Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Albuquerque, NM
May 20, 2024 1:25 AM MDT (07:25 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:57 AM Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 4:39 PM Moonset 3:10 AM |
Area Discussion for - Albuquerque, NM
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FXUS65 KABQ 200539 AAB AFDABQ
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1139 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
The dry, warm and breezy to windy weather pattern continues through most of next week. Heat and the threat of critical fire weather will be a main focus tomorrow, coupled with the threat of erratic gusty winds from virga showers across parts of western and central NM Monday afternoon. Those with outdoor plans will need to be ready to make sudden adjustments near these virga induced erratic gusty winds as there will be little to no warning from preceding rainfall. Dry and windy conditions persist Tuesday with a slight break and cool down through eastern NM Wednesday. Winds pick back up Thursday and Friday with the threat of critical fire weather continuing.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Two upper level features will combine to bring a round of strong winds to the area Monday, the first being a Pacific low offshore of SoCal and the second an upper level trough over the Pacific NW.
These features will move east through Monday night, with the Pacific low forecast to open up into a shortwave trough and accelerate northeast across AZ toward the Four Corners on Monday. Increasing southwest flow aloft and a deepening lee side trough are forecast Monday, with deep layer mixing up to around 500mb across much of the area. A windy day is expected and speeds will likely exceed advisory threshold across a few of our western forecast zones near Gallup Monday afternoon, so will go ahead and pull the trigger on an advisory. The 12Z GFS MOS has sustained speeds of 33kts at KGUP by 00Z Tuesday. A slug of Pacific moisture in the mid levels of the atmosphere is forecast advect northeast ahead of the approaching shortwave trough Monday and move into western NM by late afternoon.
This will bring increasing cloud cover late afternoon through the evening hours, with sufficient instability for some high-based virga showers across western and into central portions of NM Monday late afternoon and evening. Strong/erratic wind gusts are likely between the Continental Divide and the Rio Grande Valley Monday evening, with speeds up to 60mph possible. Meanwhile, high temperatures will be a solid 5-10 degrees above normal across eastern NM Monday and Roswell is forecast to hit 100+ degrees again.
Forcing associated with the northern stream trough will get into the mix overnight Monday and help to bring a round of showers and storms to the northern mountains, which may bring a round of snow to the peaks above 11Kft.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Tuesday begins the long term period with a shortwave trough passing north of NM over CO, providing dry and gusty winds over the majority of the forecast area. A combination of lowering pressure heights and a Pacific cold front progressing through northwestern NM will yield forecast highs falling 3F-7F from Monday's readings. Gust southwesterly to westerly winds will be present all areas, but the strongest sustained winds reaching 25 to 30 mph will focus through the highlands in and around Las Vegas.
Thereafter, a very shallow frontal boundary will back through eastern NM Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Cross-sections of this frontal progression show the front only reaching up to 750mb after its initial surge through the northeastern plains. There will be a brief cool down in temperatures across eastern NM behind this cold front, but the shallow nature of the airmass and winds already veering back out of the south by the afternoon will allow for a quick modification of the airmass and only a modest drop in forecast high temperatures Wednesday afternoon. Central and western areas will see continued dry and breezy conditions Wednesday, not having the cold front reach this area of NM.
A continued synoptic scale troughing pattern is favored Thursday with strengthening southwesterly winds returning to many areas. This will push what's left of the cooler airmass across eastern NM back east into TX where a sharpening dryline feature will exist.
Numerical model guidance is in good agreement that the dry southwesterly flow will be present all areas Thursday afternoon with any low-level moisture being relegated to our neighbors in TX and OK. This basic weather pattern looks favored to continue Friday and into next weekend with another weak backdoor front passing through eastern NM briefly to end the week, replaced by strengthening southwest flow again Saturday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. West to southwest winds will gradually in speed through the afternoon hours on Monday. Strongest winds are expected across western NM where gusts may near 45kt, including at KGUP. A batch of mid level moisture will also increase cloud cover across western NM during the afternoon hours. A Pacific cold front/cold pool outflow boundary will race from west to east during the late afternoon and evening hours. Virga and/or light rain along the boundary will be possible across northwest and north central NM which will enhance the potential for gusty and erratic winds, potentially near 50kt.
The boundary will push through ABQ/AEG/SAF between 01 and 03Z Tue before continuing across eastern NM. An Airport Weather Warning will likely be needed for the ABQ Sunport during the late afternoon and evening hours, particular when the boundary pushes through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COMING TO WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NM MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY...
