Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Thorne Bay, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 8:29AMSunset 3:10PM Monday December 9, 2019 9:51 AM AKST (18:51 UTC) Moonrise 3:27PMMoonset 5:51AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 339 Am Akst Mon Dec 9 2019
.small craft advisory this evening through late tonight...
Today..SE wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft.
Tonight..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
Tue..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain in the morning.
Tue night..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
Wed..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
Thu..S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Fri..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Thorne Bay, AK
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location: 55.92, -132.37     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 091506 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 606 AM AKST Mon Dec 9 2019

SHORT TERM. A frontal band from the central gulf coast south to the east central Pacific Ocean. A strong southerly flow ahead of the front will be spreading a warm moist flow into the the northeast gulf and panhandle Monday and Monday night. The front will work its way through the panhandle by Tuesday afternoon. Will be monitoring whether a wave develops on the southern end of the frontal into the southern for Monday night, the models are trying still fine tune this wave and the impact to the southern panhandle.

A developing low out of the central pacific deepens to near 960 mb and move northward then curve west back to near Kodiak Island. The associated front will spread across Southeast Alaska Wednesday, the low will stall in the northern gulf, with showers and onshore flow persisting through later Wednesday.

For the most part the precipitation will be rain over Southeast Alaska, with some of the higher elevations potentially seeing some snow.

Locally winds for the panhandle Monday and Monday night and the start of Tuesday as well while the first front moves through to Canada.

LONG TERM. /Wednesday through Monday as of 10 pm Sunday/ Upper level pattern for the long range features a gradual shift to a more progressive zonal flow across the northern Pacific by the end of the period. Initially an upper low will be nearly stationary in the western Gulf through at least Thu night, but it will then get pushed north as the more zonal flow sets up into the weekend. After that point, structure and timing of individual troughs that are being pushed east is rather inconsistent between forecast models so forecast confidence past Thu night is low.

At the surface, the start of the long range has the panhandle dealing with a gale force front that will be moving N through the gulf and panhandle on Wed. Not much change for this feature compared to yesterday as structure and timing remain relatively the same. Warm air continues to be pumped into the panhandle by this system so rain at sea level will continue with snow levels hovering between 1000 and 3000 feet for most of the panhandle into late week.

Into next weekend and early next week, SW to S flow will continue to be the dominate feature of the forecast with embedded troughs continuing to bring precip to the area. Timing and strength of each of these trough remains debatable so the forecast mainly rely on the general trends displayed. For this period, the general trend is toward continued showery weather with a gradual cooling trend. Some northern panhandle areas like Haines and Skagway may get cold enough for some snow rather then rain by the weekend, but for most areas rain will remain the main ptype. Favored WPC and NBM for updates today.

AVIATION. A band of lower clouds over the central inner channels.has pocket of Marginal and IFR ceilings through the early morning hours. A weather front over the central Gulf of Alaska will slowly work it way east. Gale force winds at the surface has a strong low level jet along the frontal band, and this will likely create some low level wind shear of 30 to 40 kt, especially for the coastal TAF sites.

AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. PUBLIC . None. MARINE . Gale Warning for PKZ041>043-051-052. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-033-035-036-053.



Bezenek/EAL

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 19 mi41 min SE 21 G 31 41°F 1016.7 hPa36°F
GIXA2 42 mi29 min ESE 11 G 14 38°F 1017.6 hPa37°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 57 mi51 min N 1 G 1.9 35°F 45°F1020.5 hPa (-0.6)
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 94 mi29 min E 23 G 26 44°F 1015.9 hPa37°F

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wrangell, AK39 mi55 minE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy37°F35°F93%1019.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAWG

Wind History from AWG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7----E84CalmCalmE8E5N3CalmSE53E4E9NE4CalmSE5SE3SE7E4E8E6E7
1 day agoE4E4----CalmNW3NW4NW4NW3W3CalmW4CalmS3SW4--E3E6----W3--E3E8
2 days agoE5E6E6CalmCalmW3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3Calm----W3CalmCalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for Dewey Anchorage, Etolin Island, Alaska
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Dewey Anchorage
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:31 AM AKST     3.82 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:51 AM AKST     Moonset
Mon -- 08:07 AM AKST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:47 AM AKST     16.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:26 PM AKST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:16 PM AKST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:17 PM AKST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:34 PM AKST     14.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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12.710.67.95.5445.4811.113.915.816.315.112.48.74.91.90.40.82.969.512.314

Tide / Current Tables for Ratz Harbor, Prince of Wales Island, Alaska
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Ratz Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:31 AM AKST     3.82 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:52 AM AKST     Moonset
Mon -- 08:08 AM AKST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:47 AM AKST     16.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 02:27 PM AKST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:17 PM AKST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:17 PM AKST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:34 PM AKST     14.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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12.710.67.95.5445.4811.113.915.816.315.112.48.74.91.90.40.82.969.512.314

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.