Dillard, GA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Dillard, GA

June 3, 2024 12:28 AM EDT (04:28 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:15 AM   Sunset 8:41 PM
Moonrise 3:01 AM   Moonset 4:56 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Dillard, GA
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Area Discussion for - Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
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FXUS62 KGSP 030158 AFDGSP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 958 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
A typical summer pattern is returning during the first half of the week with daily afternoon thunderstorm chances. Showers and thunderstorms will likely increase in coverage for Wednesday and Thursday as a weak cold front approaches our area. Drier weather is expected to return by the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 1000 PM EDT Sunday: Band of showers pushing across the I-77 corridor at this and will slip east of the CFWA over the next hour or so. CAMs continue to produce sporadic showers overnight, so adjusted PoPs to account for this. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track outside of adjusting weather elements based on current observations and latest trends as 00Z guidance slowly trickles in. Expect overnight low temps dropping to near- normal if not slightly above. With winds going light to calm and ample lingering boundary layer moisture, there's a good chance that we'll see at least patchy dense fog and low stratus across our area with widespread fog certainly possible by daybreak.

Otherwise, an upper shortwave trof will translate over our fcst area and help push a weakening upper ridge off the Atlantic Coast today/ tonight. As we move into Monday, heights begin to rebound as upper ridging starts to build over the Southeast again. At the sfc, high pressure will continue to slowly move further off the SE Coast as a moist frontal boundary gradually moves thru our fcst area today and tonight and eventually washes out to our east on Monday. This will result in profiles undergoing some amount of drying on Monday. None theless, we will remain under warming SLY low-level flow which will likely produce another round of diurnal, isolated to sct showers and thunderstorms, yet the severe potential still appears minimal at best on Monday. In addition, temperatures on Monday will rebound to near, if not slightly above, normal values under significantly less cloud cover and increasing thicknesses.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 130 pm Sunday: A weak short wave ridge will meander across the region through much of the period, before shunting to the Coast by Wed evening, as an area of large scale height falls overspreads the Appalachians and vicinity. SW low level flow will provide the heat and humidity for diurnal deep convection Tue afternoon...although coverage is expected to be somewhat limited due to weak anticyclonic flow aloft and relatively low precipitable water values. Moderate instability should nevertheless allow for isolated to widely scattered coverage (20-40 PoPs) across much of the area, esp the high terrain.

A cold front associated with aforementioned height falls will enter the picture from the west by the end of Wednesday, enhancing diurnal convective chances during the afternoon/evening, especially over the mountains, where 60-70 PoPs are warranted. A consensus of short term guidance suggests destabilization could be quite robust Wed afternoon, with sbCAPE of 2000+ J/kg likely. Shear parameters are forecast to be quite meager, but 0-3km shear of 15-20 kts could support some local cell clustering along outflow boundaries which would pose a threat of isolated downbursts, while a few pulse severe storms also appear to be a good bet. With the front expected to steadily cross the region Wed night, some degree of convective coverage will likely persist long after the end of the diurnal heating cycle, albeit with a warning risk of strong-to-severe convection. Temps are expected to be a category or so above climo through the period.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 150 pm Sunday: A trough associated with a deep upper low is expected to develop across the East early in the extended...
gradually shifting off the East Coast through the period. An associated frontal boundary is expected to be draped over or near the forecast area at the start of the period, with scattered convection (generally 30-50 PoPs) expected from late morning through the afternoon Thursday. Lower theta-E air is expected to begin filtering in from the west by the end of the day, bringing an end to substantial convective chances from Friday through next weekend, although a few showers (PoPs 30% at most) will be possible across the mountains within deep NW/upslope flow regime Friday through Sunday. Other than a stretch of near-to-slightly below normal temperatures expected Fri night through Sat night, temps are expected to remain a category or so above normal through the period.

AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
At KCLT and elsewhere: Scattered showers and embedded thunder beginning to slip east of the TAF sites. Could see some lingering showers overnight, so kept a VCSH mention. After the rain moves east of the area overnight, expect cigs and visby to lower. There's a decent chance that all TAF sites will see a few hrs of IFR cigs and at least MVFR visby overnight and into the morning, with the lowest confidence at KCLT. KAVL and KHKY have the best chance of seeing LIFR or lower around sunrise. Expect visby to improve and the lower cigs to sct out by roughly 14z late tomorrow morning with VFR for the rest of the day. We will likely see another round of diurnal isolated to sct showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon/evening, which is represented in a PROB30 for all TAF sites between 18Z and 24Z. Otherwise, winds will go light and variable later this evening/overnight and continue to favor a S to SW direction on Monday.

Outlook: Diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances with associated restrictions will linger thru the middle of next week.

GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KA0 sm18 mincalm1/4 smOvercast Fog 63°F61°F94%30.13
Link to 5 minute data for K1A5


Wind History from 1A5
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