Wednesday, April1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:09AMSunset 8:04PM Wednesday April 1, 2020 4:41 AM ADT (07:41 UTC) Moonrise 11:07AMMoonset 2:26AM Illumination 58% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
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location: 46.62, -68.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 010629 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 229 AM EDT Wed Apr 1 2020

SYNOPSIS. An upper level low will remain across the region through Thursday. Intensifying low pressure will track south of the Gulf of Maine Wednesday night through Thursday. High pressure will build down from the north later Friday into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. Low pressure well south of Nova Scotia combined with high pressure over northeastern Canada will back some moisture in from the Maritimes today bringing spotty showers, mostly across the north. Boundary layer temperature are expected to be cold enough for snow showers through the morning. Milder air backing in from the Maritimes combined with diurnal heating will allow low level temps to warm enough to turn showers to rain showers this afternoon. Showers will likely taper off this evening as the moisture slides northwest of the area around a large upper low centered to our southwest and a pocket of drier air briefly circulates through. Meanwhile, a strong shortwave sliding off the Mid-Atlantic coast will combine with the low off Nova Scotia to intensity the low tonight. A new spoke of moisture wrapping westward around this low will push into the area later tonight. By then, warmer air backing in from the east will have made the atmosphere warm enough for just rain showers across the area. The wind will increase from the northeast later tonight as the big low south of Nova Scotia intensifies. The strongest winds will be along the coast.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. An upper low off the New England coast Thu will have an upper trough extending back into NY State and western Quebec. The low will meander around and slowly drift to the south Friday. Ridging across the northern Maritimes will build into the region by Friday. Moisture will continue to move out of the Maritimes and into the FA Thu. The airmass will be mild enough to support rain showers. The showers are expected to diminish Thu night from north to south. Friday will be a drier day as high pressure builds in from the north. There will be robust gradient across the region during the short term with deep surface low pressure to the south and high pressure to the north. This will lead a gusty northeast wind across the area with the strongest wind along the coast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. High pressure builds into the region Fri night and Sat with diminishing wind and a clear to partly cloudy sky. The next weather system begins to approach from the west Sunday with an increase in clouds. There remains model and model ensemble spread as we head into early next week. The general idea appears to be that a weak cold front crosses the area Sun night into Mon morning with scattered rain showers which would be followed by weak high pressure and dry weather for Tuesday. There are some ensemble members that try to develop a secondary low somewhere along the New England coast that could enhance the shower activity or cause there to be a steadier period of rain or even some wet snow, but confidence on anything more than scattered showers remains low.

Temperatures during the long term are expected to be above average, but overall not a bad pattern with snow melt in the north during the day that will slow each night, which eases any hydro concerns associated with spring break-up for the time being. Lower dew points during the day during the weekend are an added plus.

AVIATION /04Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. NEAR TERM: Today: IFR To MVFR this morning then MVFR this afternoon. North winds.

Tonight: MVFR this evening lowering to IFR. Increasing NE winds.

SHORT TERM: Thu and Thu night . Predominately IFR in low clouds and rain. LLWS likely especially towards BGR and BHB.

Fri . MVFR ceilings with a gusty northeast wind with gusts to 30 kt.

Fr night . MVFR improving to VFR with diminishing wind.

Sat & Sun . VFR.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: A SCA will continue for the offshore waters today and tonight, though conditions may briefly drop below SCA for a few hours today. Winds will begin increasing later tonight in response to a large and strong storm system developing around 300 NM south of Nova Scotia.

SHORT TERM: A gale watch has been issued for the coastal waters for Thursday and Friday. The gale watch begins on the intra-coastal waters Thursday night. Gales are expected due to an intense area of low pressure to the south of the waters with high pressure to the north. A few gusts to storm force can't be ruled out on the coastal waters, but confidence is not high enough for a storm watch at this time. The gales are expected to diminish Friday night, but small craft advisory conditions will continue into Saturday, and the seas will likely not subside to below 5 feet until sometime Saturday night. Astronomical tides are fairly low late this week, but can't rule out a little splash over around the times of high tide Friday, but still time to monitor for any possible future statements.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . Gale Watch from Thursday evening through Friday afternoon for ANZ052. Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Friday afternoon for ANZ050-051.



Near Term . Bloomer Short Term . CB Long Term . CB Aviation . Bloomer/CB Marine . Bloomer/CB


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi45 minN 1010.00 miOvercast33°F28°F82%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPQI

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN10N9N11CalmCalmN8N9N9N9NE14
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NE16--NE11N9N10N12N10N10N10
1 day agoE5E6E6E8NE7NE8NE4NE7NE9N10N7N7N7CalmNE8NE8NE6N5N8N7N5N6N7N8
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmNE3NE3S5SE10SE9SE11S7SE6SE7SE6E4SE11
G21
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SE5SE7SE8E8E8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.