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Marine Weather and Tides Port Ludlow, WA Version 3.4

NOTICE 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 6:18AM

Sunset 8:04PM

Monday August 26, 2019 2:09 AM PDT (09:09 UTC)

Moonrise 12:34AM

Moonset 4:48PM

Illumination 18%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Ludlow, WA

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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA

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Fxus66 ksew 260255 afdsew area forecast discussion national weather service seattle wa 755 pm pdt Sun aug 25 2019 Synopsis A strong ridge of high pressure will begin to build into the area tonight thru mid-week. Low level onshore flow will also transition to offshore flow late Monday into Tuesday. This combination will bring unseasonably hot temperatures to western washington with temperatures peaking on Wednesday. A weak system will bring a brief rest on Thursday before another ridge builds over the area at the end of the week. Short term tonight through Wednesday Current satellite imagery and a look out the window agree that skies are generally clear over the area. There are still a couple of patches out there... But the trend is for these bits to thin out. The exception to this may be along the coast where weak onshore flow may bring a return of marine stratus. Monday will kick off a week full of unseasonably warm conditions as upper level ridging will continue to strengthen over W wa but the furnace does not really kick on until gradients turn the low level flow offshore later in the day. With flow being in transition through the day... In increase in temps will be mainly from the upper level ridge and clear skies... Thus only being a few degrees warmer than what was observed today with afternoon highs still generally in the 70s with the SW interior hitting around 80. Tuesday will see this combo of offshore flow and strong upper level ridging have a larger impact with afternoon highs in the lower to mid 80s along the coast and the mid 80s to around 90 for the interior. While this will be the peak for temps along the coast... Wednesday will bring the hottest temperatures to the interior... With locations from the seattle metro area south seeing temps in the upper 80s to around 90 and the SW interior getting into the lower 90s. This kind of heat will result in a moderate heat risk over much of w wa for both Tuesday and Wednesday... Meaning that those more sensitive to heat will be at risk unless simple measures are taken. While this heat will not meet advisory thresholds... Those finding themselves or their pets outdoors for any prolonged period of time Tuesday and Wednesday are encouraged to take regular breaks and hydrate often and if traveling or shopping... Remember to never leave children or pets unattended in a hot vehicle. Smr Long term Thursday through Sunday From previous discussion... On Thursday, the ridge will begin to dampen across the region as a shortwave trough approaches the area from the sw. Guidance is having a tough time determining the amount of moisture associated with this weak system as its projected path takes it across southern washington into eastern washington. For now will keep slight chance of showers in for the far SE portion of the cwa. Enough afternoon destabilization should yield enough CAPE for a chance for a thunderstorm, mainly along and east of the crest, which could pose fire concerns. Despite weak troughing with the shortwave, guidance still keeps temps in the low-mid 80s, so while it may not be quite as hot as Wednesday, it may still remain rather warm. Will have to watch trends over the coming days: more cloud cover and showers

could keep things cooler, whereas a weaker system or a more southerly track could keep those conditions to our south. By Friday, the ridge noticeably reestablishes itself across the area, primarily in response to a deepening closed low across the northern pacific. Yesterday, guidance wanted to bring this low towards washington rather quickly with some wetting rain, essentially ending our brief period of heat. Last few model runs now slow this system down considerably, with a more noticeable amplification of the ridge. It remains possible for temps to warm back up Friday and Saturday now. For now not going as high on temperatures as the middle of the week, but have nudged temps a few degrees. Models then diverge later in the weekend regarding closed pacific low. Unfortunately, ensembles don't really help clear anything up. Deterministic ec brings front into the area with showers while gfs keeps ridge over area. Given solutions in previous runs have shown potential for showers, re-introduced just a slight chance, tho it remains possible the closed low could get "cutoff" from faster westerly flow to the north, which if is the case, western washington gets to hang onto the ridge. Right now, leaning slightly towards the more progressive solution, which would favor the ec a tad. Kovacik Aviation Northwesterly flow aloft as an upper level trough departs the pacific northwest. Onshore flow at the surface. Vfr conditions in place over W wa this evening and are expected to remain in place for most of the area overnight and into Monday. The exception to this may be along the coast where marine stratus may cause for MVFR conditions during the overnight hours and early Monday morning before conditions clear by Monday afternoon. Ksea...VFR conditions tonight and Monday. Northerly winds at 4-8 knots. Smr Marine Onshore flow continues into Monday although gradients will not be as tight as previous days. As such... Winds in the strait are just shy of SCA criteria. Will continue to monitor... But even the usually cantankerous race rocks is adhering to the forecast... So no headlines in place for the evening forecast package. Surface flow will shift to offshore late Monday and into Tuesday and is expected to persist through much of the week. Smr Fire weather Very warm temperatures and low relative humidities are expected Tuesday and Wednesday with poor relative humidity recovery especially Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Wednesday will be the warmest and driest day. Thursday will likely see cooler temperatures and improved relative humidities. Sew watches warnings advisories Wa... None. Pz... None.

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA	13 mi	58 min	WSW 7 G 12	57°F	54°F		1023.9 hPa
46120	19 mi	46 min	NNE 1.9	59°F			1022.1 hPa	52°F
WPOW1 - West Point, WA	23 mi	70 min	N 8 G 8.9	59°F			1023.4 hPa (+0.4)	53°F
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA	28 mi	80 min	W 5.1 G 7	55°F			1023.3 hPa (+0.3)	51°F
46088 - New Dungeness, WA (Hein Bank)	38 mi	50 min	WSW 9.7 G 9.7	55°F	54°F		1022.8 hPa	53°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA	38 mi	100 min	SSE 2.9	50°F			1023 hPa	49°F
PTAW1 - 9444090 - Port Angeles, WA	43 mi	94 min	SSW 2.9 G 5.1	55°F	54°F		1023.6 hPa
46121	46 mi	43 min		60°F			1023 hPa	54°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA	46 mi	94 min	WSW 2.9 G 2.9	53°F	54°F		1023.3 hPa
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA	48 mi	58 min	WNW 2.9 G 5.1
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA	48 mi	58 min		62°F	56°F		1023.3 hPa

Wind History for Port Townsend, WA

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SW10 G13

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Everett Snohomish County, WA	21 mi	2.3 hrs	N 6	10.00 mi	Fair	56°F	51°F	84%	1023.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPAE

Wind History from PAE (wind in knots)

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Tide / Current Tables for Port Ludlow, Washington

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Tide / Current Tables for Olele Point, 1.8 mile ENE of, Washington Current

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (5,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.