Lynden, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lynden, WA

April 14, 2024 8:36 PM PDT (03:36 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:17 AM   Sunset 8:03 PM
Moonrise 9:03 AM   Moonset 1:49 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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PZZ133 Northern Inland Waters Including The San Juan Islands- 306 Pm Pdt Sun Apr 14 2024

Tonight - SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft.

Mon - W wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.

Mon night - W wind 15 to 25 kt easing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft after midnight.

Tue - W wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Tue night - W wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Wed - E wind to 10 kt becoming nw in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Wed night - NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming N to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Thu - N wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

Fri - NE wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

PZZ100 306 Pm Pdt Sun Apr 14 2024

Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - Onshore flow continues this afternoon over the area waters ahead of a cold front that will slide southward across the region tonight with continued gales through the strait. Another strong push through the strait will occur Monday afternoon and evening with additional gales possible. Surface high pressure gradually rebuilds across the waters the middle of next week for a transition to quieter conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lynden, WA
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Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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FXUS66 KSEW 150315 AFDSEW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 815 PM PDT Sun Apr 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure overhead today before upper- level troughing returns on Monday bringing cooler temps and showers back to western Washington. Ridging will return later this week with the potential for more warm and dry weather.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Current satellite imagery this evening shows most of the stratus present over the coast has pushed back to the Pacific waters. Mid and high level clouds have begun spreading across the region ahead of our next frontal system which is slowly approaching western Washington. The previous discussion can be found below along with updated aviation and marine discussions:

Timing still remains a little fuzzy as deterministic models continue to waffle on timing...the GFS favoring a later frontal entry than the ECMWF. Neither model seems to be particularly impressed with precip amounts, each one showing the system to be far weaker than in previous runs. Ensembles tending to agree with these current reduction in expected precip amounts and both deterministic and ensemble data all seeming to agree on letting the chances for precip linger throughout much of Tuesday...with ensemble QPF guidance even showing a bit of a bimodal split as opposed to grouping precip all together as in previous runs.
Ultimately, current forecast tries to straddle the line of incorporating the new data into the old trend...and this appears to be the best way to go for now...keeping the earlier starting time with the front making it to the coast at or around 12Z Monday morning, then allowing PoPs to linger throughout much of Tuesday with highest chances during the event still remaining over the Cascades. Wednesday sees upper level ridging return to the area with generally dry conditions. ECMWF and ensembles on the same page, keeping the entire CWA dry, however the GFS wants to keep some moisture present over the central Cascades. Unfortunately, the NBM seems to have latched onto this as well, injecting some slight chance PoPs where meteorologically there really should not be any...but given that the range is 10-20 pct, ultimately there really is not much of a difference.

Temps today still expected to be split with mid to upper 50s expected along the coast and water adjacent locations while the interior will top out in the mid to upper 60s. Monday and Tuesday will see temps more uniform throughout the area as well as cooler, with highs in the lower to mid 50s. Wednesday kick starts a new warming trend in earnest with highs for much of the lowlands ranging in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

18

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Dry conditions with warming temperatures will remain the case for the bulk of the long term forecast as upper level ridging will continue to be the dominant weather feature. Deterministic models disagree on extent and intensity and the GFS seems to insert a retrograding trough for reasons that elude current reasoning. Ensembles definitely in agreement for a prolonged dry stretch. Next system progged to enter the area possibly Saturday morning or afternoon. Deterministic models disagree and this disagreement has the trough either passing to the south as a closed low with precip barely nicking the SW corner of the CWA via the GFS or a weakening trough that fizzles out while crossing according to the ECMWF. Ensembles have a wide range of solutions, however the ensemble mean still suggests that both Saturday and Sunday could see some, albeit minimal, precip. NBM PoPs in the forecast remain in the Slight Chance to low-end Chance range /10-30ish pct/...splitting the difference yet still conveying low confidence...which would be the proper attitude toward the end of the forecast period.

Daytime highs will continue to warm Thursday and Friday, the former in the lower to mid 60s and the latter in the mid 60s to around 70.
Precip or no...the next system will bring temps down somewhat, with highs both Saturday and Sunday in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

18

AVIATION
Westerly flow aloft as a cold front and upper low dig southward into western Washington through the overnight. Onshore flow continues at the surface with a convergence wind boundary shifting northward, which is expected stall somewhere around PAE tonight before a cold front begins diving southward across the area, shifting northerly winds back southward across the Puget Sound terminals. Mostly VFR conditions across the terminals this evening, with the exception being HQM, where stratus has pushed back onshore with MVFR CIGs . Elsewhere, CIGs will lower tonight, with a 30% chance for MVFR CIGs by around 09Z through 20Z at the Puget Sound terminals. Scattered light rain showers and drizzle likely much of the day Monday across this region as a convergence zone with enhanced shower activity sets up, favoring the northern half of King County north of BFI according to latest HRRR run, VSBY restrictions look minimal, but included mention at most probable TAF sites.

