Marine Forecasts

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kasaan, AK

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Area Discussion for -

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Fxak67 pajk 191332 afdajk southeast alaska forecast discussion national weather service juneau ak 532 am akdt Mon aug 19 2019 Short term On Monday, clouds will be on the increase from south to north as another low pressure system tracks northeast over the north pacific towards the dixon entrance. A gale-force low will push a swath of rain into the southern panhandle by Monday evening. Rainfall, heavy at times, will continue to push northward on Tuesday as the low pressure systems heads closer to the region. Through Tuesday night, 1-2.5" of rain is possible across the southern panhandle with lesser amounts further north. As of late Sunday evening, models have clustered on the track of the low in the southeast gulf Monday night into Tuesday but then quickly begin to diverge Tuesday night into Wednesday on how quickly the feature jumps ashore. While confidence is not great, we acted to slow the storm Tuesday night. And instead of pulling up the coast for a landfall over baranof chichagof island, the low now looks to creep into the southern panhandle region. While this is not unanimous with the ECMWF more quickly guiding it onshore well into canada by this time and others directing the main energy toward the north coast of bc, we feel it covers a middle ground of possibilities rather than keeping the storm track farther west and north. How quickly the system does move into canada and how far south and east the low eventually tracks will directly impact how far north bands of moderate to heavy rain reach and how quickly. For instance, some models leave juneau high and dry whereas others bring the bands of heavy rain. Ivt values for this system are significant enough to support bands of moderate to

heavy rain. Finally, there is the potential for some stronger winds over prince of wales and the ketchikan clarence strait corridor late Tuesday into Tuesday night as the system churns west of haida gwaii. Look for at least 25 to 30 kt of wind, and potentially gale over clarence strait while gales look likely over marine zone 41. Long term Beyond this mid-week storm, it looks typical of august where the a strengthening storm track guides pacific systems with rounds of rain for our area. Between such systems like Wednesday Wednesday night, it looks probable for a round of light shower activity, so we do not see substantial dry periods. We spy one significant wave nearing the eastern gulf Thursday Friday. While early to tell, breezy conditions appear a sure bet Thursday for at least the coast. We keep temperatures in the 50s for much of the week to account for the wetter rain cooled air with diurnal ranges kept around 10 degrees or less. While confidence in details of systems is low beginning Tuesday night Wednesday, we do have relatively high confidence in the wettest pattern we have seen all summer upon us. Ajk watches warnings advisories Public... None. Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012-041-042-051. Jwa visit us at http:

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
GIXA2	26 mi	23 min	ESE 7 G 8	53°F			1010.3 hPa	48°F
KEXA2	33 mi	23 min	NE 2.9 G 5.1	54°F			1012.3 hPa	47°F
SLXA2	35 mi	22 min	NE 1 G 2.9	51°F			1009.7 hPa	48°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK	36 mi	47 min	Calm G 1.9	51°F	60°F		1012.5 hPa
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK	60 mi	55 min	NE 4.1 G 4.1	51°F			1010.4 hPa	42°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy	61 mi	65 min	SSE 1.9 G 1.9	54°F	55°F	3 ft	1011.9 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK

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NW12 G15

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SE9 G12

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1 day ago

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure

Link to 5 minute data for PAHY

Wind History from AHY (wind in knots)

	1 AM	2 AM	3 AM	4 AM	5 AM	6 AM	7 AM	8 AM	9 AM	10 AM	11 AM	12 PM	1 PM	2 PM	3 PM	4 PM	5 PM	6 PM	7 PM	8 PM	9 PM	10 PM	11 PM	12 AM
Last 24hr	--	--	--	--	--	--	E12	E5	E6	5	E6 G19	--	E7	E6 G18	E8 G14	E7	SE8	SE8	E13	--	E14	E10	E14	E8
1 day ago	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	E4	--	--	--	--
2 days ago	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--	--

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Tide / Current Tables for Divide Head, Cholmondeley Sound, Alaska

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Tide / Current Tables for Saltery Cove, Skowl Arm, Kasaan Bay, Alaska

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Weather Map and Satellite Images

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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for (12,3,4,5)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK

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Disclaimer: The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.