Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Meeker, OK
June 2, 2024 11:03 PM CDT (04:03 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:12 AM Sunset 8:39 PM Moonrise 2:26 AM Moonset 3:42 PM |
Area Discussion for - Norman, OK
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FXUS64 KOUN 030320 AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1020 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through tonight) Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The next chance for storms after this early round won't wait long, as another round of convection is expected to work in this evening from the Texas panhandle. Some questions exist about how much of our area will experience storms this evening due to the steady push of outflow southward into western north Texas. However, West Texas Mesonet obs show winds north of the boundary from the east and winds south of the boundary from the south - an indication that perhaps the boundary is stalling or "washing out". Dewpoints have dropped to near 60 on the north side, but it is June so we will have to monitor for evapotranspirative recovery in western Oklahoma. For now, the greatest risk for storms this afternoon will be in western north Texas along and south of the outflow boundary. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible, especially if storms can attain a more supercellular structure and remain close to the boundary.
This evening, activity will approach western Oklahoma and western north Texas from the Texas panhandle after firing off of the dryline. Uncertainty is extremely high given the current presence of the cold pool/stable air. However, the low-level jet will be active this evening, which lends some concern to the notion that we could re-destabilize this evening in advance of another MCS. Trends will be watched closely.
Believe it or not, there is actually a signal for yet another MCS this evening to come southeastward out of Kansas. This one might be impacting our area late tonight through daybreak tomorrow. Beyond that, there is so much mesoscale uncertainty that it just bears waiting to see what will happen.
Meister
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The aforementioned round of storms coming out of Kansas into northern Oklahoma will throw a wrench into tomorrow's forecast, which looked like it might be a pseudo-classic dryline environment otherwise. Instead, every indication is that early convection will leave behind one or both of an outflow boundary and a remnant MCV, which may focus the severe threat tomorrow afternoon somewhere in either south central or southeast Oklahoma. Given the presence of those 70+ dewpoints, which shouldn't be battered too far southward by today's storms, damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a tornado risk can be expected.
Height rises during the day on Tuesday will give it the best chance to be our clearest day in a while. With that will come the best chance for parts of southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas to see their first or second 100-degree days of the year. Highs elsewhere will rise will into the 90s. The jet will remain active just to our north, and enhanced northwest flow across the central Plains will increase the chance for yet another nocturnal MCS across the northern half of our area Tuesday night.
Drier conditions once again look likely on Wednesday and potentially even Wednesday night, though not quite as hot.
Thereafter, the storm chances become a bit more nebulous/hard to forecast, though there is a signal for the worst of the summertime heat to remain to our south and west.
Meister
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Thunderstorms may affect KWWR later this evening. A complex of thunderstorms may affect northern and central Oklahoma after sunrise Monday. MVFR conditions are expected tonight at most TAF sites with mostly VFR conditions in the afternoon outside of thunderstorms.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 68 85 71 92 / 40 50 20 10 Hobart OK 67 93 69 99 / 40 20 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 69 91 73 97 / 40 20 10 0 Gage OK 65 93 66 95 / 40 20 10 10 Ponca City OK 68 84 69 90 / 40 50 30 10 Durant OK 69 86 72 90 / 40 40 20 10
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1020 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through tonight) Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The next chance for storms after this early round won't wait long, as another round of convection is expected to work in this evening from the Texas panhandle. Some questions exist about how much of our area will experience storms this evening due to the steady push of outflow southward into western north Texas. However, West Texas Mesonet obs show winds north of the boundary from the east and winds south of the boundary from the south - an indication that perhaps the boundary is stalling or "washing out". Dewpoints have dropped to near 60 on the north side, but it is June so we will have to monitor for evapotranspirative recovery in western Oklahoma. For now, the greatest risk for storms this afternoon will be in western north Texas along and south of the outflow boundary. Large hail and damaging winds will be possible, especially if storms can attain a more supercellular structure and remain close to the boundary.
This evening, activity will approach western Oklahoma and western north Texas from the Texas panhandle after firing off of the dryline. Uncertainty is extremely high given the current presence of the cold pool/stable air. However, the low-level jet will be active this evening, which lends some concern to the notion that we could re-destabilize this evening in advance of another MCS. Trends will be watched closely.
Believe it or not, there is actually a signal for yet another MCS this evening to come southeastward out of Kansas. This one might be impacting our area late tonight through daybreak tomorrow. Beyond that, there is so much mesoscale uncertainty that it just bears waiting to see what will happen.
Meister
LONG TERM
(Monday through next Saturday) Issued at 125 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
The aforementioned round of storms coming out of Kansas into northern Oklahoma will throw a wrench into tomorrow's forecast, which looked like it might be a pseudo-classic dryline environment otherwise. Instead, every indication is that early convection will leave behind one or both of an outflow boundary and a remnant MCV, which may focus the severe threat tomorrow afternoon somewhere in either south central or southeast Oklahoma. Given the presence of those 70+ dewpoints, which shouldn't be battered too far southward by today's storms, damaging winds, large hail, and perhaps a tornado risk can be expected.
Height rises during the day on Tuesday will give it the best chance to be our clearest day in a while. With that will come the best chance for parts of southwest Oklahoma and western north Texas to see their first or second 100-degree days of the year. Highs elsewhere will rise will into the 90s. The jet will remain active just to our north, and enhanced northwest flow across the central Plains will increase the chance for yet another nocturnal MCS across the northern half of our area Tuesday night.
Drier conditions once again look likely on Wednesday and potentially even Wednesday night, though not quite as hot.
Thereafter, the storm chances become a bit more nebulous/hard to forecast, though there is a signal for the worst of the summertime heat to remain to our south and west.
Meister
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1018 PM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024
Thunderstorms may affect KWWR later this evening. A complex of thunderstorms may affect northern and central Oklahoma after sunrise Monday. MVFR conditions are expected tonight at most TAF sites with mostly VFR conditions in the afternoon outside of thunderstorms.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Oklahoma City OK 68 85 71 92 / 40 50 20 10 Hobart OK 67 93 69 99 / 40 20 10 0 Wichita Falls TX 69 91 73 97 / 40 20 10 0 Gage OK 65 93 66 95 / 40 20 10 10 Ponca City OK 68 84 69 90 / 40 50 30 10 Durant OK 69 86 72 90 / 40 40 20 10
OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OK...None.
TX...None.
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KCQB CHANDLER RGNL,OK | 14 sm | 28 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 64°F | 64°F | 100% | 29.83 | |
KSNL SHAWNEE RGNL,OK | 15 sm | 28 min | S 06 | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 64°F | 94% | 29.83 | |
KTIK TINKER AFB,OK | 23 sm | 68 min | S 09 | 10 sm | Clear | 66°F | 64°F | 94% | 29.77 |
Oklahoma City, OK,
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