Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ashland, ME

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
Update...
An upper level disturbance exits early tonight. High pressure then builds across the region overnight. Expect mostly clear/partly cloudy skies early tonight, with clear skies overnight. Low temperatures will range from around 30 to the mid 30s north, to the upper 30s to around 40 Downeast. Have updated to adjust for current conditions along with expected overnight temperatures and clouds.

Previous Discussion...
A large cutoff low remains over the southeastern United States while a 500mb ridge slowly works in over New England from the southwest basically pinched in the flow. Growing season hasn't truly begun yet across the north 1/2 of the CWA hence no headlines but expecting patchy to areas of frost in those locations.

Tomorrow the pinched off 500mb ridge works into the area as surface high pressure slides out over the Gulf of Maine. Winds light and variable will be turning S by midday. Warming atmosphere will result in highs in the upper 60s north with upper 60s to low 70s for the Central Highlands, Bangor Region and interior Downeast. A afternoon seabreeze will turn things cooler at the shoreline with low 60s expected in these locations. Moisture advects in aloft from the SW expecting some high clouds in the afternoon. Tomorrow will be once again a dry day with afternoon relative humidities dropping to 25-35 percent away from the coastline. Thankfully in terms of fire weather the winds will be light less than 10mph.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
High pressure at the sfc and aloft will dominate the weather through Thursday morning. Skies will be clear Tuesday night and sunny on Wednesday with southerly flow bringing warm advection to all areas.
High temps over northern areas will be around 80 and into the lower 80s, but still 2-3 degrees shy of records at Caribou and Frenchville. The immediate shoreline and outer islands expected to remain in the lower 50s during the day but temps will quickly rise just to the north of Route 1.

H5 trof will begin to lift thru the northeast U.S. Thursday evening with isolated showers moving into wrn zones mid-late morning. Fcst temps for Thursday will be a degree or two lower than Wednesday, even though low temps Wednesday night will only settle out in the lower-middle 50s. Increasing clouds will prevent a 35-degree diurnal range as experienced on Wednesday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
S/wv will initially rotate thru the area Thursday night and will continue slight chance for showers over the region. Occluded front will begin to approach from Canada Friday evening with good chance for showers, and possibly thunderstorms ahead of the boundary in the afternoon.

Unsettled wx will continue thru the end of the period as closed H5 low sets up over the northeast. At this time it looks like the best chance for widespread wetting rains will be on Sunday as coastal low develops in response to stronger shortwave being flung around closed low.

AVIATION /22Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR tonight through Tuesday. West/northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming variable 5 to 10 knots tonight.
Variable winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south/southeast Tuesday.

SHORT TERM: Tuesday night-Thursday night...VFR. SSW 5-10kts becoming light S Thursday night.

Friday-Saturday.. MVFR in showers, thunderstorms possible in the afternoon. SSE 5-10kts.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels tonight through Tuesday.

SHORT TERM: Winds and seas remain below small craft levels through the early part of the weekend. Seas ranging from 2 to 3 feet.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.