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PKZ643 Cape Edgecumbe To Cape Spencer Out To 15 Nm- 257 Pm Akst Mon Nov 27 2023
.small craft advisory through Tuesday morning...
Tonight..SW wind 20 kt becoming W 25 kt in the evening, then diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain early in the evening.
Tue..W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding. Patchy fog.
Tue night..E wind 15 kt increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
Wed..E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
Wed night..SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
Thu..SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Fri..E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
Sat..SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

PKZ600
No data

FXAK67 PAJK 280047 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 347 PM AKST Mon Nov 27 2023

SHORT TERM
Fairly quiet weather across the panhandle is anticipated for Tuesday as the current weather system departs the panhandle. Rain will come to an end across the panhandle through Monday night into Tuesday morning, with a brief period of drier following before another system arrives on Wednesday. During the interlude, anticipate widespread chances of fog as skies clear in the wake of the most recent system. Fog could last through the daytime on Tuesday in some locations, though the best chances of fog will be late Monday night through early Tuesday morning, and late Tuesday night through early Wednesday morning. Small craft conditions for much of the outer coastal waters, alongside Lynn Canal and some of the ocean entrances. Strong wind for Skagway will last through Monday night. Lower wind speeds on Tuesday of between 10 to 15 kt are anticipated for many of the central and southern inner channels, before winds begin increasing as another system approaches. High temperatures in the 40s and upper 30s are expected.

LONG TERM
/Wednesday through Tuesday/ Generally looking at an active long range period. A broad upper trough covering the Bering Sea and the Western part of AK will dominate the weather over the next week. The various short waves rotating around the low will push various storms through the area from the SW with occasional intrusions of cooler air in the wake of these systems gradually cooling the area down through the week and into the weekend.

First significant system will be showing up for Wed into Thu with gale force winds likely for most of the gulf waters at that time.
Possibility that winds could reach max gale in some parts of the northern gulf due to barrier jet influences. Inner channels will likely just see small craft winds of 25 to 30 kt as the front moves through Wed night. As for precip that will mainly take the form of rain for most areas. Some parts of the north (like the Mendenhall Valley/out the road in Juneau, Yakutat, and the Haines and Klondike Highways) may end up with a few inches of snow. The Haines Highway has the best chance of seeing 4 or more inches of snow so we will be watching that area for any needed headlines later.

Onshore flow persist post-front with showers into late week. The next significant system on the radar is toward Friday as another gale force front moves in from the SW. Some uncertainly with this system as, at the moment, it looks like most of the precipitation and energy is being directed south of the area, but a not insignificant chunk of it may effect the southern half of the panhandle. The weekend features a still active weather pattern with more storm systems possibly moving in from the SW.

AVIATION
Another variable day aviation wise. Widespread MVFR with some IFR conditions plague the southern panhandle from a lingering front this afternoon while the northern panhandle is mostly VFR. Gusty winds have been noted in Northern Lynn Canal, Skagway, and Haines this afternoon as well. A weak front is currently situated offshore of the main panhandle extending up to Cape Fairweather area. That front will be moving E through the rest of the afternoon and evening bringing some MVFR conditions as it comes. After tonight things calm down a bit as ridging moves into the area for Tues and the first half of Wed with light winds and VFR conditions prevailing (Fog may be an issue especially in the mornings with IFR or lower Vis and Ceilings possible).

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-022-053-643-644-651-652- 662>664-671-672.

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Povorotni Island
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Tue -- 01:23 AM AKST     15.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:07 AM AKST     3.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:13 AM AKST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM AKST     Moonset
Tue -- 01:02 PM AKST     17.57 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:26 PM AKST     Sunset
Tue -- 03:31 PM AKST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:46 PM AKST     -2.83 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Povorotni Island, Pogibshi Point, Peril Strait, Alaska, Tide feet

Sergius Narrows
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Tue -- 01:45 AM AKST     -5.98 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:17 AM AKST     0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:49 AM AKST     6.57 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 08:12 AM AKST     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:45 AM AKST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:14 AM AKST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:00 PM AKST     -6.29 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:27 PM AKST     Sunset
Tue -- 03:33 PM AKST     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:38 PM AKST     0.02 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:14 PM AKST     6.75 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:51 PM AKST     -0.01 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sergius Narrows, Peril Strait, Alaska Current, knots

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