Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hydaburg, AK

SHORT TERM
Moist atmosphere continues with the occluded front passing north.
Orographic lift will be keeping lingering rain seemingly indefinitely, but expect rain to stick around only for today.
Skies look to remain overcast for the entire day, as a strong trough dips down into CONUS. This will leave very light, southerly flow aloft, leaving nothing to drive out the mid level moisture.
With the bulk of the front past the panhandle, winds will be on the downward trend, leaving aviation concerns for low clouds, but little concern for those near sea level.

LONG TERM
Light precipitation lingers into Saturday morning diminishing throughout the day. This allows for a brief break from the rain late Saturday night into Sunday morning with ridging over the panhandle. This break comes to an end as a low moves east across the southern panhandle stalling west-southwest of POW. The focus of this low will be winds increasing near Haida Gwaii into Clarence Strait. Near Gale winds of 25 to 30 kts will develop around this low with Gale force wind gusts. Total rain amounts remain below an inch with ensembles showing less than a 60% chance of receiving an inch of rain over the southern panhandle in 24 hours. The heaviest rain rates are expected Monday morning. During this time, the northern part of the panhandle remains dry with winds at or below 10 to 15 kts. Some differences in models show the location of the low either moving slightly north, or continuing to move southeast. If the low moves slightly more north, more of the panhandle could receive rain. After the low dissipates, light rain with breaks, will continue into mid to late week next week.



AVIATION
Quick moving low is zipping north along the coast early this morning. As the panhandle transitions to the backside of the low, the area will see onshore flow, which should keep the clouds and rain showers in place through Friday night. Saturday, ridging builds over SE AK which should lift aviation flying conditions.

So for the forecast, mainly MVFR conditions will be found around the area today. Some isolated lower conditions are being reported but these should improve through the morning. Continued improving conditions from south to north beginning later tonight as the ridge builds.

Some isolated LLWS is possible this morning for the northern panhandle, due to that quick moving low. Latest high-resolution models are hinting at 40% to 60% probabilities of LLWS >20kt in Icy Strait, Glacier Bay, and around Juneau with those probabilities moving north into Lynn Canal later this morning. That being said, by 22z, the probabilities drop below 20% with below 10% probabilities by 00z. No LLWS expected this evening into tonight.

MARINE
Outside: Early this morning will see the trending down of winds in the outer gulf, and with it, significant wave heights.
Surface ridging in the eastern gulf, which will drive the winds in the inner channels, will create a split flow in the gulf, with westerly to northwesterly fresh breezes near Prince of Wales Island, and southwest light breezes near the NE Gulf Coast going into tomorrow.

Inside: A southerly push of moderate to fresh breezes impacting Lynn Canal, Chatham Strait and Clarence Friday late morning into the afternoon will be driven by the post frontal ridging to the south. Not expecting long lasting enhanced wind speeds, as divergent surface flow in the gulf will largely leave light air conditions for the inner waters tonight.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ644-651-652-661>664-671-672.