Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Madawaska, ME
April 19, 2024 2:57 AM EDT (06:57 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:20 AM Sunset 7:28 PM Moonrise 3:10 PM Moonset 5:08 AM |
Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
(hide/show) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KCAR 190439 AFDCAR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1239 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure crosses the region overnight into Friday. An occluded front approaches Friday night, crosses the region Saturday, then exits across the Maritimes Sunday. A cold front crosses the region Sunday night into Monday. High pressure then builds across the region later Monday into Tuesday
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1235 am update: Bumped up high temps for Friday. Could see fairly widespread 60F readings in Aroostook County and upper Penobscot River valley. Guidance is trended towards strengthening the occluded front late tonight with more QPF.
Previous discussion: Surface/upper level ridging persists across the region tonight into early Friday, then begins to exit across the Maritimes later Friday. An occluded front will approach western New England later Friday. Any remaining diurnal clouds will dissipate early this evening leaving skies generally mostly clear across the forecast area tonight. However, clouds could begin to increase across western areas late tonight. Expect increasing clouds, from west to east, Friday. Low temperatures tonight will range from around 30 to the lower 30s north, to the lower to mid 30s Downeast. High temperatures Friday will range from the mid to upper 50s across much of the forecast area.
However, onshore winds from the Gulf of Maine will keep cooler temperatures along the Downeast coast where high temperatures will range from around 50 to the lower 50s.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Surface/upper level ridge moves east Friday evening in advance of the weakening occluded front. The lowest levels remain quite dry right into Friday night, thus expect just the chance of showers with the approaching front later Friday night. There is some indication that some enhancement of the shower activity will take place as the front nears the coast, as some energy rounds the approaching upper trof. As such, have shown an area of likely pops Downeast later Friday night through early Saturday.
South wind will keep lows from falling much lower than the 40 degree for most areas. A short wave and weak cold front crosses the region Saturday afternoon with additional shower chances, especially for central and Downeast areas. Afternoon highs on Saturday still expected to reach to above normal levels in the mid to upper 50s. Saturday night features drier and somewhat cooler conditions behind the departing short wave and cold front. H5 low remains centered near Hudson bay during Sunday.
Lapse rate steepen up in advance of the approaching upper trof enough to generate some cumulus but the dry low levels should preclude any measurable rainfall through Sunday afternoon.
Afternoon highs will top out right around seasonal levels for this time of year.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Sunday night features a cold front crossing the region. Expect the chance for a few snow showers with the front, mainly across the St. John Valley and northern Aroostook. Monday looks like a dry and cooler day as H925/850 temperatures cool several degrees from the weekend. Perhaps the bigger story will be the potential for gusty northwest winds as indications are for a deep mixed layer to be present with gusts to 35 to 40 mph possible. Monday night through Tuesday will be dry as high pressure builds in. Looks like another trough sets up across the eastern U.S. middle of next week. There are indications that a low pressure system will impact northern Maine during that time frame. This system could bring the chance of some rain or snow by that time. One thing that looks more certain is the potential for below normal temperatures by mid week.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected through Friday. Light and variable winds tonight. South/southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots Friday.
SHORT TERM: Friday night-Saturday...MVFR possible in showers. LLWS possible.
S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SW Saturday.
Saturday night and Sunday...VFR.
Sunday night-Monday...VFR, except chance MVFR SHSN Sunday night KFVE/KCAR. NW wind gusts may approach 30 to 35 kt on Monday.
Monday night-Tuesday...VFR.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels tonight through Friday.
SHORT TERM: Winds/seas expected to remain below SCA levels through the beginning of the weekend before gusts approach 25 kt by Sunday.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1239 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure crosses the region overnight into Friday. An occluded front approaches Friday night, crosses the region Saturday, then exits across the Maritimes Sunday. A cold front crosses the region Sunday night into Monday. High pressure then builds across the region later Monday into Tuesday
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1235 am update: Bumped up high temps for Friday. Could see fairly widespread 60F readings in Aroostook County and upper Penobscot River valley. Guidance is trended towards strengthening the occluded front late tonight with more QPF.
Previous discussion: Surface/upper level ridging persists across the region tonight into early Friday, then begins to exit across the Maritimes later Friday. An occluded front will approach western New England later Friday. Any remaining diurnal clouds will dissipate early this evening leaving skies generally mostly clear across the forecast area tonight. However, clouds could begin to increase across western areas late tonight. Expect increasing clouds, from west to east, Friday. Low temperatures tonight will range from around 30 to the lower 30s north, to the lower to mid 30s Downeast. High temperatures Friday will range from the mid to upper 50s across much of the forecast area.
However, onshore winds from the Gulf of Maine will keep cooler temperatures along the Downeast coast where high temperatures will range from around 50 to the lower 50s.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Surface/upper level ridge moves east Friday evening in advance of the weakening occluded front. The lowest levels remain quite dry right into Friday night, thus expect just the chance of showers with the approaching front later Friday night. There is some indication that some enhancement of the shower activity will take place as the front nears the coast, as some energy rounds the approaching upper trof. As such, have shown an area of likely pops Downeast later Friday night through early Saturday.
South wind will keep lows from falling much lower than the 40 degree for most areas. A short wave and weak cold front crosses the region Saturday afternoon with additional shower chances, especially for central and Downeast areas. Afternoon highs on Saturday still expected to reach to above normal levels in the mid to upper 50s. Saturday night features drier and somewhat cooler conditions behind the departing short wave and cold front. H5 low remains centered near Hudson bay during Sunday.
Lapse rate steepen up in advance of the approaching upper trof enough to generate some cumulus but the dry low levels should preclude any measurable rainfall through Sunday afternoon.
Afternoon highs will top out right around seasonal levels for this time of year.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Sunday night features a cold front crossing the region. Expect the chance for a few snow showers with the front, mainly across the St. John Valley and northern Aroostook. Monday looks like a dry and cooler day as H925/850 temperatures cool several degrees from the weekend. Perhaps the bigger story will be the potential for gusty northwest winds as indications are for a deep mixed layer to be present with gusts to 35 to 40 mph possible. Monday night through Tuesday will be dry as high pressure builds in. Looks like another trough sets up across the eastern U.S. middle of next week. There are indications that a low pressure system will impact northern Maine during that time frame. This system could bring the chance of some rain or snow by that time. One thing that looks more certain is the potential for below normal temperatures by mid week.
AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NEAR TERM: VFR conditions expected through Friday. Light and variable winds tonight. South/southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots Friday.
SHORT TERM: Friday night-Saturday...MVFR possible in showers. LLWS possible.
S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming SW Saturday.
Saturday night and Sunday...VFR.
Sunday night-Monday...VFR, except chance MVFR SHSN Sunday night KFVE/KCAR. NW wind gusts may approach 30 to 35 kt on Monday.
Monday night-Tuesday...VFR.
MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels tonight through Friday.
SHORT TERM: Winds/seas expected to remain below SCA levels through the beginning of the weekend before gusts approach 25 kt by Sunday.
CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
Caribou, ME,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE