Sunrise 4:46 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM Moonrise 11:55 AM   Moonset 12:43 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall  New

ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 223 Pm Edt Thu Jun 13 2024
Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds. Patchy fog until early morning. Patchy fog late. Vsby 1 nm or less until early morning. Fri - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Fri night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers, mainly in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 6 seconds. A chance of showers. Sat night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mon night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Tue night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

ANZ100 223 Pm Edt Thu Jun 13 2024
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm a cold front approaches the waters through the daytime Friday, and then crosses the waters Friday night a developing area of low pressure passes east of the gulf of maine Friday night and into Saturday. High pressure builds across the waters for the weekend, and then moves east of the gulf of maine and strengthens early next week.

FXUS61 KGYX 131401 AFDGYX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gray ME 1001 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
Warmer and sunny today as flow shifts to the southwest. A cold front crosses New England on Friday, bringing the risk for some severe storms and locally heavy rainfall. High pressure builds in behind the front for the weekend. The high moves offshore early next week, setting up a moderating trend with warm temps and heat increasingly likely next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/

10:00am Update... Just minor tweaks to temps and cloud cover for today with this update. No major changes, just added a few more clouds for today as some fair weather cumulus clouds continue to develop this morning.

645 AM...Just a quick update to adjust to current T/Td and to tweak the early morning fog which should burn off by 8 AM everywhere.

Previously...Finally, the persistent 500 mb closed low weakens and shifts NE through Newfoundland and Labrador today, allowing for more zonal flow, and more aligned flow down to the sfc with SW flow developing. So, after some morning fog, this will lead to a sunny and warmer day, although cooler along the mid coast, and late developing sea breezes from Casco Bay S, will keep the coast a little cooler. Highs range from the low 70s on the mid coast to 75-80 in the mtns and the NH and SW ME coast, to the low to mid 80s other inland areas.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
S-SW flow gradient tightens up ahead of approaching cold front overnight, and this should keep some light flow going at all but the most sheltered areas, so this will make for a milder night, with increasing highs clouds, and lows around 60 in the mtns and the mid coast to the mid 60s in S NH.

On Friday, that front will move in from the NW starting about midday and track through the CWA during the afternoon exiting in the early evening. Highs of 80-85 can be expected, and the coast will be warm as well with increasing SW flow in advance of the front. With clouds and showers arriving earlier in the day the mtns will likely top out in the mid to upper 70s. Given the dent height fall just ahead of the sfc front, and the good instability generated outside the mtns with Tds climbing into the mid 60s, and temps in the low to mid 80s, there is potential for severe storms Fri afternoon. There is decent capping ahead of the front, and good deep layer shear of 60-80 kts, so the threat is there. Of course our usual weak mid level lapse rates will work against severe, but the threat is there S of the mtns, and is best over S NH and into interior SW ME.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
High pressure builds in behind the front for the weekend, bringing dry conditions and seasonable temperatures for Saturday and Sunday. The high then moves offshore by early next week, helping to set up a warm southwesterly flow with moderating temperatures.

A ridge builds across the Northeast much of next week, with increasing confidence for significant heat next week. Highs in the 90s look likely by Tuesday in many spots, and likely continue to climb on Wednesday. Dew points will also be on the rise Tuesday and Wednesday, with dew points likely pushing 70 degrees by Wednesday. This give heat indices in the upper 90s to low 100s by Wednesday.

This heat is still about a week away, and there are still several factors that could disrupt to core of the heat, such as an MCS or increased cloud cover running around the ridge.
However, ensembles look to be trending toward the warmer solutions with several days of heat looking increasingly likely.
Lows also look to remain in the 70s across southern and coastal areas starting Wednesday night, so nighttime recovery doesn't look substantial either. We'll continue to monitor it over the next few days, but that's how things look to be trending at this point.

AVIATION /14Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Short Term...Patchy fog this morning could affect almost any terminals as we head toward sunrise, but any fog should break up and return to VFR by 12Z. Otherwise expected VFR today into Friday morning, as increasing SW flow will likely prevent any fog tonight. Friday will see a line of thunderstorms move through in the afternoon, with tempo flight restrictions and potential strong gusty winds and hail.

Long Term...VFR then prevails from Friday night through early next week.

MARINE
Short Term...S-SW winds begin to increase this afternoon and will likely see gusts to 25 kt and seas to 5 ft late tonight through Friday in advance of a cold front. The cold front crosses the waters Fri evening, and winds/seas will diminish.

Long Term...Fair conditions are then expected for the weekend and early next week as high pressure settles along the Eastern Seaboard.

GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 8 PM EDT Friday for ANZ150- 152-154.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Hampden
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:46 AM EDT     12.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:11 AM EDT     1.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:30 PM EDT     11.80 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:32 PM EDT     2.72 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine, Tide feet

South Orrington
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:45 AM EDT     11.92 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:09 AM EDT     1.51 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 11:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:29 PM EDT     11.30 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 11:30 PM EDT     2.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

South Orrington, Penobscot River, Maine, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Portland, ME,