Hot, dry and unstable conditions will be the rule going forward with bouts of critical fire weather conditions across western and portions of central NM. The Fire Weather Watch for Monday is being upgraded to a warning with winds and humidity easily exceeding critical threshold and deep layer mixing up to around 500mb. A round of virga showers late Monday across central/western NM will bring strong/erratic wind gusts and perhaps a few dry lightning strikes. An upper level trough approaching from over the Great Basin will bring a round of wetting showers and storms to the northern mountains Monday night. The trough will move east over the central/southern Rockies Tuesday, with strong winds rounding the base over NM and bringing more critical fire weather conditions to central/western NM, although spotty. Concerns for fire growth across eastern NM are very low given recent rain, ongoing greenup and low ERC values.
Expect a break Wednesday with weaker flow aloft and lighter winds at the surface, but winds and critical fire weather conditions will be back on the uptrend Thursday as another trough moves through the central Rockies, bringing a deepening lee side trough. Another, weaker trough will approach Saturday, brining the potential for another round of critical fire weather conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Farmington...................... 45 81 44 75 / 0 5 10 0 Dulce........................... 39 76 34 72 / 0 10 30 10 Cuba............................ 44 76 39 72 / 0 10 10 0 Gallup.......................... 37 77 36 75 / 0 10 10 0 El Morro........................ 40 74 39 70 / 0 10 20 0 Grants.......................... 37 79 39 76 / 0 5 10 0 Quemado......................... 41 78 40 76 / 0 10 10 0 Magdalena....................... 50 82 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 43 77 44 75 / 0 5 5 0 Reserve......................... 38 81 38 81 / 0 5 0 0 Glenwood........................ 53 84 52 84 / 0 5 0 0 Chama........................... 38 70 32 65 / 0 10 30 10 Los Alamos...................... 53 76 46 72 / 0 5 20 0 Pecos........................... 45 78 44 72 / 0 0 10 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 44 72 41 65 / 0 0 30 5 Red River....................... 37 66 33 62 / 0 0 30 5 Angel Fire...................... 33 69 33 63 / 0 0 20 0 Taos............................ 41 77 37 71 / 0 0 20 0 Mora............................ 45 76 41 70 / 0 0 10 0 Espanola........................ 50 83 46 79 / 0 0 10 0 Santa Fe........................ 50 79 46 74 / 0 0 20 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 47 81 46 78 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 56 84 54 81 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 55 86 52 83 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 54 88 52 85 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 54 86 52 83 / 0 0 10 0 Belen........................... 51 90 50 86 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 55 86 52 84 / 0 0 10 0 Bosque Farms.................... 50 88 49 85 / 0 0 5 0 Corrales........................ 52 86 52 84 / 0 0 10 0 Los Lunas....................... 51 89 51 85 / 0 0 5 0 Placitas........................ 55 83 52 79 / 0 0 10 0 Rio Rancho...................... 55 85 51 83 / 0 0 10 0 Socorro......................... 55 92 54 90 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 50 79 48 73 / 0 0 10 0 Tijeras......................... 51 80 48 76 / 0 0 10 0 Edgewood........................ 50 81 45 77 / 0 0 10 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 42 83 44 78 / 0 0 5 0 Clines Corners.................. 45 79 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 50 82 46 78 / 0 0 5 0 Gran Quivira.................... 47 83 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 87 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 53 80 53 76 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 47 82 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 46 84 46 78 / 0 0 5 0 Springer........................ 47 85 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 47 80 46 75 / 0 0 5 0 Clayton......................... 54 89 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 52 86 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 54 92 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 56 90 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 53 95 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 57 94 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 56 95 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 57 94 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 61 100 63 97 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 56 92 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 56 89 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Monday for NMZ101-105-106- 109-124.
Wind Advisory from 2 PM to 8 PM MDT Monday for NMZ202-205-206.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1139 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
New AVIATION
SYNOPSIS
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
The dry, warm and breezy to windy weather pattern continues through most of next week. Heat and the threat of critical fire weather will be a main focus tomorrow, coupled with the threat of erratic gusty winds from virga showers across parts of western and central NM Monday afternoon. Those with outdoor plans will need to be ready to make sudden adjustments near these virga induced erratic gusty winds as there will be little to no warning from preceding rainfall. Dry and windy conditions persist Tuesday with a slight break and cool down through eastern NM Wednesday. Winds pick back up Thursday and Friday with the threat of critical fire weather continuing.
