Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lowell Point, AK

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The active weather pattern continues for the southwest Mainland as a low pressure system over the Bering Sea sends a front overhead Wednesday evening. The front will bring a mix of rain and snow, with rain more likely toward coastal areas and better chances for snow inland. Gusty southerly winds will accompany the front with gusts in the 30 to 40 mph range for the Kuskokwim Delta behind the front late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. A coastal flood warning has been issued the the Kuskokwim Delta due to these conditions. While there will be an initial surge of water this evening around 3 feet above mean high high water, the bigger impact will likely Thursday evening into Friday morning with the next system.

Quick on the heels of the first front, a second system pushes into the central Bering Sea. The front with this system has a much warmer air mass and a better chance for much of the Mainland to see rain as the predominant precipitation type. Southerly winds will be stronger as well, with gusts reaching as high as 50 mph.
There are better chances for coastal flooding for this system as well as a surge of water up the Kuskokwim River making overflow conditions possible, see the special weather statement for more information.

Looking farther ahead to the weekend, yet another disturbance and front impacts the area, this one brings the possibility of accumulating snowfall for the Kuskokwim Delta with rain for Bristol Bay and the Kuskokwim Valley. Stay tuned!

MTL

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The prevailing storm track remains from the north Pacific into the Bering Sea through the weekend. The upcoming system on Thursday will bring storm-force winds to much of the central and eastern Bering Sea. There is a chance for some hurricane force gusts closer to the Fox Islands. Another front and low pressure system moves into the eastern Bering Sea on Saturday, this one with a weaker wind field, however, behind this system, arctic air will bring a much colder air mass to the area which will return freezing spray concerns for much of the Bering Sea as well as a possibility of a polar low with strong/compact winds on Saturday.

MTL

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

Key takeaways:

- High southerly winds and heavy precipitation shifts away from the southern coast towards the Panhandle - Heavy snow totals across the Brooks Range, Kenai Peninsula and higher elevations of South Central will start to taper off - Significant pattern shift to bring much colder temperatures across the forecast area early in the work week.

A strong northeast Pacific high coupled with a strong upper level shortwave trough and surface low will produce strong gradient winds across the Aleutians through the Alaskan and Kenai Peninsulas early in the period. The Pacific high pressure will start to retreat eastward allowing for an upper level long wave trough to migrate over much of the state on Monday through the end of the period as a moderately strong ridge of high pressure moves into the western Bering sea.

The southerly winds and and heavy precipitation, across the mainland and AKPEN, will start to abate on Sunday evening as an arctic airmass moves over much of the state. This air mass will linger through the end of the forecast period bringing northerly winds and much colder, below normal temperatures across the state.

-DD

AVIATION

PANC... Scattered rain showers will diminish through this evening with primarily VFR ceilings lowering to MVFR ceilings overnight.
Southerly to southwesterly winds prevail through Thursday evening. Wind gusts range from 20 to 30 knots later this evening into Thursday evening. Precipitation moves back into the area after 10Z and is expected to stay rain or a rain-snow mix through mid to late morning.