Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ely, MN
 | Sunrise 5:36 AM Sunset 8:40 PM Moonrise 8:14 PM Moonset 4:03 AM |
LSZ142 Expires:202504290445;;637538 Fzus73 Kdlh 290341 Mwsdlh
marine weather statement national weather service duluth mn 1041 pm cdt Mon apr 28 2025
lsz140>142-150-162-290445- 1041 pm cdt Mon apr 28 2025
a marine weather statement has been issued for the following areas - . Grand marais to taconite harbor mn - . Grand portage to grand marais mn - . Lake superior west of a line from saxon harbor wi to grand portage mn beyond 5nm - . Outer apostle islands beyond 5 nm from mainland - . Taconite harbor to silver bay harbor mn - .
at 1040 pm cdt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from mouth of the cross river to 10 nm south of sugar loaf cove to 6 nm north of sand island, moving east at 40 knots.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass.
&&
lat - .lon 4740 8995 4710 9015 4703 9116 4731 9100 4754 9095 4772 9055 4788 8992
marine weather statement national weather service duluth mn 1041 pm cdt Mon apr 28 2025
lsz140>142-150-162-290445- 1041 pm cdt Mon apr 28 2025
a marine weather statement has been issued for the following areas - . Grand marais to taconite harbor mn - . Grand portage to grand marais mn - . Lake superior west of a line from saxon harbor wi to grand portage mn beyond 5nm - . Outer apostle islands beyond 5 nm from mainland - . Taconite harbor to silver bay harbor mn - .
at 1040 pm cdt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds to around 30 knots and small hail. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from mouth of the cross river to 10 nm south of sugar loaf cove to 6 nm north of sand island, moving east at 40 knots.
precautionary/preparedness actions - .
mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass.
&&
lat - .lon 4740 8995 4710 9015 4703 9116 4731 9100 4754 9095 4772 9055 4788 8992
LSZ100
No data
No data
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ely, MN
NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS63 KDLH 121125 AFDDLH
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 625 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Unseasonably warm and dry conditions persist through early this week.
- Red Flag Warnings are in effect across the Northland today.
Additional fire weather alerts may be needed for Tuesday.
- A pattern shift occurs later this week, with hot temperatures ending and precipitation chances returning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
A broad upper-level ridge remains in place over the High Plains and Great Lakes this morning while a cutoff low resides over Louisiana. This pseudo Rex Block is forecast to slowly break down as a significant trough moves into the Rockies Tuesday and Wednesday. This will keep strong southerly warm air advection in place over the Northland. Record and near-record high temperatures are forecast again today. Southerly winds are forecast and will be gusty, though not as strong as Sunday.
Critical fire weather conditions are forecast with minimum RH values in the teens except along the North Shore where a lake breeze will keep the drier conditions farther inland. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the entire Northland. High temperatures today will be in the middle 80s to low 90s, except for portions of the Arrowhead where the lake breeze will keep temps a little cooler.
Conditions remain similar on Tuesday with very dry air in place. Wind gusts return and will likely be a little weaker once again. Highs may be a little warmer, particularly over northwest Wisconsin. Highs will be in the middle 80s to low 90s across the area, with the exception of the Arrowhead.
As the blocking pattern begins to break down on Wednesday, temperatures will trend a bit cooler and winds will be less gusty. The strongest warm air advection will be shunted farther west as the upper low moves into the Ohio River Valley. Near- critical fire conditions may persist, but widespread critical values appear unlikely.
As the upper-level trough progresses farther east on Thursday, precipitation chances return to the Northland. We will see a chance of showers and thunderstorms return to the region. A few strong to severe storms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening. The probability of seeing more than one-quarter inch of rain is more than 80% across the Northland Thursday and Friday.
The probability of a half inch or more is greater than 50%.
A new cutoff low is forecast to develop in the trough Thursday night and Friday and will slowly migrate northeastward into the Canadian Maritimes by Sunday afternoon. A ribbon of colder air aloft will wrap into the system from the west which may result in some "conversational" snow late Thursday night and Friday.
Accumulations should be limited to grassy areas with little to no impact on travel. Temperatures will trend below normal Friday through the weekend.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 625 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Low-level wind shear is forecast through about 15Z. A strong south-southwesterly jet with wind speeds around 50 knots will weaken and the altitude of the stronger winds will increase as the mixed layer deepens quickly this morning, ending the LLWS threat. Winds will be gusty again today and should weaken around 13.02Z tonight. LLWS will redevelop at INL, HIB, and BRD tonight.
MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Gusty southerly winds will persist along the South Shore until around 7 AM. The cold water temperatures will continue to create a stable boundary layer over the water farther north which will limit the wind gust potential. Adjusted the Small Craft Advisory to keep the South Shore waters and cancel the North Shore waters (where conditions have improved). Beyond this morning, the risk of hazardous conditions on the water is low until Thursday when a low pressure system will bring strong winds, thunderstorms, and dangerous waves to western Lake Superior.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
CLIMATE
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Record High Temperatures:
May 12: Forecast: KDLH: 84/1940 84 KINL: 86/1991 88 KBRD: 88/1940 91 KHIB: 86/1977 88 KASX: 90/1894 87
May 13: KDLH: 86/1977 83 KINL: 87/1977 88 KBRD: 91/1900 91 KHIB: 90/1977 87 KASX: 90/1977 88
Record Warm Minimum Temperatures:
May 12: Forecast: KDLH: 56/1991 59 KINL: 55/2023 66 KBRD: 60/1991 63 KHIB: 53/1944 60 KASX: 58/1894 59
May 13: KDLH: 54/1991 57 KINL: 55/1987 64 KHIB: 52/1987 57 KASX: 58/1987 58
May 14: KINL: 58/1977 62 KBRD: 62/1998 62 KHIB: 54/1998 55
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for MNZ010>012-018-019-025-026-033>038.
WI...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for WIZ001>004-006>009.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for LSZ121- 145>148-150.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Duluth MN 625 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Unseasonably warm and dry conditions persist through early this week.
- Red Flag Warnings are in effect across the Northland today.
Additional fire weather alerts may be needed for Tuesday.
- A pattern shift occurs later this week, with hot temperatures ending and precipitation chances returning.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
A broad upper-level ridge remains in place over the High Plains and Great Lakes this morning while a cutoff low resides over Louisiana. This pseudo Rex Block is forecast to slowly break down as a significant trough moves into the Rockies Tuesday and Wednesday. This will keep strong southerly warm air advection in place over the Northland. Record and near-record high temperatures are forecast again today. Southerly winds are forecast and will be gusty, though not as strong as Sunday.
Critical fire weather conditions are forecast with minimum RH values in the teens except along the North Shore where a lake breeze will keep the drier conditions farther inland. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for the entire Northland. High temperatures today will be in the middle 80s to low 90s, except for portions of the Arrowhead where the lake breeze will keep temps a little cooler.
Conditions remain similar on Tuesday with very dry air in place. Wind gusts return and will likely be a little weaker once again. Highs may be a little warmer, particularly over northwest Wisconsin. Highs will be in the middle 80s to low 90s across the area, with the exception of the Arrowhead.
As the blocking pattern begins to break down on Wednesday, temperatures will trend a bit cooler and winds will be less gusty. The strongest warm air advection will be shunted farther west as the upper low moves into the Ohio River Valley. Near- critical fire conditions may persist, but widespread critical values appear unlikely.
As the upper-level trough progresses farther east on Thursday, precipitation chances return to the Northland. We will see a chance of showers and thunderstorms return to the region. A few strong to severe storms are possible Thursday afternoon and evening. The probability of seeing more than one-quarter inch of rain is more than 80% across the Northland Thursday and Friday.
The probability of a half inch or more is greater than 50%.
A new cutoff low is forecast to develop in the trough Thursday night and Friday and will slowly migrate northeastward into the Canadian Maritimes by Sunday afternoon. A ribbon of colder air aloft will wrap into the system from the west which may result in some "conversational" snow late Thursday night and Friday.
Accumulations should be limited to grassy areas with little to no impact on travel. Temperatures will trend below normal Friday through the weekend.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
Issued at 625 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Low-level wind shear is forecast through about 15Z. A strong south-southwesterly jet with wind speeds around 50 knots will weaken and the altitude of the stronger winds will increase as the mixed layer deepens quickly this morning, ending the LLWS threat. Winds will be gusty again today and should weaken around 13.02Z tonight. LLWS will redevelop at INL, HIB, and BRD tonight.
MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Gusty southerly winds will persist along the South Shore until around 7 AM. The cold water temperatures will continue to create a stable boundary layer over the water farther north which will limit the wind gust potential. Adjusted the Small Craft Advisory to keep the South Shore waters and cancel the North Shore waters (where conditions have improved). Beyond this morning, the risk of hazardous conditions on the water is low until Thursday when a low pressure system will bring strong winds, thunderstorms, and dangerous waves to western Lake Superior.
For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.
CLIMATE
Issued at 406 AM CDT Mon May 12 2025
Record High Temperatures:
May 12: Forecast: KDLH: 84/1940 84 KINL: 86/1991 88 KBRD: 88/1940 91 KHIB: 86/1977 88 KASX: 90/1894 87
May 13: KDLH: 86/1977 83 KINL: 87/1977 88 KBRD: 91/1900 91 KHIB: 90/1977 87 KASX: 90/1977 88
Record Warm Minimum Temperatures:
May 12: Forecast: KDLH: 56/1991 59 KINL: 55/2023 66 KBRD: 60/1991 63 KHIB: 53/1944 60 KASX: 58/1894 59
May 13: KDLH: 54/1991 57 KINL: 55/1987 64 KHIB: 52/1987 57 KASX: 58/1987 58
May 14: KINL: 58/1977 62 KBRD: 62/1998 62 KHIB: 54/1998 55
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for MNZ010>012-018-019-025-026-033>038.
WI...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for WIZ001>004-006>009.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for LSZ121- 145>148-150.
Wind History for Duluth, MN
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Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KELO
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GEOS Local Image of Upper Mississippi Valley
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