Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Clark's Point, AK

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

KEY MESSAGES:

1) A Special Weather Statement is in effect for pockets of freezing drizzle overnight.

2) Southerly flow continues through Monday in most of Aleutians.

3) A North Pacific low brings precipitation and gale force winds to the Western Aleutians early next week.

A fast-moving low through Bristol Bay brought mixed precipitation to the area today. Rain, snow and a rain/snow mix was observed in the AK Pen, Bristol Bay coastline and interior locations of the southern Kuskokwim Delta Region with amounts ranging from a trace to a few hundredths of an inch; highest in the upslope areas.
This light precipitation continues overnight with mostly rain showers. Temperatures over the surface remain cool enough to allow for isolated pockets of freezing drizzle this evening through dawn tomorrow in the upslope areas north of Dillingham.
Light snow and fog is expected in the Y-K Delta this evening and overnight.

Southerly flow persist in tomorrow in the Central and Eastern Aleutians bringing continued warmer air and rain to the area. Wind gusts through the bays and passes remain between 20 and 35 knots.
Light snow will fall in the Y-K Delta through the bigger story is widespread fog across most of the Southwest from onshore flow.
Visibilities drop to between 1/2 and 1 mile overnight with slowly improving conditions tomorrow afternoon.

Two upper level lows in the Western Aleutians brings rain and gale force winds to the Western Aleutians as early as late Sunday night and continuing through the beginning of next week. As these move north and east across the Aleutians, cooler air filters in behind it bringing a switch from rain to snow across the Western and portions of the Central Aleutians.



.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Wednesday through Saturday)...

Confidence is higher than usual for high pressure to build across the state for the majority of the long range. The resulting omega block pattern is expected to bring seasonable and relatively quieter weather to much of the Mainland. There remains fairly good model agreement on persistent upper level troughing over Kamchatka and the far Western Bering Sea. Several shortwaves and accompanying surface lows will lift from the North Pacific and into the western Bering through mid to late next week, keeping unsettled and active weather mainly confined to the Western and Central Aleutians. Each wave will move in succession through the Aleutians and Bering Sea, bringing multiple rounds of potentially gale to storm force winds and precipitation for most of next week.
However, the main foreseeable challenge would be with the timing of each low that lifts north across the area.

JH/Rux

AVIATION

PANC...Light northerly winds around 10 kts or less will persist.
Conditions will likely remain VFR as light snowfall pushes northwards away from the terminal. A chance of mixed precipitation type, including freezing rain or drizzle, will be possible starting around 09Z through early Sunday morning.