Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Rhinecliff, NY
May 19, 2024 3:58 PM EDT (19:58 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:29 AM Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 4:31 PM Moonset 3:31 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 341 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne late. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Mon - E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds.
Mon night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 341 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure along the northeast coast and extending into the mid atlantic region will remain in place through Monday night, and then begin to slide offshore Tuesday. Offshore high pressure going into midweek gives way to an approaching cold front Thursday. This cold front moves across Thursday night. Weak high pressure returns to the local area thereafter for Friday into Friday night. Another low pressure system may impact the area next weekend.
FXUS61 KALY 191745 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 145 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Building high pressure will bring dry weather, clearing skies, and a warming trend through midweek with hot temperatures possible Tuesday and Wednesday. An approaching cold front will see chances for showers and thunderstorms across the region late Wednesday into Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Upper ridging and surface high pressure building into the region will bring continued dry weather and comfortable temperatures through tonight. An upper low over the North Atlantic has brought persistent overcast to much of New England, while to the west of the Taconics and Greens, much clearer skies have spread across the region aside from enhanced coverage of fair-weather cumulus over areas of higher terrain.
Following afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s across western New England and in higher terrain west of the Hudson, and mid to upper 70s or even a few 80 degree readings elsewhere along the Hudson and Mohawk Valleys, temperatures will remain mild overnight, falling to lows in the upper 40s to low 50s in western New England, and low to mid 50s across eastern New York.
Beneath clearing skies, efficient radiative cooling may yield areas of valley fog and mist overnight. Continued stratus cloud coverage over eastern New England may reach west into the Greens, Berkshires, and Litchfield Hills, thereby reducing the chances for fog.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The work/school week will open with the anomalous mid and upper level ridge over the region folding in from the west/southwest.
Expect the partly to mostly sunny conditions with strong synoptic subsidence. The NAEFS indicates H850 temps +1 to +2 STDEVS above normal. Max temps will run about 10 degrees above normal with light south/southeast winds. Mixing depths will be shallow. Highs will in the in the 80-85F range in the valleys and 70s over the higher terrain. Monday night will not be as cool as the previous night, as some cirrus or convective debris clouds may move in from the Great Lakes Region
Still
pleasant conditions will lows in the 50s to around 60F in a few spots.
Tue-Tue night...The mid level flow becomes zonal over northern NY and northern New England. A lead sfc cyclone moves across southeast Ontario into Quebec. A cold front remains across the Great Lakes Region. The warming trend continues, as the H850 temps remain above normal by 1-2 STDEVs with the actual values getting up to +14C to +16C. The uptick of temps continues with highs about 15 degrees above normal with mid 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain and mid to upper 80s in the valley areas. Humidity level will increase to modest/moderate levels with upper 50s to mid 60s over the region. A few showers or thunderstorms could pop-up ahead of a prefrontal disturbance if the convective temps are reached over the Adirondack Park, western Mohawk Valley and the Lake George Region. These should fizzle with the loss of the diurnal heating. The skies will be come mostly clear with mild lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Long term period begins at 12z Wednesday with a closed upper low and associated sub-990 mb surface low located over the western Great Lakes region. During the Wednesday into Thursday timeframe, these features will track to our north/northwest across southern Canada, and the trailing cold front associated with the surface low will track through our region. Confidence is increasing that the cold front will remain to our west on Wednesday, which will keep our region in the warm sector. Temperatures will climb well into the 80s for valley areas, with portions of the Capital District and the CT River Valley potentially seeing highs right around 90. Dew points will "only" be in the upper 50s to low 60s, so heat indices/feel- like temperatures will be similar to the actual temperature and it does not currently look like we will hit heat advisory criteria. A couple of afternoon showers or isolated thunderstorms are possible, mainly west of I-87 as a pre-frontal trough tracks through the region, although warm temperatures aloft will likely prevent storms from becoming strong to severe.
