolated thunder spreads over the region Thursday night and Friday.
- While not a washout...scattered shower and thunderstorm chances continue this weekend...especially Sunday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Water vapor and RAP analysis continue to highlight an upper trough and surface low over Manitoba, and a couple of shortwaves ahead of this. The first, currently moving out of the Great Lakes, touched off our initial round of rain showers that is slowly tapering off across the eastern UP this afternoon. After a brief dry break, the next shortwave ejecting out of the Plains will bring in our next round of light showers after 00Z. Though some thunder is possible, confidence is low with rather limited instability (a few hundred j/kg of MUCAPE by the evening and capped soundings).
Meanwhile, with plenty of lower cloud cover over the area, temperatures are on the cool side with most of the area only peaking in the lower 60s. However, some spots in the western UP are struggling even to get out of the 50s. Southerly winds remain gusty, especially across the downsloping areas long Lake Superior, with a strong 40-50KT LLJ directed over the area. Gusts up to 20-30mph are common area-wide, but where downsloping becomes a factor, stronger gusts in excess of 35mph and even up to 40mph are not out of the question. Winds fall back into the evening while the jet shifts eastward out of the area.
As the next shortwave moves in, rain showers become most likely across the eastern half of the UP with areas west of M-95 possibly staying dry the rest of the night. Another quarter to half an inch of rain is possible across the eastern UP. Otherwise, temperatures shouldn't fall back too much with rain and lingering low cloud cover. Expect lows to range in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Any lingering precipitation will end pretty quickly in the east Wednesday morning as slightly drier air pushes in from the west.
There may be just enough leftover instability for an isolated shra to pop up during the afternoon across the interior but most areas will remain dry with a pleasant early summer day. Westerly winds will be gusty, 25-30 mph, across the higher terrain of the Keweenaw...diminishing late in the day.
Surface ridging builds in for Wednesday night through Independence Day. Once again an isolated shra/tsra can be ruled out in the interior west during the afternoon/early evening Thursday but most will remain dry with typical early summer high temperatures in the mid 70s to around 80.
Rain and isolated thunders chances increase late Thursday night through much of Friday, especially for the south half of the U.P. as shortwave and surface low track eastward through the lower Lakes.
Most of the rain will be east of the U.P. for any Friday night fireworks displays.
Ridging builds back in for Saturday with seasonable temperatures and nothing more than an isolated diurnal shra/tsra inland from Lake Superior. The next shortwave and weak surface front arrive on Sunday with a better chance for showers and thunderstorms...it doesn't look like a washout but definitely the wetter of the weekend days. One more shortwave passes Monday with at least small chance for shra/tsra activity before a trend towards drier and seasonable summer weather for Tuesday and beyond.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 124 AM EDT Wed Jul 3 2024
Lingering showers at SAW will taper off shortly, but IFR cigs are expected to linger through daybreak if not a bit after. Cigs should scatter out with VFR expected by mid-morning. A similar trend toward VFR should be seen at IWD/CMX, though likely earlier. Winds shift westerly during the day today, with gusts around 20 kt at IWD and approaching 30 kt at CMX.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Gusty south winds up to 30 kts will diminish over the eastern Lake this evening. Expect another round of lighter rain over the southern part of the Lake tonight which could produce patchy fog. On Wednesday...post frontal southwesterly winds should be able to climb to 25-30kts across the western half of Lake Superior, mainly between the Keweenaw and Isle Royale by Wednesday afternoon. Winds lighten Wednesday evening, and then are expected to be at or below 20kts through the weekend into early next week.
MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KISQ
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KISQ
toggle option: (graph/table)
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KISQ
Wind History graph: ISQ
(wind in knots)
Gaylord, MI,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE