Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Isla Vista, CA
June 2, 2024 9:51 AM PDT (16:51 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:46 AM Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 3:00 AM Moonset 4:16 PM |
PZZ650 East Santa Barbara Channel From Pt. Conception To Pt. Mugu Ca Including Santa Cruz Island- 850 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - Western portion, W wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming 15 to 20 kt with local gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, se wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 6 seconds.
Tonight - Western portion, W wind 15 to 20 kt, becoming 10 to 15 kt late. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt in the evening, becoming se 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 7 seconds.
Mon - Western portion, W wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Eastern portion, se wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 4 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Mon night - Western portion, W wind 15 to 25 kt, becoming 5 to 10 kt late. Eastern portion, W wind 10 to 20 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: W 5 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Tue - E wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 8 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning.
Tue night - W wind 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight.
Wed - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, except W 10 kt in the afternoon and evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 10 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning and again after midnight.
Thu - SE wind 5 to 10 kt, except W 10 kt in the afternoon and evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: W 3 ft at 14 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning and again after midnight.
PZZ600 850 Am Pdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for the southern california coast and santa barbara channel including the channel islands national marine sanctuary and national park - At 15z, or 8 am pdt, a 1029 mb surface high was located 1200 nm W of point conception. A 1002 mb thermal low was centered near needles, ca with a trough of low pressure extending southward into the gulf of california.
Area Discussion for - Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
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FXUS66 KLOX 021603 AFDLOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 903 AM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
02/332 AM.
Temperatures cooler than normal will linger today due to strong onshore flow and a persistent marine layer. A warming trend will establish through Thursday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast into the interior valleys. Closer to the coast, night through morning low clouds and fog with persist with moderate to strong onshore flow continuing. Clouds may continue to struggle to clear from the beaches.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...02/903 AM.
***UPDATE***
A weak trough passing through the region lifted and squeezed out measurable rain across much of coastal Ventura into portions of LA County this morning. Otherwise, low clouds and patchy fog was prevalent except for elevations above about 3000 feet for southern areas and 2000 feet up north. Gusty but mostly sub-advisory northwesterly winds will continue through tonight for prone areas mentioned in detail in the previous discussion.
Forecast challenge of today will be assessing competing factors in the building ridge and interior heat through mid week with a stubborn marine layer closer to the coast. The greatest uncertainty in the upcoming heat impacts is the coastal valleys, which are near the margin of these two competing factors. Although being further inland and higher in elevation, the Antelope Valley Excessive Heat Watch is also largely dependent on these competing factors, leading to only moderate confidence of reaching excessive heat criteria there. Will take a closer look at current heat products with the afternoon package, but a quick look suggests the current Excessive Heat Watch covers the region with the greatest risk for excessive heat.
***From Previous Discussion***
The latest satellite imagery indicates low clouds and fog pushing well into the coastal slopes of the mountains early this morning as strong onshore flow and a persistent deep marine layer depth remain in place. An eddy circulation continues to spin just northwest of Santa Catalina Island, deepening the marine layer depth to between 3000 and 3500 feet deep south of Point Conception. To the north, the marine layer depth is closer to around 2000 feet deep this morning as clouds are pushing into the interior valleys of San Luis Obispo County. Patchy drizzle is possible this morning and there is a good chance that an update will issued to the forecast as some rain gages are starting to pickup drizzle and ceilings at area airports are falling slightly. A cooler weather pattern will linger today across much of the coastal and valley areas, and these areas are likely below to slightly below normal. Across the interior, temperatures will start to warm as downsloping effects continue and onshore flow starts to wane.
Gusty Sundowner winds are weakening across southern Santa Barbara County this morning, but the northerly surface pressure gradient will tighten over the coming days, potentially bringing another couple rounds of Sundowner winds. With the gradient progged to be slightly weaker today, wind advisory headlines were tabled for this afternoon and tonight, but the gradient will tighten on Monday night and could bring another round of advisory level Sundowner winds. Gusty northerly winds will also develop through the Interstate 5 Corridor and a wind advisory will likely be needed for this area, as well. Marginally gusty winds could possibly also extend into portions of the far western Antelope Valley.
A warming trend will take shape over the coming days as 500 mb heights climb. The developing northerly surface pressure gradient and climbing heights will weaken the onshore push each day and thin the marine layer depth some. The warming trend will become more pronounced between Tuesday and Wednesday across the interior portions as hot temperatures will develop across interior valleys and adjacent foothills, but closer to the coast, a persistent moderate to strong onshore push will remain and keep the warming trend more moderate along the coast. The likely scenario will be for a June Gloom pattern to keep low clouds and fog hugging the beaches each afternoon, then the clouds will push back in during the evening.
