Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for De Tour Village, MI

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
Issued at 149 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Amplified troughing situated across NOAM early this afternoon. Closed upper-level low pressure situated near James Bay with deep troughing anchored over the eastern half of the continent. Ridging evident upstream across much of the western CONUS into BC/Alberta. At the surface, ~994mb low pressure stacked beneath upper low near James Bay with an Arctic cold front draped southwestward -- in the process of clearing southeast of APX's footprint in the next hour or two. Another shot of Arctic air and strong winds filtering in behind this front through at least Saturday morning before weak warm advection commences later Saturday into Sunday.

Forecast Details: Several potential hazards/impacts to note over the next 18-24 hours across parts of northern MI.

First and foremost continues to be well-advertised snow squall potential -- at this point, primarily limited to the far southeastern reaches of the forecast area as the aforementioned frontal boundary continues to clear to the southeast. Latest hi-res guidance blossoms this threat across southeast MI into OH/PA over the next few to several hours -- if this materializes, it should be pretty fun to watch from a meteorological perspective as snow shower development may somewhat replicate a summertime thunderstorm/squall line set up.

Increasingly strong northwest winds along and behind the frontal boundary. Already seeing post frontal gusts 30-40mph across much of northern MI early this afternoon. Strongest wind threat continues through this evening before gradually subsiding to an extent overnight (although still breezy). Bulk of the strongest wind gusts should vary from 30-40 mph, but wouldn't at all be shocked to see a few locally higher gusts in excess of 45-50 mph given efficient momentum transfer in strong cold advection (925mb winds in excess of 40 kts). Myriad of concerns with these winds through tonight -- isolated power outages certainly possible, but will also lead to increasing potential for blowing snow in areas that have seen at least a little snow today and across far northwest lower and parts of the eastern U.P. into tonight as lake effect snow ramps up (discussed more below). Combine these winds with rapidly tumbling temperatures, and wind chills will quickly fall below zero over the next few hours across all of northern MI before falling to colder than -15 F later this evening/overnight -- save for areas near and south of Grand Traverse Bay (closer to -10 F).

Lastly, north-northwest flow lake effect expected to ramp up late afternoon/early evening, lasting through tonight into into Saturday.
Primary impacts expected near and especially west of a Traverse City to Cadillac line with accumulation of 2-5" expected. Aforementioned winds will result in blowing/drifting snow across these areas with pockets of significant visibility reductions and hazardous travel anticipated through tonight into Saturday morning. Snow shower coverage/intensity likely to diminish through the day Saturday, but at least some lighter snow showers expected to continue in these areas. For the eastern U.P., worth monitoring western Mackinac County for locally heavier snow showers extending from Lake Superior. Forecast accum. generally 1-4" near/north/west of Naubinway with winds potentially causing blowing/drifting issues along US-2.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Issued at 149 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Weak warm advection expected across the western Great Lakes for the second half of the weekend into early next week. Favorable jet dynamics and baroclinic zone overhead should aid in propelling a series of shortwaves across the western/northern Great Lakes late in the weekend into next week.

Another chilly night anticipated Saturday night with low temperatures falling below zero across the eastern half to two thirds of the forecast area -- primarily single digits above zero for far northwest lower. Several waves pass nearby/overhead Sunday through Tuesday with periods of mainly light snow possible, perhaps some freezing drizzle at times given a lack of deep moisture. By Tuesday, longer range temp trends support high temps back to near or even several degrees above freezing across parts of the forecast area.



AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 638 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026

Conditions will improve this afternoon/evening as CIG's and VSBY's improve to VFR at KAPN, KPLN, and KCIU. MVFR and IFR conditions will continue tonight at KTVC and KMBL due to a band of snowfall establishing west of Grand Traverse Bay. Winds will remain from the NNW through the remainder of the forecast period but calm to the low teens/upper single digits by Saturday morning.

APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...Cold Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Saturday for MIZ016>018-021>024-026>030-032>036-041-042- 086>088-095>097-099.
Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Saturday for MIZ020-025-026-031-032.
MARINE...None.