Monday, March30, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Thorne Bay, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 7:37PM Monday March 30, 2020 5:37 AM AKDT (13:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:08AMMoonset 1:38AM Illumination 39% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ036 Clarence Strait- 355 Am Akdt Mon Mar 30 2020
Today..N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
Tonight..NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Tue..NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the morning then 2 ft or less.
Tue night..N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed..NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Thu..N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft.
Fri..SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Thorne Bay, AK
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location: 55.92, -132.37     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 301329 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 529 AM AKDT Mon Mar 30 2020

SHORT TERM. Outflow winds have been out in full force overnight and on into early this morning. Expecting conditions to remain gusty through the day today. Current observations show winds up to 50 mph down Lynn Canal. Around the Juneau area, gusts up to 69 mph have been recorded as a moderate Taku Wind has developed. A High Wind Warning remains in effect for Downtown Juneau, Douglas, and Thane until 4pm. Skagway's winds started blowing a little stronger than first thought Sunday afternoon and have continued on into this morning. Decided to keep the High Wind Warning for Skagway and will remain in effect until until 4pm. As we go into the morning and the boundary layer begins to mix we could see a slight increase in the outflow winds, but overall the events intensity should remain static before starting to decrease tonight. As far as updates to the forecast, decided to take the storm force winds out of Lynn Canal as they never quite reached those speeds and aren't expected to reach storm force today. Several strong wind headlines exist including Haines, Hoonah, Tenakee Springs, and newly added Craig, Klawock and Hydaburg.

A surface low is centered off to the southwest of the panhandle. Only a few light showers have been observed across the southern half as the colder/drier air is acting to work against the southern moisture. Early this morning there is a chance for some light showers around Klawock to Ketchikan south. These chances will quickly diminished by this afternoon. After this, conditions look to remain dry through Wednesday as offshore flow dominates the region. Temperatures have managed to stay slightly warmer with the outflow winds. As the winds begin to calm late tonight into Tuesday morning and skies clear, temperatures will be able to drop. The temps looked good during this time frame so little adjustments were made.

LONG TERM. /Wednesday through Monday as of 10 pm Sunday/ . Extended forecast begins with fairly benign weather for the panhandle as blocking high pressure will have established itself over the Gulf, just west of the region. This should lead to colder than normal temps for us being on the eastern side of the ridge. Aside from that, because of the high pressure, that should be the only real notable weather from mid-week onward as skies will be mostly sunny and clear and precip chances remain close to nil through at least the better part of the weekend. Of note though, disagreements between the models does warrant PoPs increasing Sunday and for the duration of the forecast period. As is typical of these types of blocking patterns, forecast models have a tendency to want to break down the ridge sooner than it actually will creating a low confidence forecast at the end of the period. Expect future long term forecasts will show a decreasing PoP for Sunday and beyond until higher confidence can be achieved.

A mix of the ECMWF and the GFS was used to construct the forecast for Wednesday/Wednesday night with a deference toward WPC guidance for the timeframe afterward.

AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories. PUBLIC . Strong Wind until 10 AM AKDT this morning for AKZ027. High Wind Warning until 4 PM AKDT this afternoon for AKZ018-025. Strong Wind through this afternoon for AKZ019. Strong Wind until 4 PM AKDT this afternoon for AKZ021. MARINE . Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012. Gale Warning for PKZ012-013-022-033-042-043-051. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-031-032-034-035-041-052-053.



CC/Bezenek

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LCNA2 - Lincoln Rock, AK 19 mi28 min N 7 G 12 37°F 994.5 hPa21°F
GIXA2 42 mi26 min N 16 G 28 40°F 990 hPa31°F
KECA2 - 9450460 - Ketchikan, AK 57 mi50 min NE 6 G 17 46°F 44°F992.1 hPa
CDEA2 - Cape Decision, AK 94 mi76 min ENE 15 G 37 30°F 994.9 hPa24°F

Wind History for Ketchikan, AK
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wrangell, AK39 mi42 minNE 17 G 2310.00 miMostly Cloudy32°F18°F56%998.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAWG

Wind History from AWG (wind in knots)
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1 day ago--E10E12E9E9E10E9E9E65N3NW4NW4W3NW5NW6W3W4W4CalmCalmNW4----
2 days agoSE6E7Calm4S8S8S6S6
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6S8S8S5SE8SE5E4CalmE3CalmSE3--E7E5--E4

Tide / Current Tables for Dewey Anchorage, Etolin Island, Alaska
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Dewey Anchorage
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:37 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:48 AM AKDT     14.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:23 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:07 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:31 AM AKDT     1.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM AKDT     11.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:25 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:20 PM AKDT     4.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.17.410.112.514.214.613.711.68.75.63.11.61.62.95.27.810.111.61211.29.67.65.94.9

Tide / Current Tables for Ratz Harbor, Prince of Wales Island, Alaska
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Ratz Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:38 AM AKDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:48 AM AKDT     14.64 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:24 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:08 AM AKDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:31 AM AKDT     1.44 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM AKDT     11.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:26 PM AKDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:20 PM AKDT     4.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.17.410.112.514.214.613.711.68.75.63.11.61.62.95.27.810.111.61211.29.67.65.94.9

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.