.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...02/437 AM.
Temperatures will warm closer to critical levels for excessive heat across the Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys on Wednesday. NBM solutions are suggesting a greater than 95 percent chance of 100 degree high temperatures for KPMD and KWJF on Wednesday, and high chance of temperatures reaching 105 degrees.
Chances for very hot temperatures are lower elsewhere but still near excessive criteria across the Carrizo Plain. Given it will be a close call, an excessive watch was added for Wednesday afternoon and evening for Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys and adjacent foothill areas to highlight the potential for excessive heat. As it is a marginal case, it would not be surprising to see the watch either dropped or converted to an advisory or warning. With the southeast flow aloft developing with the ridge building into southeast California, it is possible that this watch could also be extended into Thursday.
There is good amount of uncertainty for Thursday and Friday as EPS and GEFS solutions offer up quite a bit of spread for high temperatures. The chances for 100 degree temperatures fall in NBM solutions into Thursday. There is a low chance that an early start to the Southwest Desert Monsoon could develop across southern California. This could cut into temperatures by increasing cloud cover across these areas. In hinting at the possibility, EPS cloud cover means do increase some between Thursday afternoon and into next weekend.
With the ambient southeast flow aloft, PoPs and chance for thunderstorms are non-zero for Thursday and Friday, but PoPs still remain below mentionable levels during the afternoon and evening. Pattern recognition would suggest the pattern consistent with the monsoon developing but forecast ensemble and deterministic solutions do not have a good handle on it. Stay tuned for updates on this.
A cooling trend should develop for next weekend as troughing digs into the region.
AVIATION
02/1231Z.
At 12Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3500 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5300 feet with a temperature of 18 deg C.
Almost a repeat of yesterday morning at this time. Low clouds and fog in all coastal/valley areas, except the Cuyama Valley. Clouds were affecting the coastal mountain slopes as well. There will be local drizzle again this morning. The one difference is that cigs are a bit higher today. Conds were mostly MVFR in coastal and lower valley areas of L.A./VTU Counties and IFR to LIFR in the remainder of the region in which it is cloudy. There will likely be some VLIFR conds in the foothills and lower mountain slopes.
Clearing will likely be slow again today, with clouds scattering out by late morning in the valleys and early afternoon across the coastal plain. Clouds may linger thru the day at some beaches, especially S of Pt. Conception thru the day. Low clouds and fog will spread inland this eve, reaching the valleys (except the Cuyama Valley) overnight. Conds should be mostly low MVFR to high IFR, except LIFR/VLIFR in the foothills/mtns.
KLAX...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a 20-30% chance that there will be no clearing this afternoon. There is a 20% chance of IFR cigs from 09Z-15Z Mon. There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-15Z Mon.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a 20% chance that cigs will not scatter out until 21Z or 22Z. There is a 20-30% chance that cigs will arrive as early as 06Z Mon.
MARINE
02/855 AM.
In the northern outer waters zone (PZZ670), Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will likely increase to gales this afternoon (70-80% chance), then continue into tonight. For the two southern outer water zones (PZZ673/676) gale force wind gusts have developed this morning and the Gale Warning is in effect for these areas through later tonight. For all the outer waters zones, SCA conds are expected late tonight thru Tue night. For the northern two zones, there is a 50% chance of SCA conds Wed mainly due to seas, then SCA conds are not expected Wed night/Thu. In the southern outer waters, SCA conds are unlikely Wed thru Thu.
In the inner waters N of Pt. Sal, SCA level winds are likely (70-80% chance) during the afternoon/eve hours today and Mon, with a (40-50% chance) Tue afternoon/eve. Though winds will drop off tonight/Mon morning, seas will likely remain near or at advisory levels so the SCA is in effect thru Mon night. SCA conds are not expected late Tue night thru Thu.
In the inner waters S of Pt. Sal, there is a 40% chance of SCA winds in western portion of the SBA Channel during this afternoon/eve, and a 50-60% chance Mon afternoon/eve. Otherwise, conds over the inner waters should be below SCA levels thru Thu.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA 903 AM PDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
02/332 AM.
Temperatures cooler than normal will linger today due to strong onshore flow and a persistent marine layer. A warming trend will establish through Thursday due to high pressure aloft building in and weakening onshore flow. The warming trend will be most pronounced away the coast into the interior valleys. Closer to the coast, night through morning low clouds and fog with persist with moderate to strong onshore flow continuing. Clouds may continue to struggle to clear from the beaches.
.SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)...02/903 AM.
