Friday, January22, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 8:18AMSunset 4:00PM Friday January 22, 2021 4:53 PM AKST (01:53 UTC) Moonrise 11:33AMMoonset 2:54AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 344 Pm Akst Fri Jan 22 2021
.small craft advisory through Saturday...
Tonight..E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt late. Seas 9 ft. SW swell.
Sat..E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. Rain.
Sat night..NE wind 15 kt becoming nw late. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
Sun..NW wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. SW swell.
Sun night..NE wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft. SW swell.
Mon..E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
Tue..NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Wed..E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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FXAK67 PAJK 222251 AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 151 PM AKST Fri Jan 22 2021

SHORT TERM . /Fri night through Sun/ The surface high pressure in the Gulf will be pushed south by a trough associated with an incoming low pressure from the NW on Sat. The upper-level jet stream shifts south and 1000-850mb thicknesses are around or below 1290m, aiding in the confidence for snowfall rather than rain from Petersburg northward. Snowfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected. Southerly flow at 850mb will transport moisture northward over the mountainous terrain, thus wringing out much of the moisture in the atmosphere. Therefore, highest total QPF of less than an inch will be along the outer coast and across the south with lesser amounts further north and inland.

The bulk of the precipitation occurs from the early afternoon hours Sat until Sat night, when precipitation rates will decrease. The surface low in the gulf will weaken and depart the area Sun with showers dimishing from NW to SE through the day.

Trended temperatures down a few degrees, into the lower 30s for the N and upper 30s for the S. Lows will stay below freezing across the panhandle. Winds continue to remain calm across most land areas through the short-term.

Confidence is moderate to high regarding the short-term forecast.

LONG TERM . /Sunday through Thursday/ As of 10pm Thursday. A front and weakening low center will be departing the area Sunday with showers diminishing from NW to SE through the day. For the rest of the extended forecast, high pressure builds over the Yukon causing predominately N winds through the inside waters. The main forecast challenge will be timing of relatively weak low centers passing through the gulf. The first low looks to skirt by Monday night into Tuesday. This will bring a chance of rain and snow, primarily along the outer coast. The second gulf low approaches next Thursday. Outside of these two systems the forecast is looking dry with potential for some sunshine. CAA with the north wind will keep temperatures considerably cooler than the rest of the month and even a bit below normal.

Models have differed from run-to-run on placement/timing of the lows passing by. This will have the biggest impact on timing/strength of peaks in outflow winds. Have included some 20kt northerlies through the inside waters during the current tightest pressure gradient, but these will likely need to be nudged up to Small Craft level if the lows track closer/deeper and/or if the high pressure in Canada is stronger.

AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PUBLIC . None. MARINE . Gale Warning for PKZ052. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-041>043-051.



CM/KRT/Ferrin

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi54 min 39°F 44°F1025.2 hPa (-0.7)
GEXA2 25 mi29 min ENE 11 G 16 35°F 1022 hPa34°F
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi44 min E 8 G 8.9 36°F 1023.9 hPa35°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi28 min NE 1.9 G 4.1 33°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elfin Cove - Elfin Cove Seaplane Base, AK25 mi2.2 hrsN 03.00 miLight Drizzle Fog/Mist37°F36°F93%1024.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAEL

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--Calm------------------------------4--Calm--Calm--Calm
1 day ago--Calm------------------------------Calm--Calm--Calm--Calm
2 days ago--NW8------------------------------5--Calm--Calm--Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:45 AM AKST     4.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:54 AM AKST     Moonset
Fri -- 07:25 AM AKST     9.21 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:26 AM AKST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:32 AM AKST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:43 PM AKST     2.31 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:08 PM AKST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:07 PM AKST     6.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.34.14.55.36.47.68.69.29.18.57.35.84.43.22.52.32.83.64.75.66.36.66.46

Tide / Current Tables for Takanis Bay, Alaska
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Takanis Bay
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:45 AM AKST     4.33 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 02:55 AM AKST     Moonset
Fri -- 07:19 AM AKST     9.11 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 AM AKST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:32 AM AKST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:43 PM AKST     2.51 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:08 PM AKST     Sunset
Fri -- 09:01 PM AKST     6.50 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.34.75.56.67.78.69.198.37.25.84.43.32.72.533.84.85.76.36.56.35.9

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station




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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.