Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Apalachicola, FL
June 16, 2024 8:08 PM CDT (01:08 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:39 AM Sunset 7:47 PM Moonrise 2:52 PM Moonset 1:48 AM |
GMZ755 Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River To Apalachicola Fl Out To 20 Nm- Waters From Suwannee River To Apalachicola Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 309 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
This afternoon - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds. Protected waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 3 feet at 7 seconds and east 2 feet at 3 seconds. Protected waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: southeast 4 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Monday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 feet, building to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet after midnight. Wave detail: southeast 3 feet at 6 seconds, becoming east 5 feet at 5 seconds and south 3 feet at 8 seconds. Protected waters choppy. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Gusts up to 30 knots in the morning. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave detail: southeast 5 feet at 6 seconds. Protected waters choppy. Showers likely.
Tuesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Wave detail: east 6 feet at 5 seconds and south 4 feet at 8 seconds. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers.
Wednesday - East winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. Protected waters rough. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night - East winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Protected waters rough. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday - East winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Protected waters rough. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Protected waters choppy. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ700 Synopsis For The Suwannee River To Okaloosa-walton County Line Out To 60 Nm 309 Pm Edt Sun Jun 16 2024
Synopsis -
winds will shift to the east this evening and then hold through at least Thursday. Look for fresh to strong easterly breezes due to tightening pressure gradients since we will be situated between strong high pressure off the u.s. Mid- atlantic coast and a deepening tropical low over the southwest gulf. Small craft advisory conditions are expected for much of the week ahead with near gale force gusts possible. Seas will build in response as well, especially for the waters west of apalachicola. Easterly flow will feature the familiar rhythm of nocturnal surges and afternoon lulls.
winds will shift to the east this evening and then hold through at least Thursday. Look for fresh to strong easterly breezes due to tightening pressure gradients since we will be situated between strong high pressure off the u.s. Mid- atlantic coast and a deepening tropical low over the southwest gulf. Small craft advisory conditions are expected for much of the week ahead with near gale force gusts possible. Seas will build in response as well, especially for the waters west of apalachicola. Easterly flow will feature the familiar rhythm of nocturnal surges and afternoon lulls.
Area Discussion for - Tallahassee, FL
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KTAE 162313 AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 713 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Earlier this morning, scattered showers and thunderstorms were slowly moving northwest from along the Nature and Forgotten Coasts.
Cloud cover has been increasing through the day as rain and storm coverage increased. The 12z sounding this morning had PWATs at 1.8" and indicated enough instability for thunderstorms to develop that could produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. PoPs today range from about 30% in Southwest-Central Georgia, to 60-80% for our Florida counties. Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish this evening with slight chances for rain during the overnight hours.
Upper level high pressure will heavily influence our weather for the start of the work week with shifting our surface winds to be easterly with gusts up to around 20 mph. The easterly shift will usher in drier air, bringing humidity levels down to the low 40%s by the afternoon, limiting PoPs to about 30% for our Florida counties, and lower percentages further inland.
Temperatures during this period will be in the mid 90s for Monday afternoon, with morning lows in the low to mid 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
We will be sandwiched between two large features during this period, the first being both upper level and surface high pressure over the east. The second being a tropical low to our southwest, in the Gulf near the Bay of Campeche. This will lead to a tightening pressure gradient over the region and bring breezy easterly winds to the region. These easterly winds, along with a drier airmass, should suppress showers and thunderstorms over southwest GA and southeast AL. Guidance still tries to show some development over the FL counties, and in particular south of I-10. This would likely be due to any seabreeze that potentially collides with the easterly winds.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Dry weather should persist into Wednesday with our eyes then turning to the tropical wave in the Atlantic Basin. The NHC continues to highlight a large swath of potential development, 30%, that covers the GA and FL coasts, down to the Bahamas. It's too early to determine, what, if any, impacts will come from this outside of the increased chances for rain and thunderstorms and perhaps some heavy rain. The timing for this potential disturbance is Thursday into Friday. We get past this, the Atlantic high drifts to the south and the upper ridge will have weakened due to the tropical disturbance. More typical like summertime weather and convection is expected as flow gradually shifts to the southeast.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 710 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Scattered TSRA continue this evening near VLD and ECP. The TSRA near VLD could move eastward and impact TLH later this evening, and have accounted for that in a TEMPO group. Otherwise, outside of the TSRA, VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours. E/SE winds will increase tomorrow afternoon, possibly becoming gusty near ECP. Isolated TSRA is possible, but confidence is too low for inclusion at this time.