***UPDATE***
A weak trough passing through the region lifted and squeezed out measurable rain across much of coastal Ventura into portions of LA County this morning. Otherwise, low clouds and patchy fog was prevalent except for elevations above about 3000 feet for southern areas and 2000 feet up north. Gusty but mostly sub-advisory northwesterly winds will continue through tonight for prone areas mentioned in detail in the previous discussion.
Forecast challenge of today will be assessing competing factors in the building ridge and interior heat through mid week with a stubborn marine layer closer to the coast. The greatest uncertainty in the upcoming heat impacts is the coastal valleys, which are near the margin of these two competing factors. Although being further inland and higher in elevation, the Antelope Valley Excessive Heat Watch is also largely dependent on these competing factors, leading to only moderate confidence of reaching excessive heat criteria there. Will take a closer look at current heat products with the afternoon package, but a quick look suggests the current Excessive Heat Watch covers the region with the greatest risk for excessive heat.
***From Previous Discussion***
The latest satellite imagery indicates low clouds and fog pushing well into the coastal slopes of the mountains early this morning as strong onshore flow and a persistent deep marine layer depth remain in place. An eddy circulation continues to spin just northwest of Santa Catalina Island, deepening the marine layer depth to between 3000 and 3500 feet deep south of Point Conception. To the north, the marine layer depth is closer to around 2000 feet deep this morning as clouds are pushing into the interior valleys of San Luis Obispo County. Patchy drizzle is possible this morning and there is a good chance that an update will issued to the forecast as some rain gages are starting to pickup drizzle and ceilings at area airports are falling slightly. A cooler weather pattern will linger today across much of the coastal and valley areas, and these areas are likely below to slightly below normal. Across the interior, temperatures will start to warm as downsloping effects continue and onshore flow starts to wane.
Gusty Sundowner winds are weakening across southern Santa Barbara County this morning, but the northerly surface pressure gradient will tighten over the coming days, potentially bringing another couple rounds of Sundowner winds. With the gradient progged to be slightly weaker today, wind advisory headlines were tabled for this afternoon and tonight, but the gradient will tighten on Monday night and could bring another round of advisory level Sundowner winds. Gusty northerly winds will also develop through the Interstate 5 Corridor and a wind advisory will likely be needed for this area, as well. Marginally gusty winds could possibly also extend into portions of the far western Antelope Valley.
A warming trend will take shape over the coming days as 500 mb heights climb. The developing northerly surface pressure gradient and climbing heights will weaken the onshore push each day and thin the marine layer depth some. The warming trend will become more pronounced between Tuesday and Wednesday across the interior portions as hot temperatures will develop across interior valleys and adjacent foothills, but closer to the coast, a persistent moderate to strong onshore push will remain and keep the warming trend more moderate along the coast. The likely scenario will be for a June Gloom pattern to keep low clouds and fog hugging the beaches each afternoon, then the clouds will push back in during the evening.
.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...02/437 AM.
Temperatures will warm closer to critical levels for excessive heat across the Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys on Wednesday. NBM solutions are suggesting a greater than 95 percent chance of 100 degree high temperatures for KPMD and KWJF on Wednesday, and high chance of temperatures reaching 105 degrees.
Chances for very hot temperatures are lower elsewhere but still near excessive criteria across the Carrizo Plain. Given it will be a close call, an excessive watch was added for Wednesday afternoon and evening for Antelope and San Luis Obispo Interior Valleys and adjacent foothill areas to highlight the potential for excessive heat. As it is a marginal case, it would not be surprising to see the watch either dropped or converted to an advisory or warning. With the southeast flow aloft developing with the ridge building into southeast California, it is possible that this watch could also be extended into Thursday.
There is good amount of uncertainty for Thursday and Friday as EPS and GEFS solutions offer up quite a bit of spread for high temperatures. The chances for 100 degree temperatures fall in NBM solutions into Thursday. There is a low chance that an early start to the Southwest Desert Monsoon could develop across southern California. This could cut into temperatures by increasing cloud cover across these areas. In hinting at the possibility, EPS cloud cover means do increase some between Thursday afternoon and into next weekend.
With the ambient southeast flow aloft, PoPs and chance for thunderstorms are non-zero for Thursday and Friday, but PoPs still remain below mentionable levels during the afternoon and evening. Pattern recognition would suggest the pattern consistent with the monsoon developing but forecast ensemble and deterministic solutions do not have a good handle on it. Stay tuned for updates on this.
A cooling trend should develop for next weekend as troughing digs into the region.
AVIATION
02/1231Z.
At 12Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 3500 ft deep. The top of the inversion was at 5300 feet with a temperature of 18 deg C.
