Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 7:46 PM Moonrise 2:47 AM   Moonset 3:55 PM

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GMZ635 Western Choctawhatchee Bay-eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- 300 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Tonight - South winds around 5 knots early this evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms until early morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms late. Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Tuesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - South winds around 5 knots in the evening, becoming light and variable. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Wednesday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Wednesday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Thursday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Friday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Friday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 300 Pm Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts westerly late in the week.

FXUS64 KMOB 021737 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1236 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New AVIATION, NEAR TERM

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR to MVFR ceilings and visibility prevail as convection continues to expand in coverage and drift eastward. Storms will be capable of producing gusty winds and may result in temporary reductions in flight category for both ceilings and visibility.
Winds will generally prevail out of the south to southeast today at 5 to 10 knots. /22

NEAR TERM
(Now through Monday)
Issued at 538 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Northwest flow aloft prevails through Monday for the forecast area. A subtle shortwave approaches the area from the northwest this afternoon, with a more pronounced shortwave traversing the gulf coast states Monday into Monday evening. These features will be responsible for any stormy weather the next 48 hours, with favorable diurnal timing in the afternoon to early evening hours.
Expect isolated showers this morning near the coast to spread inland by late morning. With the approach of the subtle shortwave, expect convective coverage to increase a bit to isolated to scattered showers and storms by early to mid afternoon. Weak shear and moderate instability suggests storms should be your more typical pulse-type summertime storms, with potential for brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning. Temperatures today top out in the middle 80's for most spots.

Tonight storms should die out after sunset with loss of daytime heating and any lingering storms become focused offshore over the marine waters. Overnight temperatures fall into the upper 60's and lower 70's. The evolution for things Monday is a bit trickier as it depends on how storms organize well upstream across TX/LA in association with the more potent shortwave. Exact strength and placement of this feature early Monday will determine if a complex of storms misses the forecast area to the southwest or not, or just never makes it to the forecast area at all. Given high uncertainty in the convective evolution Monday, have kept isolated PoPs in the forecast but can see those being bumped up in future forecast packages if confidence increases on Monday's convective evolution. Regardless, another warm day is expected with highs in the upper 80's to perhaps lower 90's in spots. A High risk of rip currents remains in place through tonight, becoming a moderate risk for Monday. MM/25

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 71 88 71 88 72 89 73 90 / 20 20 10 20 0 10 10 30 Pensacola 74 86 74 87 74 88 75 89 / 20 20 10 10 0 10 10 30 Destin 75 85 75 87 76 87 75 87 / 20 20 10 10 0 10 10 20 Evergreen 68 88 68 89 67 90 70 90 / 20 20 10 30 10 20 20 40 Waynesboro 69 89 69 89 70 92 70 89 / 10 20 10 30 10 20 20 30 Camden 68 89 68 89 69 91 70 89 / 10 20 10 30 10 20 30 40 Crestview 68 89 67 91 67 91 70 91 / 10 20 0 20 0 10 10 30

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.

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Milton
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Sun -- 02:49 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:31 AM CDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:54 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:15 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Milton, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Bay Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:49 AM CDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:45 AM CDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:14 AM CDT     1.35 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:54 PM CDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:46 PM CDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:55 PM CDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bay Point, Blackwater River, Pensacola Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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