Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Newberry, MI
July 3, 2024 1:27 AM EDT (05:27 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:00 AM Sunset 9:47 PM Moonrise 2:19 AM Moonset 7:15 PM |
LSZ250 Expires:202406291800;;146845 Fzus73 Kmqt 291727 Mwsmqt
marine weather statement national weather service marquette mi 127 pm edt Sat jun 29 2024
lsz249-250-266-291800- 127 pm edt Sat jun 29 2024
a marine weather statement has been issued for the following areas - . Lake superior east of a line from manitou island to marquette mi and west of a line from grand marais mi to the us/canadian border beyond 5nm from shore - . Marquette to munising mi - . Munising to grand marais mi - .
at 126 pm edt, doppler radar indicated a strong Thunderstorm, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. This Thunderstorm was located near shot point, or near shelter bay, moving east at 30 knots.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until this storm passes.
&&
lat - .lon 4643 8677 4640 8690 4648 8702 4646 8718 4656 8716 4662 8653 4644 8655 4637 8665
marine weather statement national weather service marquette mi 127 pm edt Sat jun 29 2024
lsz249-250-266-291800- 127 pm edt Sat jun 29 2024
a marine weather statement has been issued for the following areas - . Lake superior east of a line from manitou island to marquette mi and west of a line from grand marais mi to the us/canadian border beyond 5nm from shore - . Marquette to munising mi - . Munising to grand marais mi - .
at 126 pm edt, doppler radar indicated a strong Thunderstorm, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. This Thunderstorm was located near shot point, or near shelter bay, moving east at 30 knots.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until this storm passes.
&&
lat - .lon 4643 8677 4640 8690 4648 8702 4646 8718 4656 8716 4662 8653 4644 8655 4637 8665
LSZ200
No data
No data
FXUS63 KMQT 022310 AFDMQT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 710 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
-After a brief dry break for the late afternoon and early evening, additional showers move back in tonight with around a 20% chance for thunder early on.
- Widespread southerly wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph (potentially up to 40mph in the downsloping areas near Superior) continue this afternoon, falling back into the evening.
- Low chance (~25%) of afternoon showers/storms across interior western Upper Michigan on Independence Day. Rain/isolated thunder spreads over the region Thursday night and Friday.
- While not a washout...scattered shower and thunderstorm chances continue this weekend...especially Sunday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Water vapor and RAP analysis continue to highlight an upper trough and surface low over Manitoba, and a couple of shortwaves ahead of this. The first, currently moving out of the Great Lakes, touched off our initial round of rain showers that is slowly tapering off across the eastern UP this afternoon. After a brief dry break, the next shortwave ejecting out of the Plains will bring in our next round of light showers after 00Z. Though some thunder is possible, confidence is low with rather limited instability (a few hundred j/kg of MUCAPE by the evening and capped soundings).
Meanwhile, with plenty of lower cloud cover over the area, temperatures are on the cool side with most of the area only peaking in the lower 60s. However, some spots in the western UP are struggling even to get out of the 50s. Southerly winds remain gusty, especially across the downsloping areas long Lake Superior, with a strong 40-50KT LLJ directed over the area. Gusts up to 20-30mph are common area-wide, but where downsloping becomes a factor, stronger gusts in excess of 35mph and even up to 40mph are not out of the question. Winds fall back into the evening while the jet shifts eastward out of the area.
As the next shortwave moves in, rain showers become most likely across the eastern half of the UP with areas west of M-95 possibly staying dry the rest of the night. Another quarter to half an inch of rain is possible across the eastern UP. Otherwise, temperatures shouldn't fall back too much with rain and lingering low cloud cover. Expect lows to range in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Any lingering precipitation will end pretty quickly in the east Wednesday morning as slightly drier air pushes in from the west.
There may be just enough leftover instability for an isolated shra to pop up during the afternoon across the interior but most areas will remain dry with a pleasant early summer day. Westerly winds will be gusty, 25-30 mph, across the higher terrain of the Keweenaw...diminishing late in the day.
Surface ridging builds in for Wednesday night through Independence Day. Once again an isolated shra/tsra can be ruled out in the interior west during the afternoon/early evening Thursday but most will remain dry with typical early summer high temperatures in the mid 70s to around 80.
Rain and isolated thunders chances increase late Thursday night through much of Friday, especially for the south half of the U.P. as shortwave and surface low track eastward through the lower Lakes.
Most of the rain will be east of the U.P. for any Friday night fireworks displays.
Ridging builds back in for Saturday with seasonable temperatures and nothing more than an isolated diurnal shra/tsra inland from Lake Superior. The next shortwave and weak surface front arrive on Sunday with a better chance for showers and thunderstorms...it doesn't look like a washout but definitely the wetter of the weekend days. One more shortwave passes Monday with at least small chance for shra/tsra activity before a trend towards drier and seasonable summer weather for Tuesday and beyond.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 710 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
MVFR cigs in place to start the 00Z TAF cycle. Area of rain is approaching the WI/MI border from the SW. This rain will continue NE, steadiest at SAW with vsby likely falling to MVFR and cigs to IFR after around 04Z, persisting through around 11Z before cigs lift to MVFR and scatter out later Wednesday morning. IWD/SAW will be more on the edge of the steadier rain, with MVFR expected to hold there, trending to VFR as this wave passes late tonight. An isolated ts cannot be ruled out at the terminals between 03-09Z, but probs not high enough for inclusion in the TAFs. Southerly winds will remain gusty to around 20 kt for the first few hours of the TAF period at SAW/IWD before diminishing. Winds shift westerly during the day Wednesday, with gusts around 20 kt at IWD and approaching 30 kt at CMX.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Gusty south winds up to 30 kts will diminish over the eastern Lake this evening. Expect another round of lighter rain over the southern part of the Lake tonight which could produce patchy fog. On Wednesday...post frontal southwesterly winds should be able to climb to 25-30kts across the western half of Lake Superior, mainly between the Keweenaw and Isle Royale by Wednesday afternoon. Winds lighten Wednesday evening, and then are expected to be at or below 20kts through the weekend into early next week.
MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Upper Michigan...
Beach Hazards Statement until 11 PM EDT this evening for MIZ014.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Marquette MI 710 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
KEY MESSAGES
-After a brief dry break for the late afternoon and early evening, additional showers move back in tonight with around a 20% chance for thunder early on.
- Widespread southerly wind gusts of 25 to 30 mph (potentially up to 40mph in the downsloping areas near Superior) continue this afternoon, falling back into the evening.
- Low chance (~25%) of afternoon showers/storms across interior western Upper Michigan on Independence Day. Rain/isolated thunder spreads over the region Thursday night and Friday.
- While not a washout...scattered shower and thunderstorm chances continue this weekend...especially Sunday.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Issued at 307 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Water vapor and RAP analysis continue to highlight an upper trough and surface low over Manitoba, and a couple of shortwaves ahead of this. The first, currently moving out of the Great Lakes, touched off our initial round of rain showers that is slowly tapering off across the eastern UP this afternoon. After a brief dry break, the next shortwave ejecting out of the Plains will bring in our next round of light showers after 00Z. Though some thunder is possible, confidence is low with rather limited instability (a few hundred j/kg of MUCAPE by the evening and capped soundings).
Meanwhile, with plenty of lower cloud cover over the area, temperatures are on the cool side with most of the area only peaking in the lower 60s. However, some spots in the western UP are struggling even to get out of the 50s. Southerly winds remain gusty, especially across the downsloping areas long Lake Superior, with a strong 40-50KT LLJ directed over the area. Gusts up to 20-30mph are common area-wide, but where downsloping becomes a factor, stronger gusts in excess of 35mph and even up to 40mph are not out of the question. Winds fall back into the evening while the jet shifts eastward out of the area.
As the next shortwave moves in, rain showers become most likely across the eastern half of the UP with areas west of M-95 possibly staying dry the rest of the night. Another quarter to half an inch of rain is possible across the eastern UP. Otherwise, temperatures shouldn't fall back too much with rain and lingering low cloud cover. Expect lows to range in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Any lingering precipitation will end pretty quickly in the east Wednesday morning as slightly drier air pushes in from the west.
There may be just enough leftover instability for an isolated shra to pop up during the afternoon across the interior but most areas will remain dry with a pleasant early summer day. Westerly winds will be gusty, 25-30 mph, across the higher terrain of the Keweenaw...diminishing late in the day.
Surface ridging builds in for Wednesday night through Independence Day. Once again an isolated shra/tsra can be ruled out in the interior west during the afternoon/early evening Thursday but most will remain dry with typical early summer high temperatures in the mid 70s to around 80.
Rain and isolated thunders chances increase late Thursday night through much of Friday, especially for the south half of the U.P. as shortwave and surface low track eastward through the lower Lakes.
Most of the rain will be east of the U.P. for any Friday night fireworks displays.
Ridging builds back in for Saturday with seasonable temperatures and nothing more than an isolated diurnal shra/tsra inland from Lake Superior. The next shortwave and weak surface front arrive on Sunday with a better chance for showers and thunderstorms...it doesn't look like a washout but definitely the wetter of the weekend days. One more shortwave passes Monday with at least small chance for shra/tsra activity before a trend towards drier and seasonable summer weather for Tuesday and beyond.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 710 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
MVFR cigs in place to start the 00Z TAF cycle. Area of rain is approaching the WI/MI border from the SW. This rain will continue NE, steadiest at SAW with vsby likely falling to MVFR and cigs to IFR after around 04Z, persisting through around 11Z before cigs lift to MVFR and scatter out later Wednesday morning. IWD/SAW will be more on the edge of the steadier rain, with MVFR expected to hold there, trending to VFR as this wave passes late tonight. An isolated ts cannot be ruled out at the terminals between 03-09Z, but probs not high enough for inclusion in the TAFs. Southerly winds will remain gusty to around 20 kt for the first few hours of the TAF period at SAW/IWD before diminishing. Winds shift westerly during the day Wednesday, with gusts around 20 kt at IWD and approaching 30 kt at CMX.
MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Tue Jul 2 2024
Gusty south winds up to 30 kts will diminish over the eastern Lake this evening. Expect another round of lighter rain over the southern part of the Lake tonight which could produce patchy fog. On Wednesday...post frontal southwesterly winds should be able to climb to 25-30kts across the western half of Lake Superior, mainly between the Keweenaw and Isle Royale by Wednesday afternoon. Winds lighten Wednesday evening, and then are expected to be at or below 20kts through the weekend into early next week.
MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Upper Michigan...
Beach Hazards Statement until 11 PM EDT this evening for MIZ014.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
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Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KERY
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KERY
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KERY
Wind History graph: ERY
(wind in knots)
Marquette, MI,
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