KSEA...VFR this evening although high clouds are quickly thickening from the north. South-southwest winds will prevail ahead of a cold front that will dig southward across Western Washington tonight.
CIGs lower closer to MVFR thresholds after 09Z with a 25% chance of MVFR or lower through 20Z as CIGS lift back to 3500-5000 foot range.
Light rain and showers expected with convergence banding through much of the day after 10-12Z. Latest HRRR guidance favors most shower activity north of I-90, but cannot rule out brief VSBY restrictions in scattered showers. Growing confidence in northerly winds to shift just south of the airport with a southwest to northeast wind shift possible in the 19-06Z timeframe with the convergence boundary stalling somewhere in southern King County (around 50% confidence in this wind shift). Best timing for this potential northerly wind shift looks to be in the 22-03Z timeframe Monday afternoon and evening.

Davis

MARINE
A cold front continues to dive south across British Columbia, poised to cross the area waters late tonight into Monday morning. Onshore flow continues, with gales through the Central and East Entrance to the Strait of Juan de Fuca as of 8 PM. Gale Warnings continue for the Central and East Strait until at 3 AM.
Small Craft Advisories remain in effect through 11 AM Monday across the coastal waters and West Entrance to the Strait. Winds will ease through the morning with Gales likely being dropped to Small Craft Advisories before they quickly pick up again Monday afternoon. A Gale Watch has been issued for the Central and East Strait along with Admiralty Inlet Monday afternoon through early Monday night, with Gales likely (80% confidence). Marginal chances (50% or less)
for brief SCA-level wind gusts Monday night through much of Tuesday over the offshore waters.

Seas from 7 to 9 feet will increase closer to 10 feet tonight over the coastal waters before gradually lower back to 7 to 9 feet through the day Monday. Seas continue to lower through the week, trending below 5 feet Thursday and Friday.

Davis

HYDROLOGY
No river flooding is expected through the next seven days.

SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Monday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm- Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville Out 10 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater Out 10 Nm-West Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT Monday for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Gale Watch from Monday afternoon through late Monday night for Central U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca-East Entrance U.S. Waters Strait Of Juan De Fuca.

Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Monday for Admiralty Inlet.

Gale Watch from Monday afternoon through late Monday night for Admiralty Inlet.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
CHYW1 - 9449424 - Cherry Point, WA 17 mi49 min 29.98
CPMW1 17 mi49 min S 11G11 52°F
CPNW1 17 mi49 min S 6G11 51°F
PBFW1 - Padilla Bay Reserve, WA 33 mi67 min SW 5.1 52°F 30.0143°F
FRDW1 - 9449880 - Friday Harbor, WA 40 mi61 min WSW 9.9G12 52°F 48°F30.00
SISW1 - Smith Island, WA 47 mi27 min W 27G34 49°F 30.0247°F


Wind History for Cherry Point South Dock, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBLI BELLINGHAM INTL,WA 11 sm43 minS 12G2010 smClear54°F43°F67%29.97
Link to 5 minute data for KBLI


Wind History from BLI
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Bellingham, Washington
   
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Bellingham
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:08 AM PDT     8.54 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:48 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:14 AM PDT     7.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:19 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:42 AM PDT     7.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:04 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:19 PM PDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:01 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Bellingham, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
8.5
1
am
8.4
2
am
8.2
3
am
7.8
4
am
7.5
5
am
7.3
6
am
7.4
7
am
7.5
8
am
7.6
9
am
7.3
10
am
6.6
11
am
5.5
12
pm
4.1
1
pm
2.7
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
0.5
4
pm
-0
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.8
7
pm
2.1
8
pm
3.7
9
pm
5.2
10
pm
6.6
11
pm
7.7



Tide / Current for Clark Island, 1.6 mile North of, Washington Current
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Clark Island
Click for MapFlood direction 335 true
Ebb direction 150 true

Sun -- 12:23 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:18 AM PDT     -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:49 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:20 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:34 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:16 AM PDT     0.21 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:56 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:05 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 01:28 PM PDT     -1.48 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:32 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:02 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:32 PM PDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Clark Island, 1.6 mile North of, Washington Current, knots
12
am
0.2
1
am
-0.2
2
am
-0.5
3
am
-0.5
4
am
-0.4
5
am
-0.3
6
am
-0.1
7
am
0.1
8
am
0.2
9
am
-0
10
am
-0.5
11
am
-0.9
12
pm
-1.3
1
pm
-1.5
2
pm
-1.5
3
pm
-1.3
4
pm
-1
5
pm
-0.7
6
pm
-0.2
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.7
9
pm
1
10
pm
1
11
pm
0.8




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