Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vineland, MN
April 19, 2024 10:28 PM CDT (03:28 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:21 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 2:57 PM Moonset 3:59 AM |
Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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FXUS63 KMPX 200015 AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 715 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Freeze Warning in effect for Central and Southern MN, and western WI from midnight tonight to 7 AM Saturday morning.
- Chance for isolated-scattered snow showers this afternoon. No accumulation expected.
- Quiet weather through the weekend, with a couple of systems to move across the area at the start and end of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
An area of low pressure remains centered over Ontario this afternoon which is forecast to slowly move eastward tonight into tomorrow, thus leaving MN and WI on the western periphery of the current troughing pattern. Strong WNW flow and CAA will continue to persist through the rest of today before h850 thermal ridging tries to force warmer air back into the northern plains late this weekend.
Tonight and tomorrow... The forecast for this evening features possible isolated to scattered snow showers thanks to differential heating combined with weak omega. Areas north of east of the I-94 corridor have the best chances of seeing p-types favoring snow versus farther south being rain/snow showery mix and even some graupel. On the contrary, surface dry air, as seen on forecast soundings, will challenge how much precipitation reaches the ground versus falling as virga.
Therefore, maintained limited PoPs to 30 percent this evening.
For any snow that does reach the ground, grassy surfaces could see up to a trace to a tenth of an inch by sunrise. Prevailing stratus will begin to erode overnight thus removing our layer of insolation consequentially allowing overnight lows to reach the mid to upper 20s across much of the area. With vegetation greening up and temperatures subfreezing, Freeze Warning headlines are in effect for both central and southern MN and western WI from midnight to 7 AM Saturday morning.
Sunday... Late this weekend features high pressure, warmer temepratures and drier conditions. Winds will decrease as the Ontario low moves farther east. By Sunday, southerly flow will assist temepratures to reach near 60 degrees although min RH values in the low 20 percents across Western MN will elevate fire weather conditions. I am not expecting red flag conditions given the lack of strong wind gusts in the forecast Sunday afternoon.
Monday through through next Friday... By Monday of next week, a developing low will track over Saskatchewan and reach the northern plains by Monday night. Precip with this event is growing increasingly likely through Monday as the trough deepens over Lake Michigan Monday night into Tuesday. Given the track of this low pressure, much of MN and WI will remain on the warm side keeping us in the rain regime whereas snow chances remain pinned to the North Shore where CAA will be strongest. Tuesday's highs will be slightly cooler in the 50s before a rebound back into the 60s for the rest of the period. By the end of next week, we will have to keep our eye on a Colorado Low that looks to develop and potentially become our next rain maker. Still lots of uncertainties to hash out specifics currently.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 701 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Well, there are plenty of returns on radar, but few reports of precip are resulting from it over central and southern MN (different story for northern MN) as dry air continues to keep most of this activity as virga. Given the current lack of precip obs, kept precip out of the TAFs, though you can't rule out an occasional flurry making it to the ground overnight. The cloud cover will remain in place through the night and start to slowly clear out from northwest to southeast on Saturday, though that clearing may never reach EAU this period. As for winds, we're taking babysteps on seeing those decrease. They will continue to be gusty through Saturday, though at least they won't be topping 30 kts. Saturday will only be the 3rd day this April that MSP has failed to see wind gusts over 30 kts.
KMSP...A few flurries can't be ruled out overnight, but in general, it looks like we're done with the white stuff and hopefully that will be the case for the next 6 months!
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind WNW 10-15kts.
MON...Chc MVFR/-SHRA in aftn. Wind SW 10-15G30kts.
TUE...Chc MVFR/-SHRA. Wind N 10-15g30kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for Anoka-Blue Earth-Brown-Carver-Chippewa-Dakota-Faribault- Freeborn-Goodhue-Hennepin-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Le Sueur-Martin-McLeod-Meeker-Nicollet-Ramsey-Redwood- Renville-Rice-Scott-Sibley-Steele-Waseca-Washington- Watonwan-Wright-Yellow Medicine.
WI...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for Chippewa-Dunn-Eau Claire-Pepin-Pierce-St. Croix.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 715 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Freeze Warning in effect for Central and Southern MN, and western WI from midnight tonight to 7 AM Saturday morning.
