Monday, August19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kasaan, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:16AMSunset 8:59PM Monday August 19, 2019 9:04 AM PDT (16:04 UTC) Moonrise 9:59PMMoonset 9:53AM Illumination 83% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 327 Am Akdt Mon Aug 19 2019
Today..SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain in the afternoon.
Tonight..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
Tue..SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
Tue night..SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
Wed..NW wind 25 kt becoming s. Seas 5 ft.
Thu..SE wind 15 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft.
Fri..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kasaan, AK
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location: 55.25, -132.3     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 191332
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
532 am akdt Mon aug 19 2019

Short term On Monday, clouds will be on the increase from south
to north as another low pressure system tracks northeast over the
north pacific towards the dixon entrance. A gale-force low will
push a swath of rain into the southern panhandle by Monday
evening. Rainfall, heavy at times, will continue to push northward
on Tuesday as the low pressure systems heads closer to the
region. Through Tuesday night, 1-2.5" of rain is possible across
the southern panhandle with lesser amounts further north. As of
late Sunday evening, models have clustered on the track of the
low in the southeast gulf Monday night into Tuesday but then
quickly begin to diverge Tuesday night into Wednesday on how
quickly the feature jumps ashore. While confidence is not great,
we acted to slow the storm Tuesday night. And instead of pulling
up the coast for a landfall over baranof chichagof island, the low
now looks to creep into the southern panhandle region. While this
is not unanimous with the ECMWF more quickly guiding it onshore
well into canada by this time and others directing the main energy
toward the north coast of bc, we feel it covers a middle ground
of possibilities rather than keeping the storm track farther west
and north. How quickly the system does move into canada and how
far south and east the low eventually tracks will directly impact
how far north bands of moderate to heavy rain reach and how
quickly. For instance, some models leave juneau high and dry
whereas others bring the bands of heavy rain. Ivt values for this
system are significant enough to support bands of moderate to
heavy rain.

Finally, there is the potential for some stronger winds over
prince of wales and the ketchikan clarence strait corridor late
Tuesday into Tuesday night as the system churns west of haida
gwaii. Look for at least 25 to 30 kt of wind, and potentially gale
over clarence strait while gales look likely over marine zone 41.

Long term Beyond this mid-week storm, it looks typical of
august where the a strengthening storm track guides pacific
systems with rounds of rain for our area. Between such systems
like Wednesday Wednesday night, it looks probable for a round of
light shower activity, so we do not see substantial dry periods.

We spy one significant wave nearing the eastern gulf
Thursday Friday. While early to tell, breezy conditions appear a
sure bet Thursday for at least the coast. We keep temperatures in
the 50s for much of the week to account for the wetter rain cooled
air with diurnal ranges kept around 10 degrees or less.

While confidence in details of systems is low beginning Tuesday
night Wednesday, we do have relatively high confidence in the
wettest pattern we have seen all summer upon us.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for pkz012-041-042-051.

Jwa
visit us at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GIXA2 26 mi23 min ESE 7 G 8 53°F 1010.3 hPa48°F
KEXA2 33 mi23 min NE 2.9 G 5.1 54°F 1012.3 hPa47°F
SLXA2 35 mi22 min NE 1 G 2.9 51°F 1009.7 hPa48°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 36 mi47 min Calm G 1.9 51°F 60°F1012.5 hPa
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 60 mi55 min NE 4.1 G 4.1 51°F 1010.4 hPa42°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 61 mi65 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 54°F 55°F3 ft1011.9 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Link to 5 minute data for PAHY

Wind History from AHY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------E12E5E65E6
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E7SE8SE8E13--E14E10E14E8
1 day ago--------------------------------------E4--------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Divide Head, Cholmondeley Sound, Alaska
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Divide Head
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:16 AM AKDT     14.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:30 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:28 AM AKDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:53 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:51 PM AKDT     14.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:13 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:51 PM AKDT     2.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:58 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.310.41314.213.911.98.75.22.20.50.52.25.18.411.413.4141310.77.64.62.623

Tide / Current Tables for Saltery Cove, Skowl Arm, Kasaan Bay, Alaska
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Saltery Cove
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:29 AM AKDT     14.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:29 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:38 AM AKDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:53 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:04 PM AKDT     14.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:14 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:58 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:01 PM AKDT     2.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.81012.714.314.312.69.55.92.70.70.41.84.67.91113.314.213.511.48.35.22.922.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
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Wind Forecast for (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.