Sunrise 6:24 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 2:24 AM   Moonset 3:26 PM

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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 832 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Rest of tonight - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 6 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Wave detail: east 4 feet at 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Sunday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Thursday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon, becoming south in the evening, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon, then a slight chance of showers in the evening.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 020619 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 219 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

New AVIATION, PREVIOUS DISCUSSION

AVIATION
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 220 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Onshore moving showers are expected this morning near the Treasure Coast before scattered lightning storms develop this afternoon over the W interior along boundary collisions. E winds at 5-12kts will increase into the afternoon at 12-15kts with gusts to 20-24kts. TEMPO groups for SHRA/TSRA will likely be added later at KSUA/KISM as hi-res guidance comes into better agreement.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 220 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Rest of Today-Tonight...High pressure drifts offshore into the western Atlantic into tonight, maintaining onshore flow through the period. A stout inversion above 850mb will keep us mostly dry, but enough moisture exists below this layer to support a marine stratocu deck. A few showers or storms will be possible in this layer overnight tonight along and offshore from the Treasure Coast. Otherwise, mostly dry. Winds will diminish after sunset this evening, though continued onshore flow will be enough to keep coastal areas in the lower to mid-70s.

Sunday...As high pressure settles in over the western Atlantic, onshore flow eases, with winds under 10mph in the morning increasing to 10-15mph, with gusts to around 20mph, behind the sea breeze during the afternoon. Winds aloft will back westerly, advecting in higher moisture into the mid and upper levels. A less hostile environment aloft should allow for PoPs to reenter the forecast. Models are in disagreement about the coverage of any showers or storms Sunday afternoon, though a sea breeze collision is expected over the interior. Thus, have PoPs 30-50% tomorrow, with the highest PoPs over southern and western portions of the forecast area. Easing onshore flow will allow afternoon high temperatures to increase slightly, rising into the upper 80s along the coast and lower 90s inland. Sunday night, low temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s expected.

Previous discussion..

Mon-Fri...A weak high pressure ridge axis will gradually settle southward from north FL Mon to south FL Thu- Fri. Moisture looks fairly limited so the daily 30-40% PoPs may be a bit generous.
Have more confidence that max temperatures will continue a warming trend with lower 90s interior Mon reaching mid 90s Tue and beyond. Such low to mid 90s will spread to the east coast by late week as the sea breeze onset gets more and more delayed.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 934 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Predominantly VFR conditions, with increasing rain chances through the TAF period. Gusty easterly winds 10-15 kts this evening settle at around 5 kts 09Z, then pick back up to 10-15 kts along the coast around 14Z and inland after 18Z, with gusts to 20 kts possible but generally less than previous days. Increasing confidence for onshore moving ISO-SCT SHRA impacts at coastal terminals, so added northward progressing VCSH to KSUA-KMLB starting 14Z-18Z. Diurnal TSRA/SHRA expected near or west of KLEE around 20Z and push eastward through 00Z, then dissipate. Have VCTS at all inland terminals starting 20Z-21Z, but confidence in timing and coverage remains low, and TSRA/SHRA might not even make it to KSFB. Keeping KDAB/KTIX dry for now.

MARINE
Issued at 220 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue through the evening hours, improving into tonight as high pressure settles in over the western Atlantic and winds diminish. Until then, onshore flow to around 20kts south of Sebastian Inlet, with 10-20kts elsewhere. Seas up to 6ft over the Treasure Coast waters will also diminish this evening, becoming 4-5ft. 3-5ft for the Atlantic waters north of this area. Showers and a few storms will be possible over the Treasure Coast waters overnight, especially towards morning.

Boating conditions improve late weekend into next week, as easterly winds decrease to around 15kts or less. Will see winds veer southeasterly/southerly by late week. Daily shower and lightning storm chances, though PoPs remain around 30% or less most days and do not exceed 50% through the period. Seas 3-4ft Sunday becoming 2-3ft by Wednesday.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 220 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Today...Sensitive fire weather conditions today, with breezy easterly winds 15 to 20mph and gusts up to around 30 mph. Will stay mostly dry through the overnight hours, though a few showers or storms will be possible along the Treasure Coast, especially towards morning. Min RH this afternoon between 35-45% over much of the area, with the driest conditions inland. Very good to excellent dispersion through sunset.

Sunday-Early Next Week...Conditions improve slightly Sunday into early next week, as higher moisture creeps into the local area, keeping min RH values 40-50% over the interior and higher along the coast. Onshore flow will also diminish, though winds up to 15mph and gusts to 20mph are expected behind the sea breeze each afternoon. PoPs increase beginning Sunday, becoming up to 30-50%, with the highest chances over the interior. High temperatures will be near to slightly above normal in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
Good to very good dispersion each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 86 71 87 71 / 20 10 30 10 MCO 89 71 90 71 / 30 20 40 10 MLB 86 73 87 73 / 30 30 40 20 VRB 87 71 88 71 / 40 30 40 20 LEE 90 71 91 72 / 30 20 40 10 SFB 89 71 91 71 / 30 20 40 10 ORL 90 72 91 72 / 30 20 40 10 FPR 86 70 87 71 / 40 40 50 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:59 AM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:18 PM EDT     3.74 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:33 PM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida (2), Tide feet

Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:51 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:28 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:48 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:22 PM EDT     3.99 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:29 PM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida, Tide feet

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