Tuesday, July27, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 4:35AMSunset 9:32PM Monday July 26, 2021 10:11 PM AKDT (06:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:08PMMoonset 6:58AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 307 Pm Akdt Mon Jul 26 2021
Tonight..W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas 3 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less.
Tue..Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Tue night..E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed..E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Wed night..W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Thu..NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
Fri..NE wind 15 kt becoming sw. Seas 3 ft.
Sat..S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 262203 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 203 PM AKDT Mon Jul 26 2021

SHORT TERM. /Through Tuesday night/ . Areas of locally dense fog over several of the inner channels and public zones dissipated mostly as expected. The exception was Kake, where the fog persisted until almost noon. Satellite imagery indicates a steady flow of clouds north of the Icy Strait corridor as well as the southern third of the Panhandle. Where the radar can see, shower activity associated with the cloudiness to the south is obvious in the composite reflectivity product. Over both the north and the south, showers have been expected all day - both by the previous shift as well as this day shift. Additionally, model guidance was in very good agreement with this thinking and the 12Z sounding at Annette indicated a nearly saturated air column extending up past 15 thousand feet. However, only Stewart (near Hyder) has reported steady precipitation through the day and only trace amounts in Ketchikan have been recorded. Undaunted by the present situation, we still firmly believe that showers over the north and south will develop this evening. Shower activity over the northeast gulf coast is expected to train over the same area, but diminish overnight. Showers to the south are forecast to migrate north while while becoming more isolated overnight. Things begin to dry out in earnest Tuesday night and the beginning of the extended range period looks dry with a good change for partly cloudy skies over the central and northern inner channels. The potential for thunderstorms was considered, but modeled CAPE, instability, and mid level lapse rates do not favor any meaningful threat of thunder.

Winds will be unimpactful this short range forecast period and no marine hazards were issued with the afternoon forecast. Overnight lows will range from the upper 40s to the mid 50s. Daytime highs will range from the lower to the upper 60s under mostly cloudy skies through Tuesday afternoon and partly cloudy skies Tuesday night.

LONG TERM. /Wednesday through Monday as of 10 PM Sunday/ . The long range forecast has become rather consistent through next week with uncertainty increasing significantly by the weekend. Remnants of a low south of Haida Gwaii with high pressure over NW Canada and Southern Alaska, which remains in the area through the end of the week. More indications of a retrograding low tracking from the NE Pacific back into the AK Gulf late Friday into Saturday, then weakening as it tracks north. Beyond the weekend large uncertainty remains on upstream wave development. Ensembles still in general agreement with this pattern and deterministic models starting to align on evolution of the ridging and even the weekend low. As with most large ridging patterns, models diverge rather significantly depicting the eventual break down. Kept with WPC for any changes to the forecast, which were relatively few.

Expect drier weather to last through the end of the week as flow becomes easterly and higher pressure builds over the region. Increased pop with the development of the low moving back into the Gulf for the weekend, but since confidence in the weather pattern remains rather low with model run to run inconsistencies, still kept pop at chance.

Winds through the period remain relatively light, with no major systems approaching the area. Winds 15 kt or less expected through next week. Expect afternoon sea breezes to develop from Cape Spencer through Icy Strait and in Lynn Canal with winds possibly upwards of 20 kt during peak heating of the day, especially for Thursday.

Ensembles still indicate a warming trend in temperatures through the week. With more sunshine plus slightly warmer 850mb temps and downsloping should lead to highs in the mid 60s to low 70s for most areas. Temps expected to cool again by the weekend due to the advancing low and increased pop and cloud cover.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PUBLIC . None. MARINE . None.



Fritsch/PRB

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi161 min 58°F 51°F1015.1 hPa
GEXA2 25 mi27 min SSW 1.9 G 4.1 55°F 1012.6 hPa50°F
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi61 min E 2.9 G 4.1 51°F 1014 hPa47°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi45 min SSE 1.9 G 1.9 56°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elfin Cove - Elfin Cove Seaplane Base, AK25 mi3.4 hrsN 015.00 miPartly Cloudy57°F52°F82%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAEL

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------Calm--Calm----5Calm--5--5--Calm
1 day ago----------------------Calm--Calm--Calm--Calm------Calm--Calm
2 days ago----------------------Calm--Calm--Calm--Calm--4--Calm--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
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Tue -- 03:26 AM AKDT     10.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:50 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:25 AM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:03 AM AKDT     -1.59 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:34 PM AKDT     9.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:32 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:22 PM AKDT     1.87 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:16 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.878.99.99.98.66.33.61-0.9-1.6-10.73.25.77.99.19.28.26.44.52.81.92.1

Tide / Current Tables for Takanis Bay, Alaska
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Takanis Bay
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Tue -- 03:20 AM AKDT     9.96 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:50 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:25 AM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:03 AM AKDT     -1.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:28 PM AKDT     9.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:33 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:22 PM AKDT     2.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:16 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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57.18.99.99.78.46.23.61.1-0.7-1.4-0.80.93.35.989.1986.34.52.92.12.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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