Tuesday, August20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Pelican, AK

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 8:33PM Tuesday August 20, 2019 5:13 PM AKDT (01:13 UTC) Moonrise 9:26PMMoonset 10:23AM Illumination 71% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PKZ022 Cross Sound- 313 Pm Akdt Tue Aug 20 2019
Tonight..NW wind 10 kt. Seas building to 4 ft late.
Wed..W wind increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
Wed night..W wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft.
Thu..E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
Thu night..E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
Fri..NE wind 25 kt becoming se. Seas 10 ft.
Sat..S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
Sun..E wind 20 kt becoming n. Seas 7 ft.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pelican, AK
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location: 57.85, -136.42     debug


Area Discussion for -
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Fxak67 pajk 202300
afdajk
southeast alaska forecast discussion
national weather service juneau ak
300 pm akdt Tue aug 20 2019

Short term Tuesday through Thursday night confidence is
moderate and slowly increasing on the track of a gale force low
headed toward the southern panhandle this evening and thus wind
directions speeds for much of the southern panhandle. The 12z runs
of the ECMWF and the canadian and the 18z runs of the GFS and nam
have nudged the track of the low to the south and east bringing it
over northern portions of haida gwaii through the dixon entrance
then over misty fjords.

For the rest of this afternoon and into tonight, rain, heavy at
times, will continue to slowly move north through the panhandle.

The rain shield is expected to stay east of a line from juneau to
sitka before making its way into canada tomorrow. Heaviest
precipitation totals are expected to be in the southern panhandle
where an additional 1-1.5" of rain is expected with amounts
greatly decreasing towards the north. Juneau to sitka will be
right on the line of where the precip ends, there may be a fine
line between areas that pick up a little rainfall and areas who
stay high and dry. Also, since there is a history of instability
with the colder, stratospheric portion of the storm west of the
system, there is a slight chance of thunder this evening for
marine zone 41 and western prince of wales tonight.

Have not made too many changes to winds today. Gale force winds
are expected this evening for marine zone 41 just off the coast of
prince of wales and in clarence strait as well. Have winds in
clarence strait subsiding tonight and going below small craft
levels by Wednesday morning. Gusty winds over 40 mph are are
possible around ketchikan through late this evening.

Tranquil weather continues across the northern panhandle.

Bumped up temperatures and lowered dew point and rh values for
today across the north as many areas have had enough breaks in the
clouds to warm up into the 60s.

A wetter weather pattern will continue for the rest of the week as
another storm system is expected to impact southeast alaskan
Thursday. Rain will begin to push east into canada on Wednesday as
the current storm system weakens and moves out of the area. Some
scattered showers will still remain across the panhandle
Wednesday afternoon and evening as onshore flow begins to increase
ahead of the next storm system in the gulf.

Models have much better agreement with the system moving in for
Thursday than they did with the storm system from yesterday and
today. An area of low pressure will make its way eastward across
the central gulf on Thursday pushing a front closer to the
region. Rain will overspread much of the panhandle Thursday
afternoon and evening and continue into the nighttime hours.

Long term Friday through Tuesday night more typical late
summer or early fall pattern looks to set up from late week
onward. Strengthening and more zonal pacific jet will guide storms
into the gulf of alaska with several rounds of mostly beneficial
rainfall likely through the weekend. Operational guidance is in
decent agreement that a stronger storm system will impact the
panhandle on Thursday with heavier rainfall and gale force winds
over the outside waters at least. Depending on the track of any
surface waves, breezy to windy conditions are likely over the
inside waters Thursday into Friday as well. Temperatures should be
cooler with the cloud cover and expected rainfall with only minor
diurnal fluctuations.

Given the progressive zonal upper flow, details in any one system
are difficult to hammer out at this time range. Confidence in a
much wetter pattern is high however as we turn the corner from
summer into a more fall-like pattern.

Ajk watches warnings advisories
Public... Strong wind until 1 am akdt Wednesday for akz028.

Marine... Gale warning for pkz036-041.

Small craft advisory for pkz033-042-043.

Cm del
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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ELFA2 - 9452634 - Elfin Cove, AK 24 mi61 min 64°F 48°F1003.8 hPa
CSPA2 - Cape Spencer, AK 27 mi63 min WNW 9.9 G 13 55°F 999.5 hPa44°F
BLTA2 - Bartlet Cove AK 50 mi47 min NNW 9.9 G 14 63°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Elfin Cove - Elfin Cove Seaplane Base, AK25 mi4.5 hrsENE 925.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F32°F34%1004.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for PAEL

Wind History from AEL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------------------Calm--5--5--E9
1 day ago--N10
G16
--N12--NW10--------------------------Calm--E10--E8
G19
2 days ago----N10N8--N12----------------------N10
G20
--NW8
G19
--NW12--N12

Tide / Current Tables for Canoe Cove, North Pass, Alaska
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Canoe Cove
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Tue -- 04:11 AM AKDT     8.40 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM AKDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:23 AM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:44 PM AKDT     8.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:36 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:25 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:56 PM AKDT     1.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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34.66.47.88.48.16.95.13.21.70.80.923.75.77.58.68.98.26.74.93.221.6

Tide / Current Tables for Takanis Bay, Alaska
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Takanis Bay
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Tue -- 04:05 AM AKDT     8.30 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:40 AM AKDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:22 AM AKDT     0.95 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:23 AM AKDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:38 PM AKDT     8.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:36 PM AKDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:25 PM AKDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:56 PM AKDT     1.82 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.24.86.57.88.37.96.85.13.31.811.12.23.95.97.68.68.786.64.93.32.21.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Biorka Is., AK
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.