SHORT TERM
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Two upper level features will combine to bring a round of strong winds to the area Monday, the first being a Pacific low offshore of SoCal and the second an upper level trough over the Pacific NW.
These features will move east through Monday night, with the Pacific low forecast to open up into a shortwave trough and accelerate northeast across AZ toward the Four Corners on Monday. Increasing southwest flow aloft and a deepening lee side trough are forecast Monday, with deep layer mixing up to around 500mb across much of the area. A windy day is expected and speeds will likely exceed advisory threshold across a few of our western forecast zones near Gallup Monday afternoon, so will go ahead and pull the trigger on an advisory. The 12Z GFS MOS has sustained speeds of 33kts at KGUP by 00Z Tuesday. A slug of Pacific moisture in the mid levels of the atmosphere is forecast advect northeast ahead of the approaching shortwave trough Monday and move into western NM by late afternoon.
This will bring increasing cloud cover late afternoon through the evening hours, with sufficient instability for some high-based virga showers across western and into central portions of NM Monday late afternoon and evening. Strong/erratic wind gusts are likely between the Continental Divide and the Rio Grande Valley Monday evening, with speeds up to 60mph possible. Meanwhile, high temperatures will be a solid 5-10 degrees above normal across eastern NM Monday and Roswell is forecast to hit 100+ degrees again.
Forcing associated with the northern stream trough will get into the mix overnight Monday and help to bring a round of showers and storms to the northern mountains, which may bring a round of snow to the peaks above 11Kft.
LONG TERM
(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
Tuesday begins the long term period with a shortwave trough passing north of NM over CO, providing dry and gusty winds over the majority of the forecast area. A combination of lowering pressure heights and a Pacific cold front progressing through northwestern NM will yield forecast highs falling 3F-7F from Monday's readings. Gust southwesterly to westerly winds will be present all areas, but the strongest sustained winds reaching 25 to 30 mph will focus through the highlands in and around Las Vegas.
Thereafter, a very shallow frontal boundary will back through eastern NM Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Cross-sections of this frontal progression show the front only reaching up to 750mb after its initial surge through the northeastern plains. There will be a brief cool down in temperatures across eastern NM behind this cold front, but the shallow nature of the airmass and winds already veering back out of the south by the afternoon will allow for a quick modification of the airmass and only a modest drop in forecast high temperatures Wednesday afternoon. Central and western areas will see continued dry and breezy conditions Wednesday, not having the cold front reach this area of NM.
A continued synoptic scale troughing pattern is favored Thursday with strengthening southwesterly winds returning to many areas. This will push what's left of the cooler airmass across eastern NM back east into TX where a sharpening dryline feature will exist.
Numerical model guidance is in good agreement that the dry southwesterly flow will be present all areas Thursday afternoon with any low-level moisture being relegated to our neighbors in TX and OK. This basic weather pattern looks favored to continue Friday and into next weekend with another weak backdoor front passing through eastern NM briefly to end the week, replaced by strengthening southwest flow again Saturday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. West to southwest winds will gradually in speed through the afternoon hours on Monday. Strongest winds are expected across western NM where gusts may near 45kt, including at KGUP. A batch of mid level moisture will also increase cloud cover across western NM during the afternoon hours. A Pacific cold front/cold pool outflow boundary will race from west to east during the late afternoon and evening hours. Virga and/or light rain along the boundary will be possible across northwest and north central NM which will enhance the potential for gusty and erratic winds, potentially near 50kt.
The boundary will push through ABQ/AEG/SAF between 01 and 03Z Tue before continuing across eastern NM. An Airport Weather Warning will likely be needed for the ABQ Sunport during the late afternoon and evening hours, particular when the boundary pushes through.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 140 PM MDT Sun May 19 2024
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COMING TO WESTERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NM MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY...
Hot, dry and unstable conditions will be the rule going forward with bouts of critical fire weather conditions across western and portions of central NM. The Fire Weather Watch for Monday is being upgraded to a warning with winds and humidity easily exceeding critical threshold and deep layer mixing up to around 500mb. A round of virga showers late Monday across central/western NM will bring strong/erratic wind gusts and perhaps a few dry lightning strikes. An upper level trough approaching from over the Great Basin will bring a round of wetting showers and storms to the northern mountains Monday night. The trough will move east over the central/southern Rockies Tuesday, with strong winds rounding the base over NM and bringing more critical fire weather conditions to central/western NM, although spotty. Concerns for fire growth across eastern NM are very low given recent rain, ongoing greenup and low ERC values.
