Sunrise 4:46 AM   Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 9:41 AM   Moonset 12:00 AM

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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 255 Am Edt Tue Jun 11 2024
Today - NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw late this morning, then increasing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 7 seconds. Patchy fog this morning. Isolated showers late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm early this morning. Tonight - S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 8 seconds. Areas of fog after midnight. Wed - SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 8 seconds. Areas of fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.Wed night - SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 8 seconds. Thu - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 7 seconds, becoming S 2 ft at 6 seconds. Thu night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 6 seconds. Fri - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning. Fri night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Sat night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.

ANZ005 255 Am Edt Tue Jun 11 2024
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm - Weak upper level low pres will remain over the area today and Wed. High pres will build S of the waters on Thu. A cold front will cross the waters Fri followed by high pres on Sat.

FXUS61 KCAR 110324 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1124 PM EDT Mon Jun 10 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure across the north will slowly move away to the northeast today through Tuesday. A weak upper trough will remain over the area Wednesday as a ridge of high pressure builds to our west. High pressure will build south of the area Thursday. A cold front will cross the region on Friday, followed by high pressure building in for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
11:20 PM Update...The sky is clear to partly cloudy with some lower clouds beginning to move back into the area from the northwest. Lowered temps early in the overnight period for some of the open areas that cooled into the low 50s under a clear sky. Otherwise, forecast remains on track.

A broad vertically stacked area of low pressure continues to churn over the Canadian Maritimes and track further east into the Gulf of St Lawrence. More stable air has worked into the forecast area, decreasing the threat for showers overnight. Low temperatures will fall to around 50 across the region with partly cloudy skies.955 PM Update: Showers have dissipated with partly cloudy skies across most of the area. Patchy fog is developing over areas with more extensive breaks in cloud cover.

Previous Discussion: For the day on Tuesday, an upper level trough will remain in the area, which in addition to lingering low to mid level moisture and diurnal heating, will lead to the development of convective showers across the forecast area. Forecast soundings indicate a skinny CAPE profile with only a few hundred J/kg of CAPE, so the risk for lightning is limited but non-zero. High temperatures will lift into the mid 70s over the forecast area on Tuesday.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Tuesday night into Wednesday the upper level trough will weaken and turn into more of a cutoff low over the state, with ridging955 PM Update: Showers have dissipated with partly cloudy skies across most of the area. Patchy fog is developing over areas with more extensive breaks in cloud cover.further to the north.
Lingering instability aloft will aid in the formation of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. The atmosphere will be slightly drier than the previous days, so not expecting too much accumulation. Thursday will provide a sort of a break from the showers, at least for southern portions of the forecast area.
Overall though, we will still be under the influence of a longwave trough, and a weak shortwave moving across the northern part of Maine will keep at least the chance for some showers through that region. With light flow overhead starting Tuesday night, the chances of fog increase with all the recent rainfall.
Over the waters, marine fog is likely and should be fairly widespread as warmer air begins to move in ahead of the next front.955 PM Update: Showers have dissipated with partly cloudy skies across most of the area. Patchy fog is developing over areas with more extensive breaks in cloud cover.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
Thursday night through Friday, a cold front will cross the state, bringing another chance for thunderstorms. The timing on this front is slightly variable between the deterministic runs, with GFS running a little behind the EC and Canadian. Therefore, blended PoPs to bring precip across the area a little bit earlier, and included a chance for thunderstorms ahead of the front through the Central Highlands and Interior Downeast. With a true front passing, colder air aloft will increase instability, but more importantly, we could see bulk shear values of 30 to 40 kts across the front. Thus, there is the potential for these storms to be severe so Friday will be the day to watch. Details will come into better focus as the forecast moves into the range for the CAMS. Saturday and Sunday, weak ridging will move in, and with a cold pool aloft, surface temps will be a little cooler, making for a pleasant weekend. By Monday, temperatures will be on the rise as return flow around 955 PM Update: Showers have dissipated with partly cloudy skies across most of the area. Patchy fog is developing over areas with more extensive breaks in cloud cover.the high moves overhead.
Deterministic models indicate the possibility of a shortwave bringing some showers for Monday afternoon, but confidence in this feature is low since the forecast is too far out for details.

AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
NEAR TERM: Northern terminals...VFR outside of IFR in patchy fog late this evening, then MVFR cigs with IFR or lower remaining possible in patchy fog late tonight. Conditions will improve to VFR into the day on Tues. Winds light and variable. -SHRA possible Tues afternoon.

Downeast terminals...VFR conditions will continue tonight into Tues, with brief IFR vis possible through early Tues morning due955 PM Update: Showers have dissipated with partly cloudy skies across most of the area. Patchy fog is developing over areas with more extensive breaks in cloud cover.to patchy dense fog. Winds light and variable. -SHRA possible Tues afternoon.

SHORT TERM:

Tuesday night-Thursday night...During the daytime, generally VFR, except for brief period of MVFR possible in any stronger showers in the afternoon. During the nighttime and early mornings, MVFR or lower possible in patchy fog. Better chance and more persistent IFR/fog along the coast. Winds less than 10 kts except during the day Thursday, when S/SW around 10 kts is expected.

Friday...VFR early, decreasing to MVFR/IFR from N to S with showers and storms. Timing of the front is a little uncertain, with BGR/HUL/BHB more likely to see afternoon TS. S/SW wind 10-15 kts with higher gusts. LLWS possible.

Friday night and Saturday...MVFR/IFR gradually becoming VFR by Saturday morning behind the front. Gusty N winds 15 to 20 kts.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds and seas less than small craft advisory conditions will continue. Seas will approach around 4 ft on the outermost portion of the coastal waters, and winds may briefly surpass 20 kts across all waters in any rain showers.

SHORT TERM: Winds generally less than 10 kts and seas 2 ft or less through Wednesday night. From Thursday into Friday, S winds gradually increase to around 25 kts on Friday, and seas gradually build to around 5 ft. Winds will subside below 25 kts Friday night and remain there on Saturday. Seas gradually subsiding to 3 feet by Saturday afternoon.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

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