There are still some considerable differences in the guidance regarding the timing of the front. The GFS is the most progressive, likely due to the fact that it does not close off the upper low but rather keeps it as an open wave over the upper midwest. Possible timing for the frontal passage ranges from Wednesday night to Thursday evening. If the front comes through Thursday afternoon or evening then there could be enough overlap of shear and instability for some stronger storms, while an earlier frontal passage would coincide with less instability and a reduced threat for severe weather. Will continue to monitor this period closely and refine the forecast as additional guidance becomes available. Lows Wednesday night will be in the 50s and 60s. Highs Thursday will be highly dependent on the timing of the front, but areas ahead of the front could see temperatures well into the 80s. The best chance of this is south and east of Albany. Lows THursday night will generally be in the 50s, and there could be a few showers/thunderstorms lingering in the evening if the cold front is on the slower side.
Friday through the weekend, we will be in a post-frontal airmass with cold advection, northwesterly winds, and high pressure tracking near our region. If the upper low tracks close enough to our region then there is a chance for a few pop-up showers with daytime heating on Friday, but otherwise the second half of the long term should feature quieter weather. Temperatures will be much cooler behind the front, with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s to low 50s each night.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 18Z Monday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail through this evening with sct-bkn fair wx cu at 3-5 kft and unrestricted vsbys as high pressure continues build into the region. As skies trend clearer overnight, patchy radiation fog/mist may develop in sheltered valleys or near water bodies, most likely at GFL where IFR vsbys have been included after 08Z Mon, but also possibly at POU/PSF with confidence currently only high enough to include MVFR vsbys after 08Z Mon. Alternatively, MVFR stratus may move in from the southeast at PSF overnight, which would in turn limit the potential for any fog/mist. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist as diurnal cu at 3-5 kft increases again after 12Z Mon.
Winds continue at 5-10 kt through the afternoon, generally out of the northeast. Speeds diminish after 00Z Mon to 5 kt or less, with calm to light and variable winds expected overnight at all terminals.
Winds increase to 3-6 kt out of the south to southwest after 12Z Mon.
Outlook...
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 20:
Albany: 91 in 1962 Glens Falls: 90 in 1975 Poughkeepsie: 91 in 1975
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 145 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
SYNOPSIS
Building high pressure will bring dry weather, clearing skies, and a warming trend through midweek with hot temperatures possible Tuesday and Wednesday. An approaching cold front will see chances for showers and thunderstorms across the region late Wednesday into Thursday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Upper ridging and surface high pressure building into the region will bring continued dry weather and comfortable temperatures through tonight. An upper low over the North Atlantic has brought persistent overcast to much of New England, while to the west of the Taconics and Greens, much clearer skies have spread across the region aside from enhanced coverage of fair-weather cumulus over areas of higher terrain.
Following afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s across western New England and in higher terrain west of the Hudson, and mid to upper 70s or even a few 80 degree readings elsewhere along the Hudson and Mohawk Valleys, temperatures will remain mild overnight, falling to lows in the upper 40s to low 50s in western New England, and low to mid 50s across eastern New York.
Beneath clearing skies, efficient radiative cooling may yield areas of valley fog and mist overnight. Continued stratus cloud coverage over eastern New England may reach west into the Greens, Berkshires, and Litchfield Hills, thereby reducing the chances for fog.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
The work/school week will open with the anomalous mid and upper level ridge over the region folding in from the west/southwest.
Expect the partly to mostly sunny conditions with strong synoptic subsidence. The NAEFS indicates H850 temps +1 to +2 STDEVS above normal. Max temps will run about 10 degrees above normal with light south/southeast winds. Mixing depths will be shallow. Highs will in the in the 80-85F range in the valleys and 70s over the higher terrain. Monday night will not be as cool as the previous night, as some cirrus or convective debris clouds may move in from the Great Lakes Region
Still
pleasant conditions will lows in the 50s to around 60F in a few spots.
