Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cut Off, LA
May 19, 2024 12:07 PM CDT (17:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:06 AM Sunset 7:52 PM Moonrise 3:30 PM Moonset 2:42 AM |
GMZ550 Coastal Waters From Port Fourchon La To Lower Atchafalaya River La Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From The Southwest Pass Of The Mississippi River To Port Fourchon Louisiana Out 20 Nm- 1030 Am Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Rest of today - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast late. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds.
Tonight - South winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds.
Monday - East winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 7 seconds.
Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 6 seconds.
Tuesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Tuesday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 5 seconds.
Wednesday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Wednesday night - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Thursday - Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
Thursday night - South winds around 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 5 seconds.
GMZ500 1030 Am Cdt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for pascagoula to atchafalaya river out 60 nm -
high pressure continues to build into the area allowing for mostly benign marine conditions to start the new workweek. Return flow will spread across the northern gulf of mexico early to midweek and remain in place through the end of the week. At this juncture, winds look to stay at or below 15kts.
high pressure continues to build into the area allowing for mostly benign marine conditions to start the new workweek. Return flow will spread across the northern gulf of mexico early to midweek and remain in place through the end of the week. At this juncture, winds look to stay at or below 15kts.
Area Discussion for - New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA
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FXUS64 KLIX 191527 AAB AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1027 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1027 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
A warm day is ongoing across the central Gulf Coast today.
Temperatures will be the main story with a weak northerly flow across the region. This will allow the typically "cooler" coastal locations to warm just a bit more with little influence from the adjacent shelf waters, which SSTs are roughly in the middle and upper 70s. Looking at the ongoing forecast no changes for this midpoint update. Just beyond the near term, went ahead and added some patchy fog for early Monday morning again given that strong radiative processes and moist soils may contribute to the development of some shallow fog around or just prior to sunrise.
(Frye)
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
After a good soaking along with some severe wx, we are ready for a break. A back door trough will be moving through today, this can actually be seen in radar returns this morning just to the NE of the area. We are calling this a trough since there is only weak air mass change, and the only change is found in PW values as they drop from around 1.4" this morning to around 1" by this afternoon. This won't stay around too long and we will be back to return flow Monday.
The only thing of concern will be fog this morning as the boundary moving in and conditions ahead of this boundary are ripe for radiation fog. There is only one variable that is not wanting to play along and that is a northerly wind that is supposed to be all the way to the coast by daylight today. The wind is not strong, but since it is bring a degree or two drop in dew pts, there is concern that fog will not form until right at sunrise(sunrise surprise). This is by far the hardest fog to fcast, but if this looks to be the case just before sunrise, we will bring up a dense fog advisory for inland areas south of the boundary. Since this boundary will be at the coast tonight, fog should not be an issue tonight(famous last words).
LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Warm and humid will be back for the next several days but then again it is the start of summer, so these conditions are not unusual. The only thing concerning concerning weather will be by the end of the week. But these MCS features look to stay to the north of the area by late Thu into Fri. It is possible that some of this could make its way to central LA/MS. But as far as it getting here, this does not look to be the case at the moment.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Some inland terminals could see very short duration IFR due to vis this morning around sunrise, but the remainder of this cycle should be VFR.
MARINE
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Storms will slowly move south and east and dissipate today from the outer waters. Easterly and westerly winds across the frontal boundary will also become southerly to start the new work week.
Southerly winds will remain the common theme for the rest of the week and no other systems are expected to impact the coastal waters through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 87 65 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 92 70 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 91 69 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 89 73 89 73 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 90 69 87 71 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 91 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service New Orleans LA 1027 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 1027 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
A warm day is ongoing across the central Gulf Coast today.
Temperatures will be the main story with a weak northerly flow across the region. This will allow the typically "cooler" coastal locations to warm just a bit more with little influence from the adjacent shelf waters, which SSTs are roughly in the middle and upper 70s. Looking at the ongoing forecast no changes for this midpoint update. Just beyond the near term, went ahead and added some patchy fog for early Monday morning again given that strong radiative processes and moist soils may contribute to the development of some shallow fog around or just prior to sunrise.
(Frye)
SHORT TERM
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
After a good soaking along with some severe wx, we are ready for a break. A back door trough will be moving through today, this can actually be seen in radar returns this morning just to the NE of the area. We are calling this a trough since there is only weak air mass change, and the only change is found in PW values as they drop from around 1.4" this morning to around 1" by this afternoon. This won't stay around too long and we will be back to return flow Monday.
