Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 2:30 AM   Moonset 3:29 PM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming se in the evening. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms showers likely in the afternoon Wed night - E se winds around 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu - E se winds around 5 kt becoming S sw in the afternoon, then becoming W in the evening. Seas 0 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely in the afternoon. Thu night - W nw winds around 5 kt becoming E ne 5 kt late in the evening, then becoming se after midnight. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri and Fri night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.

GMZ600 300 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts westerly late in the week.

FXUS62 KTBW 021848 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 248 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

As we go through the rest of our Sunday ridging is to our north and PWs have been increasing across the area. This will result in a more typical summertime seabreeze pattern. Looking at our seabreeze climatology we are currently in a regime 6 with a light S to SE flow. This regime typically brings the majority of shower activity pinned near the west coast with the highest PoPs south of I4. We are already seeing this with a developing CU field along the coast with coastal showers developing in Pasco and Charlotte Counties.

This pattern seem to stay pretty consistent through Wednesday with late afternoon and evening shower activity focused mainly on the west coast of Florida. This will hopefully help to put a dent into some of the drought we are seeing across the area.

Ridging will work its way to our south for the later half of the week in response to a cold front that will start to push through the Southeast. This will cause us to shift our focus to more inland areas when it comes to afternoon and evening thunderstorm activity.

By Saturday the models are showing the front making it into Central Florida. It is a little late in the season for us to see a front so we will see if the models stay consistent with this solution through the week, but if it does verify it would cause us to see an increase in shower activity for the day.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period outside of thunderstorms. Thunderstorms will be the biggest hazard to terminals today as thunderstorm chances have gone up. Highest confidence for thunderstorms on station will be at SRQ, PGD, FMY and RSW where a TEMPO line was added but all terminals have a chance of seeing thunderstorms through the late afternoon and evening hours.



MARINE
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Ridging will remain to our north with some increase moisture across the area. This will keep winds out of an easterly direction for today and through mid week. This will also bring back our typically seabreeze convection over the land each afternoon and evening. These storm will drift into the Gulf each day mainly in the late evening and early overnight hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 241 PM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Moisture has increase and winds have decreased compared to yesterday as ridging has shifted to our north. This will keep RHs above critical range with no fire weather concerns.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 90 76 93 / 50 70 30 50 FMY 72 91 73 94 / 60 80 50 80 GIF 73 92 72 94 / 50 70 10 60 SRQ 72 90 74 95 / 70 70 40 60 BKV 69 91 68 95 / 40 60 20 50 SPG 77 90 79 93 / 60 70 40 60

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Little Hickory Island
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Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:16 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:20 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:57 PM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Little Hickory Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:40 AM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM EDT     1.07 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:14 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:53 PM EDT     0.94 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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