- Chance for isolated-scattered snow showers this afternoon. No accumulation expected.
- Quiet weather through the weekend, with a couple of systems to move across the area at the start and end of next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
An area of low pressure remains centered over Ontario this afternoon which is forecast to slowly move eastward tonight into tomorrow, thus leaving MN and WI on the western periphery of the current troughing pattern. Strong WNW flow and CAA will continue to persist through the rest of today before h850 thermal ridging tries to force warmer air back into the northern plains late this weekend.
Tonight and tomorrow... The forecast for this evening features possible isolated to scattered snow showers thanks to differential heating combined with weak omega. Areas north of east of the I-94 corridor have the best chances of seeing p-types favoring snow versus farther south being rain/snow showery mix and even some graupel. On the contrary, surface dry air, as seen on forecast soundings, will challenge how much precipitation reaches the ground versus falling as virga.
Therefore, maintained limited PoPs to 30 percent this evening.
For any snow that does reach the ground, grassy surfaces could see up to a trace to a tenth of an inch by sunrise. Prevailing stratus will begin to erode overnight thus removing our layer of insolation consequentially allowing overnight lows to reach the mid to upper 20s across much of the area. With vegetation greening up and temperatures subfreezing, Freeze Warning headlines are in effect for both central and southern MN and western WI from midnight to 7 AM Saturday morning.
Sunday... Late this weekend features high pressure, warmer temepratures and drier conditions. Winds will decrease as the Ontario low moves farther east. By Sunday, southerly flow will assist temepratures to reach near 60 degrees although min RH values in the low 20 percents across Western MN will elevate fire weather conditions. I am not expecting red flag conditions given the lack of strong wind gusts in the forecast Sunday afternoon.
Monday through through next Friday... By Monday of next week, a developing low will track over Saskatchewan and reach the northern plains by Monday night. Precip with this event is growing increasingly likely through Monday as the trough deepens over Lake Michigan Monday night into Tuesday. Given the track of this low pressure, much of MN and WI will remain on the warm side keeping us in the rain regime whereas snow chances remain pinned to the North Shore where CAA will be strongest. Tuesday's highs will be slightly cooler in the 50s before a rebound back into the 60s for the rest of the period. By the end of next week, we will have to keep our eye on a Colorado Low that looks to develop and potentially become our next rain maker. Still lots of uncertainties to hash out specifics currently.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
Issued at 701 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024
Well, there are plenty of returns on radar, but few reports of precip are resulting from it over central and southern MN (different story for northern MN) as dry air continues to keep most of this activity as virga. Given the current lack of precip obs, kept precip out of the TAFs, though you can't rule out an occasional flurry making it to the ground overnight. The cloud cover will remain in place through the night and start to slowly clear out from northwest to southeast on Saturday, though that clearing may never reach EAU this period. As for winds, we're taking babysteps on seeing those decrease. They will continue to be gusty through Saturday, though at least they won't be topping 30 kts. Saturday will only be the 3rd day this April that MSP has failed to see wind gusts over 30 kts.
KMSP...A few flurries can't be ruled out overnight, but in general, it looks like we're done with the white stuff and hopefully that will be the case for the next 6 months!
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SUN...VFR. Wind WNW 10-15kts.
MON...Chc MVFR/-SHRA in aftn. Wind SW 10-15G30kts.
TUE...Chc MVFR/-SHRA. Wind N 10-15g30kts.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for Anoka-Blue Earth-Brown-Carver-Chippewa-Dakota-Faribault- Freeborn-Goodhue-Hennepin-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-Le Sueur-Martin-McLeod-Meeker-Nicollet-Ramsey-Redwood- Renville-Rice-Scott-Sibley-Steele-Waseca-Washington- Watonwan-Wright-Yellow Medicine.
WI...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 8 AM CDT Saturday for Chippewa-Dunn-Eau Claire-Pepin-Pierce-St. Croix.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBRD BRAINERD LAKES RGNL,MN | 22 sm | 35 min | WNW 15G26 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 30°F | 21°F | 69% | 30.11 |
Minneapolis, MN,
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