Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 8:12 PM Moonrise 4:38 PM   Moonset 3:15 AM

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AMZ252 Coastal Waters From Cape Fear Nc To Little River Inlet Sc Out 20 Nm- 303 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Through 7 am - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: ne 3 ft at 5 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Today - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: ne 4 ft at 8 seconds and ne 3 ft at 5 seconds. Tonight - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and S 1 ft at 6 seconds. Tue - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 7 seconds and E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Wed - NE winds 5 kt, becoming se 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 ft at 10 seconds.Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 9 seconds. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Thu night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fri night - SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. A chance of showers after midnight.

AMZ200 303 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure to the north will shift offshore mid week with a cold front approaching late week.

FXUS62 KILM 200743 AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 343 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure maintains dry conditions through the first half of the work week. Temperatures warm through mid week with rain chances not returning until late Thursday into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Dry high pressure will maintain control as it ridges southward into the area. This will bring unseasonably cool air into southeast NC and northeast SC with highs today close to 80 most locales and lows tonight mainly in the mid to upper 50s. Some low-level moisture advecting into the area and trapped beneath the nocturnal inversion this morning and again tonight will likely yield some low clouds/fog. Think the better chance of fog will be tonight though given lighter low-level winds.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Shortwave ridging aloft aligns itself across the east coast through the period with persistent surface high pressure. This will lead to dry conditions through the short term period with a warming trend.
Some sources of forecast uncertainty could be cloudiness and lows Tuesday night as the center of the high looks to nudge NE. This could allow flow around the high to bring in stratus overnight, which would inhibit radiational cooling despite calm winds. Still lowered temps in our colder spots slightly. Otherwise, light onshore flow becoming more SW by the end of the period. Highs warm from the lower 80s to near 90; Lows near 60 warming into the mid 60s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
High pressure moves offshore ahead of a shortwave Thurs night.
Forcing clips the northern part of the area with low rain chances. A cold front will then approach through the end of the week. The temperature forecast is a bit difficult as it will depend on how far south this front pushes. Current trends show that it will stick north of the area, so have risen temps slightly from previous forecast. Spotty forcing aloft paired with enhanced moisture will support increased shower/storm chances through the end of the period.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Generally VFR to start the 06Z TAF period across SE NC and NE SC.
Still leaning toward VFR at all 5 TAF sites through the period with high pressure in control, although some low-level moisture will be present so can't rule out MVFR cigs, especially at KILM around daybreak.

Extended Outlook...VFR will dominate but early morning vis/cig restrictions possible each day. Also, showers/storms also possible starting Thu night.

MARINE
Through Tonight...High pressure to the north will maintain gusty northeast winds into this evening before some improvement overnight.
Seas will also be elevated up to 5 ft, mainly due to wind waves but also some mixed swells, but overall conditions should stay below Small Craft Advisory levels.

Tuesday through Friday Night...Sub-SCA conditions under predominant high pressure with increasing rain chances Thurs night. Onshore flow AOB 10 kts becomes more SW 10-15 kts by Thurs. Seas 2-3 ft becoming more 2 ft by Wed. Swells SE at 9-10 sec with a decreasing NE swell 7- 9 sec.

ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for NCZ108.
SC...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for SCZ056.
MARINE...None.

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Cape Fear
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Mon -- 12:06 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:59 AM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:12 PM EDT     0.35 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:36 PM EDT     4.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Fear, North Carolina, Tide feet

Fort Caswell
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Mon -- 12:29 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:14 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:20 AM EDT     3.80 feet High Tide
Mon -- 12:35 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:57 PM EDT     4.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Fort Caswell, Cape Fear River, North Carolina, Tide feet

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