The only thing of concern will be fog this morning as the boundary moving in and conditions ahead of this boundary are ripe for radiation fog. There is only one variable that is not wanting to play along and that is a northerly wind that is supposed to be all the way to the coast by daylight today. The wind is not strong, but since it is bring a degree or two drop in dew pts, there is concern that fog will not form until right at sunrise(sunrise surprise). This is by far the hardest fog to fcast, but if this looks to be the case just before sunrise, we will bring up a dense fog advisory for inland areas south of the boundary. Since this boundary will be at the coast tonight, fog should not be an issue tonight(famous last words).
LONG TERM
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Warm and humid will be back for the next several days but then again it is the start of summer, so these conditions are not unusual. The only thing concerning concerning weather will be by the end of the week. But these MCS features look to stay to the north of the area by late Thu into Fri. It is possible that some of this could make its way to central LA/MS. But as far as it getting here, this does not look to be the case at the moment.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Some inland terminals could see very short duration IFR due to vis this morning around sunrise, but the remainder of this cycle should be VFR.
MARINE
Issued at 157 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Storms will slowly move south and east and dissipate today from the outer waters. Easterly and westerly winds across the frontal boundary will also become southerly to start the new work week.
Southerly winds will remain the common theme for the rest of the week and no other systems are expected to impact the coastal waters through the rest of the week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 87 65 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 BTR 92 70 92 71 / 0 0 0 0 ASD 91 69 91 69 / 0 0 0 0 MSY 89 73 89 73 / 0 0 0 0 GPT 90 69 87 71 / 0 0 0 0 PQL 91 67 90 68 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BYGL1 - 8762482 - Bayou Gauche, LA | 19 mi | 49 min | 83°F | 81°F | 29.99 | |||
GISL1 - 8761724 - Grand Isle, LA | 27 mi | 49 min | NE 4.1G | 81°F | 79°F | 29.99 | ||
CARL1 | 31 mi | 49 min | 75°F | |||||
NWCL1 - 8761927 - New Canal, LA | 37 mi | 49 min | N 6G | 79°F | 81°F | 30.00 | ||
SHBL1 - 8761305 - Shell Beach, LA | 43 mi | 49 min | NNW 7G | 79°F | 73°F | 30.00 | ||
LOPL1 - Louisiana Offshore Oil Port, LA | 47 mi | 56 min | NE 7G | 76°F | 3 ft | 29.98 | 73°F | |
TESL1 - Tesoro Marine Terminal - 8764044 - Berwick, LA | 49 mi | 49 min | NE 6G | 82°F | 75°F | 30.00 |
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No data
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KGAO SOUTH LAFOURCHE LEONARD MILLER JR,LA | 7 sm | 12 min | N 07 | 10 sm | Clear | 84°F | 70°F | 62% | 29.97 | |
KHUM HOUMATERREBONNE,LA | 17 sm | 20 min | NNE 08 | 7 sm | Clear | 88°F | 73°F | 62% | 29.98 |
Tide / Current for Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana
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Manilla
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:41 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:05 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:23 AM CDT 0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:48 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:37 PM CDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:41 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:05 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:23 AM CDT 0.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:27 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:48 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 09:37 PM CDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Manilla, Mississippi River Delta, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
0.4 |
1 am |
0.4 |
2 am |
0.4 |
3 am |
0.4 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
0.5 |
6 am |
0.5 |
7 am |
0.6 |
8 am |
0.6 |
9 am |
0.7 |
10 am |
0.7 |
11 am |
0.7 |
12 pm |
0.7 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.6 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
0.4 |
5 pm |
0.4 |
6 pm |
0.3 |
7 pm |
0.2 |
8 pm |
0.2 |
9 pm |
0.2 |
10 pm |
0.2 |
11 pm |
0.2 |
Cocodrie
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:44 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:08 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:42 AM CDT 0.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:30 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:29 PM CDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:44 AM CDT Moonset
Sun -- 06:08 AM CDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:42 AM CDT 0.79 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:30 PM CDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:50 PM CDT Sunset
Sun -- 08:29 PM CDT 0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cocodrie, Terrebonne Bay, Louisiana, Tide feet
12 am |
0.5 |
1 am |
0.6 |
2 am |
0.6 |
3 am |
0.6 |
4 am |
0.6 |
5 am |
0.7 |
6 am |
0.7 |
7 am |
0.7 |
8 am |
0.7 |
9 am |
0.8 |
10 am |
0.8 |
11 am |
0.8 |
12 pm |
0.8 |
1 pm |
0.7 |
2 pm |
0.7 |
3 pm |
0.6 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
0.4 |
6 pm |
0.3 |
7 pm |
0.3 |
8 pm |
0.2 |
9 pm |
0.2 |
10 pm |
0.3 |
11 pm |
0.3 |
New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA,
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