Tue-Tue night...The mid level flow becomes zonal over northern NY and northern New England. A lead sfc cyclone moves across southeast Ontario into Quebec. A cold front remains across the Great Lakes Region. The warming trend continues, as the H850 temps remain above normal by 1-2 STDEVs with the actual values getting up to +14C to +16C. The uptick of temps continues with highs about 15 degrees above normal with mid 70s to lower 80s over the higher terrain and mid to upper 80s in the valley areas. Humidity level will increase to modest/moderate levels with upper 50s to mid 60s over the region. A few showers or thunderstorms could pop-up ahead of a prefrontal disturbance if the convective temps are reached over the Adirondack Park, western Mohawk Valley and the Lake George Region. These should fizzle with the loss of the diurnal heating. The skies will be come mostly clear with mild lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Long term period begins at 12z Wednesday with a closed upper low and associated sub-990 mb surface low located over the western Great Lakes region. During the Wednesday into Thursday timeframe, these features will track to our north/northwest across southern Canada, and the trailing cold front associated with the surface low will track through our region. Confidence is increasing that the cold front will remain to our west on Wednesday, which will keep our region in the warm sector. Temperatures will climb well into the 80s for valley areas, with portions of the Capital District and the CT River Valley potentially seeing highs right around 90. Dew points will "only" be in the upper 50s to low 60s, so heat indices/feel- like temperatures will be similar to the actual temperature and it does not currently look like we will hit heat advisory criteria. A couple of afternoon showers or isolated thunderstorms are possible, mainly west of I-87 as a pre-frontal trough tracks through the region, although warm temperatures aloft will likely prevent storms from becoming strong to severe.
There are still some considerable differences in the guidance regarding the timing of the front. The GFS is the most progressive, likely due to the fact that it does not close off the upper low but rather keeps it as an open wave over the upper midwest. Possible timing for the frontal passage ranges from Wednesday night to Thursday evening. If the front comes through Thursday afternoon or evening then there could be enough overlap of shear and instability for some stronger storms, while an earlier frontal passage would coincide with less instability and a reduced threat for severe weather. Will continue to monitor this period closely and refine the forecast as additional guidance becomes available. Lows Wednesday night will be in the 50s and 60s. Highs Thursday will be highly dependent on the timing of the front, but areas ahead of the front could see temperatures well into the 80s. The best chance of this is south and east of Albany. Lows THursday night will generally be in the 50s, and there could be a few showers/thunderstorms lingering in the evening if the cold front is on the slower side.
Friday through the weekend, we will be in a post-frontal airmass with cold advection, northwesterly winds, and high pressure tracking near our region. If the upper low tracks close enough to our region then there is a chance for a few pop-up showers with daytime heating on Friday, but otherwise the second half of the long term should feature quieter weather. Temperatures will be much cooler behind the front, with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s to low 50s each night.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 18Z Monday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail through this evening with sct-bkn fair wx cu at 3-5 kft and unrestricted vsbys as high pressure continues build into the region. As skies trend clearer overnight, patchy radiation fog/mist may develop in sheltered valleys or near water bodies, most likely at GFL where IFR vsbys have been included after 08Z Mon, but also possibly at POU/PSF with confidence currently only high enough to include MVFR vsbys after 08Z Mon. Alternatively, MVFR stratus may move in from the southeast at PSF overnight, which would in turn limit the potential for any fog/mist. Otherwise, VFR conditions will persist as diurnal cu at 3-5 kft increases again after 12Z Mon.
Winds continue at 5-10 kt through the afternoon, generally out of the northeast. Speeds diminish after 00Z Mon to 5 kt or less, with calm to light and variable winds expected overnight at all terminals.
Winds increase to 3-6 kt out of the south to southwest after 12Z Mon.
Outlook...
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 20:
Albany: 91 in 1962 Glens Falls: 90 in 1975 Poughkeepsie: 91 in 1975
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 22 sm | 65 min | var 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 75°F | 57°F | 54% | 29.95 |
Kingston Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:31 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:35 AM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:59 PM EDT 0.56 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:31 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:31 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT 0.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:35 AM EDT 3.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:31 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 05:59 PM EDT 0.56 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.6 |
| 1 am |
| 3.2 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 2 |
| 4 am |
| 1.4 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 2.5 |
| 10 am |
| 3 |
| 11 am |
| 3.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 3 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Tivoli
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:15 AM EDT 0.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EDT 3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:29 PM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:15 AM EDT 0.81 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EDT 3.55 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:30 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 06:29 PM EDT 0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:14 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 4 |
| 1 am |
| 3.7 |
| 2 am |
| 3.1 |
| 3 am |
| 2.4 |
| 4 am |
| 1.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.8 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.9 |
| 11 am |
| 3.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.7 |
Albany, NY,
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