Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:47 PM Moonrise 4:24 AM   Moonset 8:45 PM

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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013.thunderstorms over the waters - . Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible - .keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat - .lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414

PZZ300 855 Am Pdt Thu Jun 6 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A thermal trough continues to produce gusty north winds and steep wind- driven seas. Isolated gales may be possible south of gold beach late this evening when the thermal trough peaks. Conditions should improve late Friday through late Saturday before a thermal trough rebuilds Saturday evening.

FXUS66 KMFR 061149 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 449 AM PDT Thu Jun 6 2024

DISCUSSION
The two features of most particular interest remain a straight-forward forecast of hot temperatures, and a more challenging analysis of where weak instability and sufficient mid-level moisture levels will warrant including a slight chance mention of late-day thunderstorms. Instability this afternoon through Sunday afternoon is expected to lead to a slight chance to chance of showers and slight chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms over portions of the east side and Siskiyou County.

Patchy morning coastal low clouds are present from Cape Blanco northward and into the Coquille Valley. This stratus is expected to dissipate quickly, by mid-morning. Morning stratus coverage, again mainly north of Cape Blanco, is expected to be at a minimum on Friday.

The Chetco Effect at Brookings (with warming due to downslope northeast winds) will peak today, otherwise hot temperatures will reach their maximum on Friday, with readings expected to be near or slightly above the hottest of the year so far on the west side, and the hottest of the year by several degrees (and at or near record levels) on the east side. The heat is associated with an unusually strong ridge centered in the Desert Southwest. Meantime, a reinforcing ridge will push east into the Pacific Northwest on Friday...kicked eastward by a closed low farther offshore. The gradual passage of the trough will bring a cooling trend for the weekend, though with temperatures remaining above normal. The trough passage will also allow a noticeable trend of more extensive night and morning coastal stratus coverage during the weekend.

Beyond Sunday, warmer than normal conditions persist next week with a stable air mass and typical northerly breezes.

Regarding thunderstorms, instability around peak heating late this afternoon will lead to a slight chance near Mount Shasta, with a higher probability over the Warner Mountains of Modoc County, into southern Lake County and eastward. The region favorable for development will shift northward for Friday, with the peak of the heat wave providing more energy. A 10% to 15% probability extends from central Siskiyou County northeastward into southern Klamath County, including Klamath Falls. But, the highest probability will be in northern Klamath County, east of Highway 97, and across northern Lake County.

Model differences increase regarding the fine details of the sharpness and position of the trough for the weekend, with an additional complicating factor of heating on Saturday being hindered by an influx of high level clouds. As earlier mentioned, the highest probability will continue to be over northern California and south central Oregon.

AVIATION
06/12Z TAFs...Marine stratus is trying to develop around North Bend this morning, bringing moments of MVFR ceilings.
Given the delayed development, these clouds are unlikely to endure much sunlight.

VFR levels will be present across northern California and southern Oregon today, with gusty winds expected along the Oregon coast and over Roseburg this afternoon. Winds will calm quickly tonight. There are hints of lower ceilings and visibilities developing over North Bend at the very end of the TAF period, but confidence in this is slight so it has not been included in the TAFs yet. -TAD

MARINE
Updated 200 AM Thursday, June 6, 2024...A thermal trough will continue to guide marine conditions through today and Friday, bringing gusty northerly winds over all waters. Very steep and hazardous seas will be present south of Cape Blanco while steep seas will continue in waters to the north. Winds will increase through the day today and peak this evening, with gale winds possible south of Gold Beach before winds start to decrease overnight and into Friday morning. Even as winds decrease, very steep seas will continue south of Cape Blanco into late Friday morning. Steep seas will remain in all waters into late Friday night.

Please see MWWMFR to see more detailed areas of expected hazards as well as timing for current Small Craft Advisories and Hazardous Seas Warnings.

Seas will be calm through Saturday, although westerly swell will start to increase during the day and a thermal trough will return late Saturday night. Chaotic seas are expected to return to all waters Sunday and continue into early next week as the thermal trough strengthens. -TAD

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR
CA
None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Friday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 AM PDT Friday for PZZ356-376.

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Crescent City
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Thu -- 05:24 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:40 AM PDT     New Moon
Thu -- 05:42 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:26 AM PDT     -1.97 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:14 PM PDT     5.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:00 PM PDT     2.89 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:48 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:45 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:55 PM PDT     7.64 feet High Tide
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Crescent City, California, Tide feet

Brookings
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Thu -- 05:23 AM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:40 AM PDT     New Moon
Thu -- 05:41 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:30 AM PDT     -1.97 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:15 PM PDT     5.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:04 PM PDT     2.89 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:50 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:47 PM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:56 PM PDT     7.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet

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