Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Merritt Park, NY
June 2, 2024 7:16 PM EDT (23:16 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:22 AM Sunset 8:26 PM Moonrise 2:47 AM Moonset 4:12 PM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 317 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon - W winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: se 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Thu - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms.
Thu night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Fri night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 317 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure slides south of the area as a weak disturbance moves through tonight and into the beginning of Monday. High pressure then builds back across the area Monday night, lingering through mid- week before heading out into the atlantic for the latter half of the week. A series of frontal system then approaches from the west Thursday through next weekend.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 021933 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 333 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure slides south of the area as a weak disturbance moves through tonight and into the beginning of Monday. High pressure then builds back across the area Monday night, lingering through mid- week before heading out into the Atlantic for the latter half of the week. A series of frontal system then approaches from the west Thursday through next weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Clouds will be on the increase into this evening as a mid-level disturbance moves into the area from the west. This mid-level shortwave becomes less defined and weakens as it approaches the area. Any showers that are associated with it will weaken or dissipate as they approach from the west this evening and into the first half of tonight. The combination of showers falling out of a mid-level cloud deck with low level dry air from the departing high as well as the weakening forcing should allow for not much more than cloud cover tonight. The best chance for a stray or passing shower is for areas to the southwest, mainly near the NYC metro.
Lows tonight will be warm, generally in the low to middle 60s, though the city will likely remain in the upper 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
The shortwave passes overhead with a weak mid-level trough remaining over the area on Monday. With skies becoming clearer on Monday with the departing shortwave, temperatures will once again rise into the low to middle 80s for much of the area. Winds will remain light out of the west, gradually shifting to the southwest and south with seabreeze enhancement into the afternoon. Some CAMs are indicating some instability developing into the afternoon, primarily for areas away from the immediate coastline. This may provide for some stray convective showers or thunderstorms for inland areas, so kept a slight chance for this potential, though it is fairly dependent on a combination of clearing skies and thus more ample daytime heating and a slightly moister BL.
Any shower or storm weakens by evening as the mid-level heights begin to recover and ridge a bit more. This allows a surface high pressure to build back into the region from Southeast Canada Monday night and into Tuesday. Lows Monday night will be in the middle 50s to low 60s, a bit cooler than previous nights.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
*Key Points*
*Seasonable temperatures through the end of the week becoming slightly below by the weekend.
*Dry conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday followed by wet weather for week's end and through next weekend.
There has been not much change in the forecast thinking for this update; have stuck close to the NBM with local adjustments.
Global ensembles are in generally good agreement with the synoptic pattern through next weekend though some timing and magnitude differences exist. Ridging aloft continues to shift east on Tuesday and Wednesday as the ridge axis passes east of the area.
The ridge then flattens to a more zonal flow by Thursday and Friday.
This is the result of a sprawling upper low taking shape over the central Canadian Maritimes, of Pacific origin, that will head southeast into Friday and settles over eastern Canada (EC) or over the northeast (GFS and CMC) by the weekend. Regardless, this will return us to a somewhat cooler and wetter pattern toward the end of the long term period.
At the surface, high pressure centered over New England on Tuesday shifts offshore by Wednesday. Interior sections will be warmest for these two days under dry conditions with east/southeast flow keeping coastal areas a few degrees cooler. Highs in the upper 70s to near 80, with low 70s for the coast each day.
By Thursday, a surface low north of Great Lakes, associated with the aforementioned upper low heads slowly east. An associated warm front approaches the area on Thursday and remains over, or just north of the area. Shower chances ramp up on Thursday morning and moreso by Thursday afternoon with the front in the vicinity. Have maintained thunder in the forecast as model soundings continue to show some elevated instability/CAPE Thursday afternoon into evening, which seems reasonable in the warm sector should some clearing occur during the day. However, the bulk of the precipitation looks to fall after 00Z Friday which should limit the convective potential somewhat. Deep southerly flow ahead of this frontal system will increase available moisture...see the Hydrology section below for additional details.
The main cold front pushes through the area as the surface low heads east by Friday. Given that the large upper low remains to the north with the local area under deep cyclonic flow, another frontal system quickly follows Friday into Saturday with additional showers and thunder possible.
AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure gradually moves farther out into the Atlantic through this evening, with a weakening disturbance moving through late tonight and early Monday morning. Weak high pressure builds from the N and NE late Monday.
VFR and predominantly dry conditions are expected through the TAF period. The possible exception would be for 06z Mon until 15z Mon with -SHRA, but with VFR ceilings and visibilities expected.
