Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Naukati Bay, AK

FXAK67 PAJK 131424 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 624 AM AKDT Tue May 13 2025

SHORT TERM
Some potential for lingering showers are expected until this afternoon for parts of the panhandle following the front that passed overnight. The areas with a chance of rain showers will not see high amounts of precipitation, with QPF being less than a tenth of an inch at most for today. A break in the precipitation across the majority of the panhandle is expected for tonight and through Wednesday evening as a surface ridge and upper level ridge is pushed into the eastern Gulf and over the panhandle. Some elevated winds along the northern inner channels and Skagway from the post-front winds will last until this afternoon, before the ridge moving in brings us 10 kt or lighter winds across the majority of the panhandle. These calmer conditions will last until the next front approaches Wednesday, with precipitation beginning again in the evening for the panhandle.

LONG TERM
Aside from a brief break on Wednesday, the active weather pattern continues through the remainder of the week and into the weekend, though another break in the weather may be possible on Sunday.

In the wake of a front on Tuesday, ridging will briefly rebuild, and by Wednesday morning, the panhandle will be enjoying a transient break between systems, though some upper level cloud cover and a few lingering showers are possible. A stronger front from a low in the central to western gulf looks to move in from the SW late Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing widespread breezy and wet conditions. Unlike the previous front, this looks to be a warm front, and will be complete with more robust moisture support, although still nothing too exceptional. The breeziest conditions look to be in the outer coastal and the southern panhandle communities. Not anticipating particularly breezy conditions in the far northern inner channels, as the front looks to weaken as it arrives, and will stall over the central panhandle through the day on Thursday. Operational guidance is falling into line behind the idea of a short wave moving in behind the frontal band late on Thursday and bringing a second round of heavier precipitation along with the potential for some breezy conditions.
Onshore flow then continues through much of Saturday, keeping chances of rain across the area to close out the week.

By the latter half of Saturday, onshore flow will be weakening, and ridging may briefly rebuild on Sunday, resulting in drier weather ahead of another frontal band which will arrive late Sunday into Monday. A vertically stacked low will move over the central gulf through the first half of the week, helping to keep unsettled weather in the area.
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