Saturday, March28, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Craig, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:31AMSunset 7:33PM Saturday March 28, 2020 12:11 PM AKDT (20:11 UTC) Moonrise 8:24AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ041 Dixon Entrance To Cape Decision- 358 Am Akdt Sat Mar 28 2020
.small craft advisory through late tonight...
Today..W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. Rain early in the morning.
Tonight..SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Sun..S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. W swell. Rain.
Sun night..NE gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
Mon..NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Tue..NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
Wed..E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Craig, AK
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location: 55.35, -133.32     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 281543 CCA AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion . CORRECTED National Weather Service Juneau AK 743 AM AKDT Sat Mar 28 2020

SHORT TERM. The biggest factors to impact the weather for the next day or so will be the outflow winds and the lows that will spread rain and/or snow to the southern half of the panhandle.

The winds got a slight boost across the panhandle, for the marine waters, although the land areas did not quite get the same boost. The pressure gradient increases Sunday, so expect Lynn Canal winds to rise to max gales or Storm Force, especially for the Northern Lynn Canal area. Winds are also a little gusty for downtown Juneau and Douglas. Outflow from interior passes and a weak mountain wave over the icefield has wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Stronger outflow should be found Sunday morning to Sunday evening, as it streams out into the northeast gulf of Alaska. So will see some strong wind headlines over the next 48 hours.

Cooler air is headed to the northern panhandle so low temps and highs will be trending lower. Lows may lower to the 10-15F range in the northern panhandle. If the cold air advection is stronger, may even see single digits. The cooler temperatures will extend southward, reaching the mid 20s for the south central panhandle.

One low over the southeastern gulf is responsible for the light snow or flurries happening this morning for the central panhandle and rain over the southern panhandle. The low moves to Dixon Entrance / Southern panhandle and falls apart. A second low will move across the western Alaska Range, developing a new surface low, and then deepening slightly as it tracks SE to be west of Dixon Entrance Sunday morning. The moisture plume will spread more rain and/or snow into the southern panhandle. In this situation, a band of snow could cause a couple inches to fall across the south central panhandle Sunday into Monday. Will keep an eye on the situation but statements shouldn't be needed.

The tapering off of pops continues over the panhandle Monday night so pops in the southern third lowers to chance level.

LONG TERM. /Monday through Saturday night/ . As of 10 pm Friday . Anomalous upper-level high centered across northeast mainland Alaska early next week will displace arctic air southward with temperatures well below normal through mid week. Ensembles show a general consensus that the upper ridge should gradually weaken as it shifts eastward through the middle of next week, eventually breaking down the strong arctic connection and allowing temperatures to begin slowly warming. Strong outflow winds and drying conditions continue Monday due to tight pressure gradient between arctic high over the Yukon and residual low near Haida Gwaii. Winds gradually weaken through Tuesday as the high shifts east and the low dissipates. Later in the week with the return to more seasonable temperatures likely see low pressure systems return to the gulf.

Computer models don't like blocking ridges. Mainly with respect to timing of the blocking ridge break down or shift in location and how upstream waves will react. This pattern seems to be no different due to the fact model spread is rather large as early as Tuesday evening. Continued to use a blend of GFS/ECMWF for Monday with a transition to WPC for rest of the week. Forecast confidence is low, expect changes.

AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. PUBLIC . Strong Wind until 6 AM AKDT early this morning for AKZ025. Strong Wind from this evening through late tonight for AKZ018. MARINE . Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-022-043-051-053. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-031-032-034-041-042-052.



Bezenek/PRB

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 59 mi62 min ESE 2.9 G 5.1 40°F 995 hPa36°F
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 62 mi50 min ENE 8.9 G 16 35°F 996 hPa32°F
46145 - Central Dixon Entrance Buoy 82 mi72 min 41°F 43°F4 ft995.1 hPa (-0.2)

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Klawock - Klawock Airport, AK19 mi79 minVar 510.00 miLight Rain41°F37°F89%994.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAKW

Wind History from AKW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5S8SW4S5--SE4CalmS4S4--S5S9--E3NE56NE7NE7----NE3--NE45
1 day agoCalm4CalmSW5SW3SW7SW5S7--S4--SW5S6----S5S5S7SW4--Calm--4SW7
2 days agoSW7SW10SW7--S7--S6S66S6SE6CalmCalm3NE4CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalm--CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Flores, Ulloa Channel, Alaska
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Cape Flores
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:21 AM AKDT     9.55 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:23 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:56 AM AKDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:05 PM AKDT     7.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:47 PM AKDT     2.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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578.69.59.38.26.34.12.10.70.30.92.34.267.47.97.66.55.13.72.72.53.1

Tide / Current Tables for Port Santa Cruz, Suemez Island, Alaska
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Port Santa Cruz
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:18 AM AKDT     9.75 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:33 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:24 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:52 AM AKDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:02 PM AKDT     8.13 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:24 PM AKDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:43 PM AKDT     2.48 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.27.28.99.79.58.36.34.120.70.312.54.46.37.68.17.76.65.13.72.72.53.2

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.