Sunrise 5:27 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM Moonrise 1:23 PM   Moonset 12:39 AM

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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1125 Pm Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Overnight - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N late. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers late this evening. Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Sat night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less. Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

ANZ300 1125 Pm Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front will move through the area overnight with high pressure building in from the northwest behind it. High pressure becomes centered over the area Sunday morning and moves offshore by Sunday evening. The high remains in control through late next week.

FXUS61 KPHI 150033 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 833 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front crosses our area late this afternoon into tonight.
High pressure begins to build in later tonight and then it remains in place over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but surface high pressure looks to control our weather through at least the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been cancelled as the last of the strong thunderstorms has pushed offshore of New Jersey.
Showers will remain across eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland through this evening as the pre-frontal through shifts offshore and the lead short wave continues to move across the area.

Later this evening and through the early overnight hours, a cold front will push into the area from the west, while a short wave/vorticity impulse aloft shift across the area. This is expected to lead to another round of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Instability will be much weaker now that we have lost daytime heating, so the threat for strong to sever thunderstorms is minimal overnight.

Eventually drier air will move into the area, and although the drier air looks to lag a bit, it is expected to advect southeastward by daybreak resulting in a clearing sky. Overnight low temperatures are forecast to be in the 60s, with even some mid/upper 50s across the northern areas.

As we go through Saturday, a very nice start to the weekend is expected as some cyclonic flow aloft is in place as the trough axis shifts to our east. Surface high pressure will be building down from the northwest, however a tighter pressure gradient will be in place and therefore a northerly breeze is expected. Dew points will be on the decrease and this combined with some cooler temperatures will result in a refreshing feel to the air.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will dominate the short term forecast resulting in dry conditions throughout the back half of the weekend.

Nighttime lows Saturday night are forecast to dip into the mid 50s to right around 60. There will be plenty of sunshine to go around on Sunday. Those who do not enjoy the heat will want to try and get outside as temperatures will be marginally cooler in the low- mid 80s across most of the region. Upper 70s are expected near the shore and at higher elevations.

A sea-breeze will likely develop on Sunday given the weak synoptic flow in the forecast. This sea-breeze could penetrate well in-land by the late afternoon into evening hours. Lows are forecast for the upper 50s to low 60s Sunday Night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Summary...Few changes to the long term. Hot but mainly dry forecast.

The synoptic pattern and evolution is nearly certain for the long term. An upper-level ridge over the eastern CONUS Monday will build to the north with time. By the Wednesday time frame, the strong ridge will look to be centered directly over the northeastern CONUS and will likely stay in place for quite a bit. The ensembles suggest it is not until around the time frame of Friday that the ridge and its associated axis will begin to break down a bit.

Overall, heights will only build over the region with time Monday onwards. We could see heights of 594-600 dam over us for Wednesday.
At the surface level, high pressure centered offshore Monday will move eastward with time as a warm front lifts over the region. Even still, surface high pressure looks to largely control the region through the duration of the term. Though some rounds of shortwave energy may pester the region for much of the week, any precipitation development should be largely suppressed given the pattern.

We are mainly looking at a dry forecast into Thursday night with temperatures potentially getting warming each day. High temperatures may touch the low 90s for Monday, but widespread highs in the 90s should be anticipated at this point for Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. It is still a little too early to really discuss any potential for heat headlines at this point, but the potential will only grow with time as the week progresses.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...Mostly VFR conditions are expected through tonight.
There will be a chance of showers, possibly an isolated thunderstorms later this evening and overnight; between 03z-07z. We did mention VCTS, but confidence in Sub-VFR conditions is low at this time, so we kept the forecast VFR.
There is also an indication that some low clouds may develop later tonight, especially south and east of KPHL, before clearing takes place overnight into daybreak. North to northeast wind 5-10 kntos or less. Moderate confidence.

Saturday...VFR. North to northwest winds 5-10 knots, increasing to 10-15 knots with gusts 15 to 20 knots, diminishing some later in the afternoon and into the evening. High confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Wednesday...VFR with no significant weather.

MARINE
Through Saturday, the conditions are anticipated to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds will turn northerly by later tonight in the wake of a cold front and continue Saturday.
Some showers and thunderstorms move through this evening and a few storms could produce locally gusty winds.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Wednesday...No marine headlines expected. A few gusts around 20 kts possible on Monday. Fair weather.

Rip Currents...

Saturday, north to northeast winds will increase to 10-15 mph with gusts around 20 mph. With 3-4 foot waves offshore and an 8 second period, this will lead to 2-3 foot waves in the surf zone. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for New Jersey and Delaware Beaches

With ligher winds and smaller waves on Sunday, there will be a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents everywhere.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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New Brunswick
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Fri -- 01:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 02:44 AM EDT     5.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:33 AM EDT     1.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:33 PM EDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:00 PM EDT     1.70 feet Low Tide
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New Brunswick, New Jersey, Tide feet

Washington Canal
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Fri -- 01:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 02:35 AM EDT     5.17 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:36 AM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:24 PM EDT     5.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:03 PM EDT     1.55 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Washington Canal, New Jersey, Tide feet

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