Sunrise 6:26 AM   Sunset 8:21 PM Moonrise 2:27 AM   Moonset 3:30 PM

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AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 234 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Thursday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon, becoming south in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Friday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south in the afternoon, becoming southwest. Seas 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 021902 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 302 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Rest of Today-Monday...Scattered showers have developed along the sea breeze as it moves inland across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County early this afternoon. This activity is forecast to continue inland, with a collision with the west coast sea breeze occurring over the western half of the peninsula. CAMs continue to show showers and storms then drifting back towards the coast Treasure and southern Space Coasts along westerly mid to upper level flow late this evening into the overnight hours. The highest PoPs are forecast in this area (30-50%) with areas to the north (20-30%) having a lower chance for activity. The main threats with any storms will be gusty winds and lightning strikes.
Light onshore flow overnight will keep low temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s early Monday morning.

As the ridge drifts farther into the western Atlantic, the ridge axis will settle in over north Florida, maintaining onshore flow through the day. Winds will continue to diminish, but the east coast sea breeze developing in the late morning and early afternoon will enhance winds to around 10-15mph, with gusts to around 20mph along the coast. Shower and thunderstorm chances will continue, with PoPs 30-40%. The highest chances look to be across the interior in the afternoon, which will be closest to the sea breeze collision over the western half of the peninsula. The warming trend continues, with highs forecast to reach the upper 80s along the coast and lower 90s inland. Increased moisture will allow for heat indices to creep into the upper 90s inland from the Treasure Coast and in Okeechobee County.

Tuesday-Saturday...(modified previous) The ridge axis drifts from north Florida to south FL through the period, as a weak frontal boundary pushes into the deep South, supported by a deep upper cut- off low rotating into the Great Lakes. Moisture looks fairly limited so the daily 30-50% PoPs may be a bit generous. Have more confidence that max temperatures will continue a warming trend with highs reaching mid 90s Tue thru the end of the week. These low to mid 90s will spread to the east coast by late week as the sea breeze onset gets more and more delayed. This will also shift the daily sea breeze collisions to our (east) side of the peninsula. Provided there is sufficient moisture, scattered sea breeze storms may result but residual mid level dry air may produce strong storms, accompanied by gusty winds and of course lightning strikes which could spark add'l brush fires. This is the typical story as we transition to the wet season. Heat Risk will become a concern once again late this week with peak heat indices reaching 100-105 Thu-Fri and 102-107 on Sat.

MARINE
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure will drift farther into the western Atlantic through mid-week, with the ridge axis forecast to extend towards the Florida peninsula through late week. A weak cool front is forecast to approach the area Friday into Friday night, though this feature will likely stall before making it to east central Florida. Thus, boating conditions will continue to improve into Monday, with onshore flow remaining under 15kts through Wednesday.
By Thursday, winds veer southeasterly, as the ridge axis moves southward, with winds then veering southerly on Friday. Seas 3-4ft tonight becoming 2-3ft through the remainder of the period. Daily shower and thunderstorm chances are forecast, with some activity pushing offshore in the evening hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure influence will persist into mid week, maintaining sensitive fire weather conditions. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms this afternoon, mainly south and west of Orlando. Onshore flow will aid the east coast sea breeze, keeping the collision on the west side of the peninsula. Breezy conditions behind the sea breeze, with gusts up to around 20 to 25mph behind it. Sensitive fire weather conditions persist due to min RH between 40-45% over the interior. Very good to excellent dispersion expected.

Daily shower and thunderstorm chances through mid week, as a high temperatures gradually warm each day, becoming near 90 along the coast and lower 90s inland. Onshore flow will continue, enhanced each day by the sea breeze. Min RH values remaining around 45% over the interior, with higher min RH towards the coast. Good to very good dispersion each afternoon.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Dense cu layer has developed across the entire area this afternoon with a eastward-moving cirrus deck over northern terminals. Isolated showers have developed on the northern and eastern shores of Lake Okeechobee towards KFPR/KSUA, which will be the focus for any organized activity through the afternoon. Confidence is not high enough to include any TEMPO groups with this package, but may need addition beyond 20Z for VRB/FPR/SUA. Activity along the west coast sea breeze will push inland over the next few hours, but including only vicinity mentions for interior terminals. East winds up of 10- 15 knots gusting above 20 knots at coastal sites through 00Z, with winds diminishing overnight.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 71 87 71 88 / 20 30 10 30 MCO 71 90 71 92 / 20 40 10 40 MLB 73 87 73 88 / 30 40 20 40 VRB 71 88 71 89 / 40 40 20 40 LEE 72 91 71 93 / 20 50 20 40 SFB 71 90 71 92 / 20 40 10 40 ORL 72 91 72 92 / 20 40 10 40 FPR 71 87 70 88 / 40 40 20 40

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Titusville
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Sun -- 01:21 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:06 AM EDT     3.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:26 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:39 PM EDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT     3.79 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside)
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Sun -- 03:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:13 AM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 11:47 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:00 PM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Ponce de Leon Inlet (inside), Florida, Tide feet

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