Wednesday, January22, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Eagle Lake, ME

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 4:32PM Wednesday January 22, 2020 6:19 PM EST (23:19 UTC) Moonrise 6:39AMMoonset 3:18PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Eagle Lake, ME
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location: 47.13, -70.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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FXUS61 KCAR 222305 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 605 PM EST Wed Jan 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. Weak high pressure to build across the region tonight followed by a cold front on Thursday. The cold front will push south across the area Thursday night into early Friday morning. Low pressure will approach area from the south on Saturday and track along the Downeast coast Sunday. The low is expected to move east of the region by Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/. 6 PM Update . A corridor of clearer skies has moved into the east allowing some valley areas to cool a bit more quickly than higher elevations so adjusted temps a bit to reflect this. Otherwise, no major changes this hour.

WAA continues through the night w/lower clouds holding on longer given the light south winds and warming aloft. Temps have warmed nicely into the 20s north and upper 20s and lower 30s central and downeast areas. UA showed the upper flat ridge building over the region. This ridge is expected to pass to the east tonight. Leaned close to the NAM12 and NBM for sky setup keeping more clouds over the region into late evening, especially across the northern and western areas. Further s, clearing will be there through much of the evening allowing for temps to drop off quicKLY. The clouds across the northern areas will keep temps up. Model soundings do show WSW flow to take hold later at night allowing for some mixing to lead to some partial clearing. This clearing however will be short lived as more clouds move in ahead of a weak cold front by early Thursday morning.

For Thursday, the WSW flow continues w/the weak cold front slated to slide across the region during the day. There is some weak forcing noted by the NAM and GEM as well as the RAP to support some scattered snow showers/flurries mainly across the far n and w during the morning hrs. Some warming ahead of the front shown by the model guidance and supported by today's UA to support daytime temps pushing well into the 30s across the north w/near 40F for southern areas. Used a blend of the guidance(GEM/NAM) to w/low- mid 30s northern 1/2 of the CWA w/upper 30s to lower 30s central and downeast areas.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/. A dry cold front stretching from a low north of Labrador will cross Thursday night into early Friday morning. Clouds will limit lows to the upper teens to lower 20s. There's not a lot of cold air advection behind the front and highs on Friday will only be around 5F colder than Thursday. High pressure behind the cold front in Quebec will sink southward towards the Gaspe Peninsula and New Brunswick. As this happens, a moist low level east flow will develop with a lot of low clouds developing as early as Friday afternoon . and certainly Friday night into Saturday. There may be enough clearing on Friday night in Aroostook County to generate lows in the single digits and teens, but in the 20s elsewhere under cloud cover. The cloud cover will continue for the entire area on Saturday as cold air damming sets up ahead of the approaching low from southern New England. This means Saturday's highs will be several degrees cooler than Friday. In general, expect precip to hold off the entire area during Saturday as an upper ridge builds.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The long term forecast is dominated by a vertically stacked low pressure system that will slowly meander eastward from the Ohio River Valley . or eastern Great Lakes region Saturday evening towards the Midcoast by Sunday evening. A triple point low is expected to form along the occlusion near New York City Saturday evening as a shortwave rotates around the upper low. In general, the trend with today's 12Z guidance has pushed the occlusion further north through the forecast area on Sunday. As a result, have bumped up PoPs through the event. There's not a lot of cold air aloft in place with the onset of the event, but there is cold air damming which makes mixed precip possible. The 22/12Z GFS remains the coldest guidance while this morning's ECMWF and GEMS are considerably warmer. Blended GFS and ECMWF thermal profiles to yield the mixed precip towards Bangor and the Downeast region Saturday night into Sunday morning with rain on the coast and all snow towards Aroostook County. The precip is forecast to transition towards snow Sunday afternoon and evening. Overall confidence in P-types is not high. The occlusion is currently expected to slowly weaken as it propagates northward towards Aroostook County later Sunday, but that could change as we get a better handle on shortwaves rotating around the closed low Saturday night into Sunday night. The speed of the cut-off low out of the area is also uncertain and have maintained PoPs into Monday. The remainder of the period looks dry with above normal temperatures.

AVIATION /23Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/. NEAR TERM: MVFR cigs across northern terminals, mainly n of KHUL through about 05z and then cigs look like they will lift to VFR into Thu. There is a risk of TEMPO IFR this evening mainly n of KCAR. VFR expected for KBGR/KBHB into Thursday. Another item to consider into late tonight will be some LLWS mainly for the northern terminals given the 35-40 kt WSW flow around 2-3k ft.

SHORT TERM: Thursday night into Friday morning . MVFR tempo IFR cigs north of HUL . otherwise VFR.

Friday afternoon and evening . VFR

Friday night into Saturday night . Becoming IFR towards BGR and BHB. Tempo MVFR cigs further north.

Saturday night into Monday morning . IFR vis at times in snow. Chance of freezing rain later Saturday night into Sunday morning at BGR.

MARINE. NEAR TERM: No headlines expected this term. SW winds are forecast to increase to sustained 10-15 kt w/gusts hitting 20-25 kt tonight into early Thursday. This will mainly be across the outer zones. Seas 2-3 ft into Thursday.

SHORT TERM: Continue to expect a gale Saturday night into Sunday. An SCA may be required later Monday afternoon into Monday night.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. ME . None. MARINE . None.



Near Term . Hewitt/MCB Short Term . MCW Long Term . MCW Aviation . Hewitt/MCW Marine . Hewitt/MCW


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME57 mi64 minVar 3 mi24°F19°F84%1025.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for K40B

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Bonsecours, Quebec
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Bonsecours
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Wed -- 03:20 AM EST     4.29 meters High Tide
Wed -- 05:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:40 AM EST     1.07 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 02:18 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:40 PM EST     5.10 meters High Tide
Wed -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 10:20 PM EST     0.72 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.23.13.94.34.23.73.12.51.91.21.11.62.53.44.455.14.63.93.22.31.40.80.9

Tide / Current Tables for St-Jean-Port-Joli, Quebec
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St-Jean-Port-Joli
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Wed -- 03:06 AM EST     4.19 meters High Tide
Wed -- 05:38 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:02 AM EST     1.10 meters Low Tide
Wed -- 02:17 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 03:13 PM EST     5.16 meters High Tide
Wed -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:54 PM EST     0.63 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.53.33.94.243.62.92.11.41.11.42.1344.85.254.53.72.71.70.90.61

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.