Expect a break Wednesday with weaker flow aloft and lighter winds at the surface, but winds and critical fire weather conditions will be back on the uptrend Thursday as another trough moves through the central Rockies, bringing a deepening lee side trough. Another, weaker trough will approach Saturday, brining the potential for another round of critical fire weather conditions.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Farmington...................... 45 81 44 75 / 0 5 10 0 Dulce........................... 39 76 34 72 / 0 10 30 10 Cuba............................ 44 76 39 72 / 0 10 10 0 Gallup.......................... 37 77 36 75 / 0 10 10 0 El Morro........................ 40 74 39 70 / 0 10 20 0 Grants.......................... 37 79 39 76 / 0 5 10 0 Quemado......................... 41 78 40 76 / 0 10 10 0 Magdalena....................... 50 82 48 79 / 0 0 0 0 Datil........................... 43 77 44 75 / 0 5 5 0 Reserve......................... 38 81 38 81 / 0 5 0 0 Glenwood........................ 53 84 52 84 / 0 5 0 0 Chama........................... 38 70 32 65 / 0 10 30 10 Los Alamos...................... 53 76 46 72 / 0 5 20 0 Pecos........................... 45 78 44 72 / 0 0 10 0 Cerro/Questa.................... 44 72 41 65 / 0 0 30 5 Red River....................... 37 66 33 62 / 0 0 30 5 Angel Fire...................... 33 69 33 63 / 0 0 20 0 Taos............................ 41 77 37 71 / 0 0 20 0 Mora............................ 45 76 41 70 / 0 0 10 0 Espanola........................ 50 83 46 79 / 0 0 10 0 Santa Fe........................ 50 79 46 74 / 0 0 20 0 Santa Fe Airport................ 47 81 46 78 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Foothills........... 56 84 54 81 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Heights............. 55 86 52 83 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque Valley.............. 54 88 52 85 / 0 0 10 0 Albuquerque West Mesa........... 54 86 52 83 / 0 0 10 0 Belen........................... 51 90 50 86 / 0 0 0 0 Bernalillo...................... 55 86 52 84 / 0 0 10 0 Bosque Farms.................... 50 88 49 85 / 0 0 5 0 Corrales........................ 52 86 52 84 / 0 0 10 0 Los Lunas....................... 51 89 51 85 / 0 0 5 0 Placitas........................ 55 83 52 79 / 0 0 10 0 Rio Rancho...................... 55 85 51 83 / 0 0 10 0 Socorro......................... 55 92 54 90 / 0 0 0 0 Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 50 79 48 73 / 0 0 10 0 Tijeras......................... 51 80 48 76 / 0 0 10 0 Edgewood........................ 50 81 45 77 / 0 0 10 0 Moriarty/Estancia............... 42 83 44 78 / 0 0 5 0 Clines Corners.................. 45 79 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 Mountainair..................... 50 82 46 78 / 0 0 5 0 Gran Quivira.................... 47 83 47 78 / 0 0 0 0 Carrizozo....................... 57 87 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 Ruidoso......................... 53 80 53 76 / 0 0 0 0 Capulin......................... 47 82 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 Raton........................... 46 84 46 78 / 0 0 5 0 Springer........................ 47 85 48 78 / 0 0 0 0 Las Vegas....................... 47 80 46 75 / 0 0 5 0 Clayton......................... 54 89 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Roy............................. 52 86 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Conchas......................... 54 92 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Rosa...................... 56 90 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 Tucumcari....................... 53 95 57 88 / 0 0 0 0 Clovis.......................... 57 94 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Portales........................ 56 95 59 92 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Sumner..................... 57 94 59 89 / 0 0 0 0 Roswell......................... 61 100 63 97 / 0 0 0 0 Picacho......................... 56 92 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 Elk............................. 56 89 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Red Flag Warning from 1 PM to 8 PM MDT Monday for NMZ101-105-106- 109-124.
Wind Advisory from 2 PM to 8 PM MDT Monday for NMZ202-205-206.
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KABQ ALBUQUERQUE INTL SUNPORT,NM | 6 sm | 33 min | W 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 23°F | 18% | 30.01 | |
| KAEG DOUBLE EAGLE II,NM | 11 sm | 10 min | NW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 57°F | 23°F | 26% | 30.03 |
Albuquerque, NM,
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