Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 2:30 AM   Moonset 3:29 PM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 400 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 4 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon night - E winds around 5 kt nearshore and E 5 to 10 kt offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Tue - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Wave detail: E 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt becoming se in the evening. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed night - E winds 5 kt. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms. Thu - E winds around 5 kt becoming S sw in the afternoon, then becoming W sw in the evening. Seas 0 foot. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers and tstms.

GMZ600 319 Am Cdt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow prevails through midweek. Light to moderate westerly to southwesterly flow returns by late week. Seas continue to subside today into Monday.

FXUS62 KTBW 021210 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 810 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
An upper level trough is expected to move over the region today with additional energy to combine with the afternoon seabreeze boundaries to produce a chance of showers and thunderstorms areawide with highest PoPs in coastal areas from SW into S Tampa Bay area.

W Atlantic surface high pressure to remain in place and weaken next week with mean layer moisture increasing. Models have backed off on upper ridging and now only briefing nudging into the region Tuesday before general troughiness returns aloft mid to late week with next upper trough slowly moving thru the Eastern US.

This set up would allow for a more typical early summer scattered afternoon/evening storms and seabreeze pattern for much needed rainfall. But this solution carries some uncertainty with the ongoing persistent drought pattern and NBM wet bias to keep PoPs trimmed a bit and will see how the models progress in time.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 805 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

VFR conditions are expected through the period outside of thunderstorms. Thunderstorms will be the biggest hazard to terminals today as thunderstorm chances have gone up. Highest confidence for thunderstorms on station will be at FMY and RSW where a TEMPO line was added but all terminals have a chance of seeing thunderstorms through the late afternoon and evening hours.



MARINE
High pressure is expected to weaken and move into the Western Atlantic through the early part of the week with generally light winds except during the occasionally gusty evening easterly surges. The afternoon Gulf seabreeze is expected to move inland and produce isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms daily that move back towards the coast in the evenings.

FIRE WEATHER
High pressure will weaken and remain over the region into next week with the warm conditions continuing along with a slow increase in low level moisture. The afternoon Gulf seabreeze is expected to move inland and produce isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms daily.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 75 92 76 / 50 60 40 20 FMY 92 72 93 74 / 60 60 60 40 GIF 92 72 93 72 / 50 50 50 10 SRQ 91 72 93 74 / 60 60 40 30 BKV 91 69 94 69 / 40 40 40 10 SPG 91 77 92 79 / 50 60 40 20

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Little Hickory Island
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Sun -- 03:30 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:45 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:16 AM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 05:20 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:57 PM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Little Hickory Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:18 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 02:40 AM EDT     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 04:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:46 AM EDT     1.07 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 11:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:14 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 04:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:53 PM EDT     0.94 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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