Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Christoval, TX
May 19, 2024 5:35 PM CDT (22:35 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:41 AM Sunset 8:35 PM Moonrise 4:12 PM Moonset 3:23 AM |
Area Discussion for - San Angelo, TX
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FXUS64 KSJT 191931 AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 231 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
New LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Short wave ridging will continue to influence the region through tomorrow. This will keep our area dry through the period, with well above normal temperatures continuing. Gusty south winds this afternoon will diminish after sunset, except for some of the higher terrain where winds will remain elevated overnight. Expect clear skies tonight and mostly sunny skies on Monday. Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s, with highs on Monday ranging from the mid and upper 90s east, to 99-102 degrees across western sections. South winds will become gusty again late Monday morning into the afternoon hours.
LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Upper level troughing will begin to make its way into the area early on Tuesday, which should provide in increase in upper level moisture. While we may see an increase in high clouds, this will likely do little to curb the temperatures at the surface with highs reaching anywhere from the mid 90s to around 104 (primarily in the Concho Valley and along the I-10 corridor). The 850 mb thermal ridge will strengthen even further on Tuesday to near 30 deg C across our southwestern counties with gusty winds out of the southwest, shifting to the west behind an eastward-mixing dryline. There remains a highly conditional threat for severe weather across our northern and eastern counties on Tuesday, ahead of the dryline where significant daytime heating and moisture will co-exist. Forcing overall will be weak and a capping inversion may hinder any development. Overall chances remain very low with PoPs staying below the mentionable category for now but if we get just enough low- level convergence along the dryline, a strong storm or two could develop. As such, SPC has portions of our area in a Day 3 Marginal Risk. A frontal boundary will begin to sag south into the area during the day on Wednesday. Shower and storm development along and ahead of the boundary looks to begin Wednesday afternoon with a potential for strong to severe storms. Rain chances continue into Thursday as this frontal boundary is expected to stall out and begin to lift back north as a warm front. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will vary from the mid 80s in the Big Country and Heartland (where overall greater chances of rain exist) to the mid and upper 90s as one moves south and west.
Unfortunately, the cooler temperatures for portions of the area will be short lived as highs by Friday climb back into the 90s areawide.
A slight chance for storms exists late Friday night in the Northwest Hill Country but overall little impact is expected from this.
Temperatures begin to climb back well above normal for the holiday weekend with temperatures reaching back over 100 degrees to around 103 by Sunday as upper level zonal flow returns to the area. Some guidance is indicating a potential cold front around Memorial Day but given how far out this is, confidence is low overall so it may be best to start planning for the potential of a toasty Memorial Day.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Going with a VFR forecast the next 24 hours. Could see some stratus try to develop tomorrow morning across the southern terminals. Confidence remains too low at this time to include a ceiling, so will just include a scattered group around 1.5K FT at the three southern terminals for now. Expect gusty south winds this afternoon, diminishing this evening for most of the terminals. KABI can expected winds to remain gusty overnight, with gusty south winds returning to all terminals after 15Z Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 72 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 71 102 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 70 98 72 103 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 68 93 71 94 / 0 0 0 10 Sweetwater 72 100 75 101 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 70 100 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 69 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 231 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
New LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Short wave ridging will continue to influence the region through tomorrow. This will keep our area dry through the period, with well above normal temperatures continuing. Gusty south winds this afternoon will diminish after sunset, except for some of the higher terrain where winds will remain elevated overnight. Expect clear skies tonight and mostly sunny skies on Monday. Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s, with highs on Monday ranging from the mid and upper 90s east, to 99-102 degrees across western sections. South winds will become gusty again late Monday morning into the afternoon hours.
LONG TERM
(Monday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Upper level troughing will begin to make its way into the area early on Tuesday, which should provide in increase in upper level moisture. While we may see an increase in high clouds, this will likely do little to curb the temperatures at the surface with highs reaching anywhere from the mid 90s to around 104 (primarily in the Concho Valley and along the I-10 corridor). The 850 mb thermal ridge will strengthen even further on Tuesday to near 30 deg C across our southwestern counties with gusty winds out of the southwest, shifting to the west behind an eastward-mixing dryline. There remains a highly conditional threat for severe weather across our northern and eastern counties on Tuesday, ahead of the dryline where significant daytime heating and moisture will co-exist. Forcing overall will be weak and a capping inversion may hinder any development. Overall chances remain very low with PoPs staying below the mentionable category for now but if we get just enough low- level convergence along the dryline, a strong storm or two could develop. As such, SPC has portions of our area in a Day 3 Marginal Risk. A frontal boundary will begin to sag south into the area during the day on Wednesday. Shower and storm development along and ahead of the boundary looks to begin Wednesday afternoon with a potential for strong to severe storms. Rain chances continue into Thursday as this frontal boundary is expected to stall out and begin to lift back north as a warm front. Temperatures Wednesday and Thursday will vary from the mid 80s in the Big Country and Heartland (where overall greater chances of rain exist) to the mid and upper 90s as one moves south and west.
Unfortunately, the cooler temperatures for portions of the area will be short lived as highs by Friday climb back into the 90s areawide.
A slight chance for storms exists late Friday night in the Northwest Hill Country but overall little impact is expected from this.
Temperatures begin to climb back well above normal for the holiday weekend with temperatures reaching back over 100 degrees to around 103 by Sunday as upper level zonal flow returns to the area. Some guidance is indicating a potential cold front around Memorial Day but given how far out this is, confidence is low overall so it may be best to start planning for the potential of a toasty Memorial Day.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Going with a VFR forecast the next 24 hours. Could see some stratus try to develop tomorrow morning across the southern terminals. Confidence remains too low at this time to include a ceiling, so will just include a scattered group around 1.5K FT at the three southern terminals for now. Expect gusty south winds this afternoon, diminishing this evening for most of the terminals. KABI can expected winds to remain gusty overnight, with gusty south winds returning to all terminals after 15Z Monday.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Abilene 72 97 74 98 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 71 102 74 104 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 70 98 72 103 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 68 93 71 94 / 0 0 0 10 Sweetwater 72 100 75 101 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 70 100 72 100 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 69 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 10
SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KSJT SAN ANGELO RGNL/MATHIS FIELD,TX | 19 sm | 44 min | S 19G25 | 10 sm | Clear | Lt Rain | 100°F | 48°F | 17% | 29.80 |
San Angelo, TX,
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