A general S-SW flow at 7-15 kt for this afternoon with sea breeze enhancement for some coastal terminals along with some gusts for KJFK, and possibly KEWR. Some terminals will have wind speeds of 5 kts or less and variable direction late tonight, otherwise light W to N winds into Monday morning with sea breeze development likely towards or just after midday for coastal terminals.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Some gusts 15-20 kt possible late this afternoon, especially at KJFK. KEWR could briefly get a sea breeze with more of a SE wind late this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Monday afternoon: Mainly VFR. Possible shower or thunderstorm near and N/W of NYC terminals for the afternoon into early evening with brief MVFR possible.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR during the day. MVFR or lower possible late day into the night with chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers, possible thunderstorms afternoon into night.
Friday: MVFR possible at times in showers and thunderstorms.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA levels through mid week, with seas on the ocean generally 3 ft or less. The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4-5 ft waves Thursday afternoon into Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
Isolated heavy rain with any showers or thunderstorms Thursday into Friday is possible. PWATS could reach 1.75-2 inches Thursday into Thursday night which is above the 90th percentile and nearing the daily max for the date, per SPC sounding climatology for OKX. WPC has placed much of the area into a MRGL risk of excessive rainfall on Thursday.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the approach of a new moon this week, astronomical levels will be on the rise. With winds becoming more southerly and eventually southeasterly, this will allow for increasing surge this week. As a result, some locations could get some minor coastal flooding, potentially becoming more widespread Tuesday night and Wednesday night.
Tide levels increase getting closer to midweek. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles as minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through Monday due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 333 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure slides south of the area as a weak disturbance moves through tonight and into the beginning of Monday. High pressure then builds back across the area Monday night, lingering through mid- week before heading out into the Atlantic for the latter half of the week. A series of frontal system then approaches from the west Thursday through next weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/
Clouds will be on the increase into this evening as a mid-level disturbance moves into the area from the west. This mid-level shortwave becomes less defined and weakens as it approaches the area. Any showers that are associated with it will weaken or dissipate as they approach from the west this evening and into the first half of tonight. The combination of showers falling out of a mid-level cloud deck with low level dry air from the departing high as well as the weakening forcing should allow for not much more than cloud cover tonight. The best chance for a stray or passing shower is for areas to the southwest, mainly near the NYC metro.
Lows tonight will be warm, generally in the low to middle 60s, though the city will likely remain in the upper 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
The shortwave passes overhead with a weak mid-level trough remaining over the area on Monday. With skies becoming clearer on Monday with the departing shortwave, temperatures will once again rise into the low to middle 80s for much of the area. Winds will remain light out of the west, gradually shifting to the southwest and south with seabreeze enhancement into the afternoon. Some CAMs are indicating some instability developing into the afternoon, primarily for areas away from the immediate coastline. This may provide for some stray convective showers or thunderstorms for inland areas, so kept a slight chance for this potential, though it is fairly dependent on a combination of clearing skies and thus more ample daytime heating and a slightly moister BL.
Any shower or storm weakens by evening as the mid-level heights begin to recover and ridge a bit more. This allows a surface high pressure to build back into the region from Southeast Canada Monday night and into Tuesday. Lows Monday night will be in the middle 50s to low 60s, a bit cooler than previous nights.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
*Key Points*
*Seasonable temperatures through the end of the week becoming slightly below by the weekend.
*Dry conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday followed by wet weather for week's end and through next weekend.
There has been not much change in the forecast thinking for this update; have stuck close to the NBM with local adjustments.
Global ensembles are in generally good agreement with the synoptic pattern through next weekend though some timing and magnitude differences exist. Ridging aloft continues to shift east on Tuesday and Wednesday as the ridge axis passes east of the area.
The ridge then flattens to a more zonal flow by Thursday and Friday.
This is the result of a sprawling upper low taking shape over the central Canadian Maritimes, of Pacific origin, that will head southeast into Friday and settles over eastern Canada (EC) or over the northeast (GFS and CMC) by the weekend. Regardless, this will return us to a somewhat cooler and wetter pattern toward the end of the long term period.
At the surface, high pressure centered over New England on Tuesday shifts offshore by Wednesday. Interior sections will be warmest for these two days under dry conditions with east/southeast flow keeping coastal areas a few degrees cooler. Highs in the upper 70s to near 80, with low 70s for the coast each day.
By Thursday, a surface low north of Great Lakes, associated with the aforementioned upper low heads slowly east. An associated warm front approaches the area on Thursday and remains over, or just north of the area. Shower chances ramp up on Thursday morning and moreso by Thursday afternoon with the front in the vicinity. Have maintained thunder in the forecast as model soundings continue to show some elevated instability/CAPE Thursday afternoon into evening, which seems reasonable in the warm sector should some clearing occur during the day. However, the bulk of the precipitation looks to fall after 00Z Friday which should limit the convective potential somewhat. Deep southerly flow ahead of this frontal system will increase available moisture...see the Hydrology section below for additional details.
The main cold front pushes through the area as the surface low heads east by Friday. Given that the large upper low remains to the north with the local area under deep cyclonic flow, another frontal system quickly follows Friday into Saturday with additional showers and thunder possible.
AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure gradually moves farther out into the Atlantic through this evening, with a weakening disturbance moving through late tonight and early Monday morning. Weak high pressure builds from the N and NE late Monday.
VFR and predominantly dry conditions are expected through the TAF period. The possible exception would be for 06z Mon until 15z Mon with -SHRA, but with VFR ceilings and visibilities expected.
A general S-SW flow at 7-15 kt for this afternoon with sea breeze enhancement for some coastal terminals along with some gusts for KJFK, and possibly KEWR. Some terminals will have wind speeds of 5 kts or less and variable direction late tonight, otherwise light W to N winds into Monday morning with sea breeze development likely towards or just after midday for coastal terminals.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Some gusts 15-20 kt possible late this afternoon, especially at KJFK. KEWR could briefly get a sea breeze with more of a SE wind late this afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
Monday afternoon: Mainly VFR. Possible shower or thunderstorm near and N/W of NYC terminals for the afternoon into early evening with brief MVFR possible.
Tuesday: VFR.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR during the day. MVFR or lower possible late day into the night with chances of showers and thunderstorms.
Thursday: MVFR or lower possible in rain showers, possible thunderstorms afternoon into night.
Friday: MVFR possible at times in showers and thunderstorms.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA levels through mid week, with seas on the ocean generally 3 ft or less. The ocean waters may begin to approach SCA conditions with 4-5 ft waves Thursday afternoon into Friday under enhanced southerly flow.
HYDROLOGY
Isolated heavy rain with any showers or thunderstorms Thursday into Friday is possible. PWATS could reach 1.75-2 inches Thursday into Thursday night which is above the 90th percentile and nearing the daily max for the date, per SPC sounding climatology for OKX. WPC has placed much of the area into a MRGL risk of excessive rainfall on Thursday.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
With the approach of a new moon this week, astronomical levels will be on the rise. With winds becoming more southerly and eventually southeasterly, this will allow for increasing surge this week. As a result, some locations could get some minor coastal flooding, potentially becoming more widespread Tuesday night and Wednesday night.
Tide levels increase getting closer to midweek. Stevens guidance shows minor flood benchmarks being approached as early as Monday night. Thus, trends will need to be monitored in subsequent cycles as minor coastal flooding will become more likely for the south shore bays of Nassau, Queens, and Brooklyn, along with Western LI Sound for CT, and Westchester towards Tuesday.
Water temperatures remain around 60 degrees around the region.
This poses the threat for hypothermia to anyone immersed in the water. Small boats, canoes, and kayaks should plan accordingly if recreating this and use extreme caution to avoid this threat.
There is a low rip current risk through Monday due to low seas on the ocean and winds mainly 10 kt or less.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NPXN6 | 23 mi | 47 min | S 2.9 | 77°F | 29.95 | 62°F | ||
| ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY | 35 mi | 47 min | 0 | 77°F | 29.89 | 63°F | ||
| TKPN6 | 35 mi | 47 min | 0G | 76°F | 74°F | 29.93 | 58°F | |
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 41 mi | 47 min | SW 6G | 74°F | 61°F | 29.90 | ||
| KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 49 mi | 47 min | S 8.9G | 74°F | 63°F | 29.96 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 9 sm | 23 min | WSW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 79°F | 55°F | 45% | 29.93 | |
| KSWF NEW YORK STEWART INTL,NY | 16 sm | 31 min | WSW 09 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 77°F | 55°F | 47% | 29.95 | |
| KDXR DANBURY MUNI,CT | 20 sm | 23 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 77°F | 55°F | 47% | 29.96 | |
| KMGJ ORANGE COUNTY,NY | 24 sm | 22 min | SW 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 54°F | 50% | 29.95 |
New Hamburg
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:47 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 03:50 AM EDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 09:11 AM EDT 2.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:01 PM EDT -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:45 PM EDT 3.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:47 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 03:50 AM EDT 0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:23 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 09:11 AM EDT 2.98 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:01 PM EDT -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:45 PM EDT 3.52 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2 |
| 1 am |
| 1.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.8 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.5 |
| 7 am |
| 2.2 |
| 8 am |
| 2.8 |
| 9 am |
| 3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.9 |
| 11 am |
| 2.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 4 pm |
| -0 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 3 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.3 |
Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:08 AM EDT -1.29 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:48 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:50 AM EDT 0.72 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:40 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.00 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:30 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:08 AM EDT -1.29 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:48 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:24 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:50 AM EDT 0.72 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 09:40 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:12 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:56 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.00 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 10:30 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -1.1 |
| 1 am |
| -1.3 |
| 2 am |
| -1.2 |
| 3 am |
| -0.9 |
| 4 am |
| -0.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 0.7 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0.2 |
| 11 am |
| -0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -1 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 11 pm |
| -0.3 |
Upton, NY,
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