Almost a repeat of yesterday morning at this time. Low clouds and fog in all coastal/valley areas, except the Cuyama Valley. Clouds were affecting the coastal mountain slopes as well. There will be local drizzle again this morning. The one difference is that cigs are a bit higher today. Conds were mostly MVFR in coastal and lower valley areas of L.A./VTU Counties and IFR to LIFR in the remainder of the region in which it is cloudy. There will likely be some VLIFR conds in the foothills and lower mountain slopes.
Clearing will likely be slow again today, with clouds scattering out by late morning in the valleys and early afternoon across the coastal plain. Clouds may linger thru the day at some beaches, especially S of Pt. Conception thru the day. Low clouds and fog will spread inland this eve, reaching the valleys (except the Cuyama Valley) overnight. Conds should be mostly low MVFR to high IFR, except LIFR/VLIFR in the foothills/mtns.
KLAX...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a 20-30% chance that there will be no clearing this afternoon. There is a 20% chance of IFR cigs from 09Z-15Z Mon. There is a 20% chance of an east wind component of 7-8 kt from 09Z-15Z Mon.
KBUR...Moderate confidence in 12Z TAF. There is a 20% chance that cigs will not scatter out until 21Z or 22Z. There is a 20-30% chance that cigs will arrive as early as 06Z Mon.
MARINE
02/855 AM.
In the northern outer waters zone (PZZ670), Small Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds will likely increase to gales this afternoon (70-80% chance), then continue into tonight. For the two southern outer water zones (PZZ673/676) gale force wind gusts have developed this morning and the Gale Warning is in effect for these areas through later tonight. For all the outer waters zones, SCA conds are expected late tonight thru Tue night. For the northern two zones, there is a 50% chance of SCA conds Wed mainly due to seas, then SCA conds are not expected Wed night/Thu. In the southern outer waters, SCA conds are unlikely Wed thru Thu.
In the inner waters N of Pt. Sal, SCA level winds are likely (70-80% chance) during the afternoon/eve hours today and Mon, with a (40-50% chance) Tue afternoon/eve. Though winds will drop off tonight/Mon morning, seas will likely remain near or at advisory levels so the SCA is in effect thru Mon night. SCA conds are not expected late Tue night thru Thu.
In the inner waters S of Pt. Sal, there is a 40% chance of SCA winds in western portion of the SBA Channel during this afternoon/eve, and a 50-60% chance Mon afternoon/eve. Otherwise, conds over the inner waters should be below SCA levels thru Thu.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...Excessive Heat Watch in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for zones 344-381>383. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT this afternoon for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Monday for zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
Gale Warning in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NTBC1 - Santa Barbara, CA - 9411340 | 8 mi | 76 min | SSW 5.1G | 58°F | 29.93 | |||
| 46053 - E. SANTA BARBARA - 12NM Southwest of Santa Barbara, CA | 11 mi | 42 min | NW 3.9G | 56°F | 55°F | 29.89 | 54°F | |
| 46054 - SANTA BARBARA W 38 NM West of Santa Barbara, CA | 34 mi | 42 min | NW 21G | 54°F | 55°F | 29.94 | 53°F | |
| 46251 | 46 mi | 56 min | 57°F | 59°F | 5 ft | |||
| 46218 - Harvest, CA (071) | 49 mi | 56 min | 54°F | 8 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSBA SANTA BARBARA MUNI,CA | 2 sm | 58 min | SSW 06 | 8 sm | Partly Cloudy | 63°F | 55°F | 77% | 29.92 | |
| KIZA SANTA YNEZ,CA | 19 sm | 16 min | var 04 | 9 sm | Overcast | 57°F | 52°F | 82% | 29.95 |
Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:29 AM PDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:59 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:16 AM PDT 3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:43 PM PDT 0.98 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:20 PM PDT 5.89 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:29 AM PDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:59 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:16 AM PDT 3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:43 PM PDT 0.98 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:20 PM PDT 5.89 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Barbara, California, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 0.7 |
| 3 am |
| 1.1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 2.6 |
| 6 am |
| 3.2 |
| 7 am |
| 3.5 |
| 8 am |
| 3.4 |
| 9 am |
| 3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.6 |
Santa Barbara
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:31 AM PDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:59 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM PDT 3.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:53 PM PDT 0.99 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:25 PM PDT 5.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:31 AM PDT 0.48 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:59 AM PDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM PDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:24 AM PDT 3.68 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:53 PM PDT 0.99 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:15 PM PDT Moonset
Sun -- 07:25 PM PDT 5.81 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:06 PM PDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Santa Barbara, California (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.5 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 1 |
| 4 am |
| 1.7 |
| 5 am |
| 2.6 |
| 6 am |
| 3.3 |
| 7 am |
| 3.6 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 3.2 |
| 10 am |
| 2.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 5.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 5.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 5.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 5.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 4 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.6 |
Los Angeles, CA,
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