Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 4:35 PM   Moonset 2:59 AM

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ANZ431 Delaware Bay Waters South Of East Point Nj To Slaughter Beach De- 158 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Rest of tonight - NE winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 1 foot at 2 seconds. Patchy fog late. Mon - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: ne 1 foot at 2 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 2 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 nm or less. Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds. Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds. Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Thu night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the morning. Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 158 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure across the northeast builds across the mid-atlantic through Tuesday before moving offshore on Wednesday. A cold front approaches and swings through the area on Thursday into Thursday night. High pressure returns for Friday with another low pressure system approaching by next weekend.

FXUS61 KPHI 200659 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 259 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure continues to build across the Mid Atlantic region today, before shifting slightly to the south tomorrow through Wednesday. A cold front will approach the area Wednesday night, before slowly moving across the area on Thursday, and stalling to our south through the weekend. High pressure builds across the northeast states Friday into Saturday, before a couple of weather disturbances affect the area Sunday into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure continues sitting to our northeast, but the axis remains just to the northwest of most of the region. Thus, we continue to have an overall easterly flow, which is providing a fresh push of marine layer clouds into the region. There can be some patchy fog in spots, but not expecting widespread dense and no fog advisories are anticipated. This push is weaker than yesterday as the flow is even lighter while high pressure ridge axis slowly settles to our southeast over time, so think morning clouds should be more efficiently burned off today. The result should be a mostly sunny afternoon overall. A few models are suggesting that the ample May insolation combined with relatively moist atmosphere may spark a few light showers, most likely in the Poconos, so have put a few sprinkles in the forecast up there. Highs should be near to slightly warmer than yesterday, mostly 70s, cooler along the coast.

Tonight, with the high axis pushing further to our southeast, winds should become more southerly. However, they remain light, and some more late night low clouds and fog are possible. Lows mostly in the 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Overall, little changes were made to the short term period as the mid to upper level ridge essentially lies overhead through Tuesday night before beginning to breakdown and shift offshore on Wednesday. Down at the surface, broad high pressure over New England will expand southwest while becoming elongated into the southern Appalachian region. The high will sink south of the region on Tuesday and eventually settle offshore the Mid- Atlantic coast by Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will yield dry conditions throughout the period.

It is possible a round of fog may develop on Tuesday night, but confidence in this is less than Monday night so have left the mention out of this out of the forecast for now.

In terms of temperatures, it is looking like we will return close to normal with respect to low temps both nights with lows generally in the 50s to around 60 degrees. For high temperatures, it is likely that much of the area will range about 5-10 degrees above normal on Tuesday and as much as 10-15 degrees above normal on Wednesday. Meaning high temps will top out 80s both days as southerly flow ushers warmer air north. The exception will be for our coastal locales where a sea breeze circulation looks to develop each day. Given how cold the water temperatures are, there is potential for the sea breeze to develop early enough in the day, that the sea breeze reaches far enough inland that highs for most, if not all, of the coastal plain could be slightly lower than what is forecast.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Unsettled weather will continue into Thursday as a cold font will move across the Mid Atlantic region and east coast. There will be some instability across the area, so there will be a chance of thunderstorms as well.

The cold front is expected to stall to the south Friday and into the weekend. As it does so, several disturbances are expected to move along the boundary, and may pass close enough to bring showers to the area Friday through the weekend.

AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Through today...Variable conditions early this morning with intervals of IFR cigs and vsby, possibly LIFR at times, with cigs possibly down below 500 ft and vsby down below 1/2 mile not out of the question. Best odds of these are the outer terminals, with reduced chances at KPHL. Conditions should improve to VFR across the board by 14UTC. Winds light northeasterly becoming southeasterly. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...VFR to start but IFR cigs/vsby possible late as low clouds/fog may redevelop. Winds light southerly. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday-Wednesday...Generally VFR except possible lower conditions around daybreak.

Wednesday night-Thursday night...Sub-VFR conditions possible with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday...VFR conditions expected.

MARINE
Monday night through Friday...No marine headlines are expected.
Fair weather expected through Wednesday night with a chance for thunderstorms on Thursday into Thursday night. Fair weather is expected to return on Friday.Sub Small Craft Advisory conditions over the waters through tonight. Expect seas generally around 3 to 4 feet with gusts up to 20 kts.

Outlook...

Tuesday-Friday...Conditions expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels. However, winds will gust around 20 knots at times and seas could rise to 4 feet at times.

Rip Currents...

A prolonged period of NE to E winds at 10 to 15 mph during the day and 5 to 10 mph at night will continue through today. Along with 3 to 4 ft seas, this will result in a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous and life threatening rip currents today at New Jersey and Delaware beaches. The rip current risk may be low for most of the day for southern New Jersey beaches.

By Tuesday, the winds will be veering to more of a southerly direction at 10 to 15 mph which will reduce the onshore component at most beaches. However we'll also be heading closer to the Full Moon on the 23rd so for this reason expect that most of our beaches will continue to see a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Mispillion River entrance
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Mon -- 02:02 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:58 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:38 AM EDT     4.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:58 PM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:57 PM EDT     5.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Mispillion River entrance, Delaware Bay, Delaware, Tide feet

Delaware Bay Entrance
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Mon -- 02:41 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:31 AM EDT     1.03 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:34 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:48 AM EDT     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:33 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:43 PM EDT     1.29 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Delaware Bay Entrance, Delaware Current, knots

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