MARINE
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Winds will shift to the east this evening and then hold through at least Thursday. Look for fresh to strong easterly breezes due to tightening pressure gradients since we will be situated between strong high pressure off the U.S. Mid- Atlantic coast and a deepening tropical low over the southwest Gulf. Small craft advisory conditions are expected for much of the week ahead with near gale force gusts possible. Seas will build in response as well, especially for the waters west of Apalachicola. Easterly flow will feature the familiar rhythm of nocturnal surges and afternoon lulls.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Mixing heights will be on the rise for the afternoons this week.
Easterly flow will be increasing, starting Monday, due to the ridge of high pressure that will be to our northeast. Temperatures will be in the 90s for the daily highs. The warm temperatures and elevated transport winds around 15-20 mph will lead to high dispersions (above 80 units) each afternoon through Wednesday. Minimum RH values are above critical thresholds. Rain chances decrease through midweek; however, rain chances do return heading into the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Shower and thunderstorms have developed as expected this afternoon.
With the TLH sounding PWAT being at 1.83" this morning and the current SPC mesoanalysis page now showing about 1.5" to 2.1" over the region, the atmosphere has moistened quite nicely. The driest air is over southwest GA, where storms have yet to really from.
The current formation of storms are along and southwest of the line from about Coffee County, AL to Early County, GA, and then dips all the way into the FL Big Bend. PWATs are highest here and if we have training or slow moving storms, there is a risk for intense rainfall rates within the core of heavier thunderstorms which could lead to short-lived runoff issues. However, no widespread or significant flooding is expected.
Rainfall, if any, from Monday through Wednesday will be hydrologically insignificant. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase from Thursday through Saturday, once again posing the risk of short-lived runoff issues stemming from intense rainfall rates beneath the core of heavier thunderstorms. Riverine flooding is not expected.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 74 93 73 93 / 50 30 10 30 Panama City 76 92 76 92 / 20 20 20 30 Dothan 73 93 71 90 / 30 30 10 10 Albany 73 94 71 91 / 40 10 0 10 Valdosta 72 94 71 93 / 20 10 0 20 Cross City 71 93 71 93 / 40 10 10 50 Apalachicola 78 88 78 88 / 30 20 20 40
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 713 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
New AVIATION
NEAR TERM
(Through Monday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Earlier this morning, scattered showers and thunderstorms were slowly moving northwest from along the Nature and Forgotten Coasts.
Cloud cover has been increasing through the day as rain and storm coverage increased. The 12z sounding this morning had PWATs at 1.8" and indicated enough instability for thunderstorms to develop that could produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall. PoPs today range from about 30% in Southwest-Central Georgia, to 60-80% for our Florida counties. Shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish this evening with slight chances for rain during the overnight hours.
Upper level high pressure will heavily influence our weather for the start of the work week with shifting our surface winds to be easterly with gusts up to around 20 mph. The easterly shift will usher in drier air, bringing humidity levels down to the low 40%s by the afternoon, limiting PoPs to about 30% for our Florida counties, and lower percentages further inland.
Temperatures during this period will be in the mid 90s for Monday afternoon, with morning lows in the low to mid 70s.
SHORT TERM
(Monday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
We will be sandwiched between two large features during this period, the first being both upper level and surface high pressure over the east. The second being a tropical low to our southwest, in the Gulf near the Bay of Campeche. This will lead to a tightening pressure gradient over the region and bring breezy easterly winds to the region. These easterly winds, along with a drier airmass, should suppress showers and thunderstorms over southwest GA and southeast AL. Guidance still tries to show some development over the FL counties, and in particular south of I-10. This would likely be due to any seabreeze that potentially collides with the easterly winds.
LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Dry weather should persist into Wednesday with our eyes then turning to the tropical wave in the Atlantic Basin. The NHC continues to highlight a large swath of potential development, 30%, that covers the GA and FL coasts, down to the Bahamas. It's too early to determine, what, if any, impacts will come from this outside of the increased chances for rain and thunderstorms and perhaps some heavy rain. The timing for this potential disturbance is Thursday into Friday. We get past this, the Atlantic high drifts to the south and the upper ridge will have weakened due to the tropical disturbance. More typical like summertime weather and convection is expected as flow gradually shifts to the southeast.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 710 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Scattered TSRA continue this evening near VLD and ECP. The TSRA near VLD could move eastward and impact TLH later this evening, and have accounted for that in a TEMPO group. Otherwise, outside of the TSRA, VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours. E/SE winds will increase tomorrow afternoon, possibly becoming gusty near ECP. Isolated TSRA is possible, but confidence is too low for inclusion at this time.
MARINE
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Winds will shift to the east this evening and then hold through at least Thursday. Look for fresh to strong easterly breezes due to tightening pressure gradients since we will be situated between strong high pressure off the U.S. Mid- Atlantic coast and a deepening tropical low over the southwest Gulf. Small craft advisory conditions are expected for much of the week ahead with near gale force gusts possible. Seas will build in response as well, especially for the waters west of Apalachicola. Easterly flow will feature the familiar rhythm of nocturnal surges and afternoon lulls.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Mixing heights will be on the rise for the afternoons this week.
Easterly flow will be increasing, starting Monday, due to the ridge of high pressure that will be to our northeast. Temperatures will be in the 90s for the daily highs. The warm temperatures and elevated transport winds around 15-20 mph will lead to high dispersions (above 80 units) each afternoon through Wednesday. Minimum RH values are above critical thresholds. Rain chances decrease through midweek; however, rain chances do return heading into the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 316 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Shower and thunderstorms have developed as expected this afternoon.
With the TLH sounding PWAT being at 1.83" this morning and the current SPC mesoanalysis page now showing about 1.5" to 2.1" over the region, the atmosphere has moistened quite nicely. The driest air is over southwest GA, where storms have yet to really from.
The current formation of storms are along and southwest of the line from about Coffee County, AL to Early County, GA, and then dips all the way into the FL Big Bend. PWATs are highest here and if we have training or slow moving storms, there is a risk for intense rainfall rates within the core of heavier thunderstorms which could lead to short-lived runoff issues. However, no widespread or significant flooding is expected.
Rainfall, if any, from Monday through Wednesday will be hydrologically insignificant. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will increase from Thursday through Saturday, once again posing the risk of short-lived runoff issues stemming from intense rainfall rates beneath the core of heavier thunderstorms. Riverine flooding is not expected.
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Tallahassee 74 93 73 93 / 50 30 10 30 Panama City 76 92 76 92 / 20 20 20 30 Dothan 73 93 71 90 / 30 30 10 10 Albany 73 94 71 91 / 40 10 0 10 Valdosta 72 94 71 93 / 20 10 0 20 Cross City 71 93 71 93 / 40 10 10 50 Apalachicola 78 88 78 88 / 30 20 20 40
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ108-112- 114-115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| APCF1 - 8728690 - Apalachicola, FL | 1 mi | 50 min | WNW 2.9G | 82°F | 87°F | 30.02 | ||
| APXF1 - Apalachicola Reserve, FL | 7 mi | 68 min | 0 | 85°F | 30.06 | 78°F | ||
| SGOF1 - Tyndall AFB Tower C (N4), FL | 22 mi | 68 min | 83°F | 30.02 | ||||
| SHPF1 - SHP - Shell Point, FL | 44 mi | 134 min | SW 7G | 88°F | 29.97 | 76°F | ||
| PACF1 - 8729108 - Panama City, FL | 48 mi | 50 min | W 11G |
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Wind History graph: AAF
(wind in knots)Apalachicola
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:00 AM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:09 AM EDT 0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:34 AM EDT 1.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:53 PM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:00 AM EDT 1.01 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:48 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 05:09 AM EDT 0.88 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 11:34 AM EDT 1.60 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 07:53 PM EDT 0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:42 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Apalachicola, Apalachicola Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1 |
| 1 am |
| 1 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 0.9 |
| 4 am |
| 0.9 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.6 |
Tide / Current for St. George Island, 12th St. W (Bayside), St. George Sound, Florida
EDIT HIDE HelpTide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
St. George Island, 12th St. W (Bayside), St. George Sound, Florida, Tide feet
Tallahassee, FL,
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