Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vineland, MN

DISCUSSION
Issued at 331 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025

Broken line of storms has fired along a cold front which is pushing into central Minnesota and western Wisconsin at this time. So far severe reports have been limited, although a few funnels/landspout-like tornadoes have been reported in central and western Minnesota. As storms push into western Wisconsin they will encounter an environment more favorable for robust storms as these areas have warmed into the lower 80s and midlevel shear is increasing. This should allow storms to grow out of the minisupercell form they had taken earlier into larger severe supercells capable of large hail and a few tornadoes. Earlier tornadoes across central/western MN occurred with storms that developed directly on a boundary draped across that region, while storms a bit further east and displaced from that boundary have yet to produce confirmed tornadoes. Radar shows this boundary extends southeastward and is beginning to intersect the line of storms just east and southeast of the MSP metro, and this part of western Wisconsin will be the area to watch for additional tornado development this afternoon. Given the more robust nature of these storms, stronger tornadoes will be a very real threat along with large hail 2"+.

These storms will continue to push into central/southern Wisconsin this evening at which point our attention will turn to gusty southwest winds moving in behind the cold front. Cold air advection overnight will allow gusts to continue through the night and early morning, continuing into much of Friday. For this reason the current wind advisory was extended overnight and through the day Friday. As was the case this afternoon, the advisory includes southern and western Minnesota where gusts to 50 mph are possible.

Friday looks to be a rather miserable day weather-wise, as in addition to the wind expect prolonged periods of light rain and temperatures struggling to rise out of the 50s for many areas.
While rain will clear out Friday night, below average temperatures will persist into much of next week, along with more widespread rain chances Monday and Tuesday.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Broken to overcast MVFR cigs will continue to slowly spread east throughout the TAF period as the surface low over eastern ND travels east also. Incoming wrap-around moisture to the west of the low (and moisture pooling near the low) will also cause a gradual reduction to low-end MVFR/IFR at all terminals from west to east. Rounds of rain showers are also likely as the surface low passes over MN today, with the greatest coverage looking most likely during the morning and afternoon for MN and this evening for WI. Visibilities should predominantly be above 3sm, though, brief periods below 3sm are possible. But, have not included IFR visibilities in the TAF at this time. Winds will become southwesterly, then westerly, to northwesterly as the surface low moves over central MN and into WI today. Strongest winds are expected over MN where sustained values of 15-25 knots and gusts of 25-35 knots are expected. Southwesterly LLWS of 40-45 knots is also possible this early this morning until sunrise.

KMSP...Added southwesterly LLWS of 45 knots from 08-13Z this morning. Southwesterly winds strengthen tonight into this afternoon with gusts reaching 30-35 knots during the daytime hours. MVFR cigs and showers begin after 18Z with the heaviest rain expected from 21-02Z. IFR cigs look likely late Friday evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ SAT.. MVFR mrng cigs likely. Wind NW 10-15G20-25 kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind NE 5-10 kts.
MON...Mainly VFR. Chance MVFR/SHRA. Wind E 10-15G25kts.

MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Blue Earth-Brown- Chippewa-Faribault-Freeborn-Lac Qui Parle-Le Sueur-Martin- Nicollet-Redwood-Renville-Sibley-Steele-Waseca-Watonwan- Yellow Medicine.
WI...None.