Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Creswell, NC
June 2, 2024 4:58 AM EDT (08:58 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:46 AM Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 2:02 AM Moonset 3:16 PM |
AMZ230 Albemarle Sound- 346 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Today - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the morning, then a chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms, mainly in the evening.
Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the morning, then a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening. A chance of showers.
Thu - SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night - SW winds around 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
AMZ200 400 Am Edt Sun Jun 2 2024
Synopsis for coastal waters from surf city north carolina to south santee river south carolina out to 20 nautical miles - High pressure will move off the carolina coast. A backdoor cold front may stall across north carolina Tuesday into Wednesday, likely remaining north of the cape fear area.
Area Discussion for - Newport/Morehead City, NC
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FXUS62 KMHX 020716 AFDMHX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 316 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure pushes offshore today and remains off the coast through Monday. A backdoor front will moves into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3 AM Sun...Latest surface analysis shows high pressure currently centered along the Carolina coast continuing to gradually push offshore with a mix of calm to light S'rly winds noted across ENC. Widespread high cirrus remains over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic this morning as moisture continues to stream in from the south and west out ahead of a weak upper trough in the Mississippi River Valley. Still expect winds to become S-SW'rly across all of the FA near daybreak as high pressure slides offshore. This will limit how cool we get this morning with lows likely already reached for the night as temps range from the upper 50s to upper 60s.
As we go through the day, upper ridging over the area will gradually slide offshore as a neutrally tilted upper trough approaches from the west towards sunset. Weak mid level shortwave will be rounding the base of this trough but will remain just off to the west by Sun evening. At the surface, high pressure will remain offshore allowing winds across the FA to become S-SW'rly today at about 5-10 mph. This will finally begin moisture return in earnest as PWAT's climb to around 1 inch by this afternoon. Some brief enhancement along the seabreeze may occur this afternoon but in general winds should continue to remain light through today. Current forecast keeps the area dry through the day and we likely see some breaks in any high cloud cover this morning before a mix of diurnal Cu and additional high cloud cover develop this afternoon. Some of the CAM's are showing a few isolated showers across the region this afternoon, however given dry forecast soundings, a lack of forcing, and the rest of the global and ensemble guidance showing fairly widespread dry air still over ENC today, elected to keep PoP's below mentionable. Highs get into the mid 80s inland and upper 70s to low 80s along the OBX and immediate coast.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/
As of 3 AM Sun...Low confidence precip forecast begins this evening as upper level trough moves overhead with associated shortwave also moving over the area as well late tonight.
Surface high pressure remains centered offshore keeping light S-SW'rly flow across ENC which will continue to pump moisture over the forecast area tonight. Given this we will finally have a seasonably moist atmospheric column over the region as PWAT's finally get to about 1-1.5 inches across the CWA With weak forcing in place, a few iso showers could develop across the CWA and have kept in SChc PoP's over the area as a result. Will note many of the CAM's show the area completely dry, but think there's enough of a chance to see an iso shower or two across the region tonight to keep SChc PoP's in for now. Will note even if showers do develop any precip amount's would be very light generally less than 0.05 inches and as mentioned above, this is generally a low confidence precip forecast. Lows tonight get into the 60s to near 70.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 330 AM Sun...Conditions become more unsettled Monday as a weak impulse moves overhead. A backdoor cold front moves into Eastern NC Tuesday morning and stalls through Wednesday morning, and provides a focus for scattered shower and thunderstorm development. High pressure rebuilds offshore later Wednesday, and increasing southerly flow will bring a surge of moisture into the area through late week with more unsettled conditions likely. A strong cold front looks to move through the area sometime next weekend.
Monday and Tuesday...Moisture advection continues Monday as PWATs surge above 1.5", and expect a decent coverage (~40%) of showers and thunderstorms as a weak upper level impulse moves overhead a moist and unstable environment.
A backdoor cold front will move into the area Tuesday morning, but now looks to be weaker, and is expected to stall somewhere across Eastern NC. This development brings the potential for the front to focus afternoon shower and thunderstorm development, and have the highest chances for precip (35-45%)
inland Tuesday afternoon.
Highs both Monday and Tuesday will be warmer than recent days but still slightly below normal and in the low to mid 80s.
Wednesday through Saturday...The stalled frontal boundary will break down early Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds off the SE coast, and this will allow rich moisture (PWATs 1.75-2") to advect in from the west Wednesday through Friday ahead of a potent upper level trough and strong cold front.
Increasingly unsettled conditions (40-55% +) are likely with a diurnal max in coverage each afternoon. An increase in heat and humidity is also likely as highs climb into the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon, and it will feel like 95-100 degrees out when factoring the humidity.
Stark timing differences with the front among model guidance, as well as differences with the eventual evolution of the upper level trough casts some doubt on rain chances Friday, but most guidance has drier conditions moving in for next weekend.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Sunday night/...
As of 1 AM Sun... No significant changes to the forecast. VFR conditions with light winds are forecast to prevail across all terminals through Sunday night as high pressure continues to influence the weather with the probability of IFR flight conditions over the next 24 hours is very low...less than 10%.
High clouds generally above 15-20 kft continue to stream in from the west this evening as a moisture plume ahead of a weak barotropic low over the Mississippi RIver Valley shifts eastwards limiting the fog threat tonight and bringing little in the way of impacts to operations. By tomorrow morning, the high cirrus should move well east but increasing low- level moisture with southerly return flow will aid in eventual diurnal cu development Sun afternoon with SCT to BKN ceilings around 5kft expected between 18Z Sun to about 1-2Z Mon with 10-15 kft high cirrus also increasing once again in the afternoon across ENC. Once again minimal impact to operation is forecast into SUn evening. As we get into Sun night iso shower chances gradually begin to increase as a weak mid level shortwave approaches though given the rather isolated nature of any precip that develops will keep terminals precip free through the period until higher confidence in precip chances occurs.
LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Unsettled conditions will be the theme this week, with best chances for rain and thunderstorms coming Wednesday and Thursday. This could bring some periods of sub- VFR conditions to the terminals at times.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Sunday night/...
As of 3 AM Sun... Benign boating conditions persist through the period as high pressure becomes centered off the Southeast Coast. Light and occasionally variable winds this morning will become S-SW'rly and increase slightly to 5-15 kt over the next several hours. These winds will then persist through the remainder of the period. 1 to 2 foot seas across our waters will also change little through the period as well with some occasional 3 ft seas found along the Gulf Stream waters this evening.
LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Good boating conditions expected through Wednesday with light winds but some unsettled conditions possible. Then the pressure gradient will tighten Thursday with low end Small Craft conditions possible.
Winds will be SSW at 10-15 kts Monday, becoming weaker overnight into Tuesday morning. A backdoor front will move through a portion of the waters from the north Tuesday morning before stalling, with flow out of the NE at 5-10 kts to its north and SW winds at 5-10 kts to its south. This front will continue to bifurcate the coastal waters through Wednesday morning until high pressure rebuilds offshore and winds become SSW at 10-15 kts Wednesday afternoon. Winds then continue to strengthen Wednesday night, and then climb to SW 20-25 kts Thursday.
Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through Wednesday, and then increase to 4-6 ft Thursday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 316 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024
SYNOPSIS
High pressure pushes offshore today and remains off the coast through Monday. A backdoor front will moves into the area on Tuesday and stall through Wednesday morning. High pressure then rebuilds offshore later Wednesday with moist southerly flow strengthening through late week ahead of a potent frontal system, which will result in generally unsettled conditions.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3 AM Sun...Latest surface analysis shows high pressure currently centered along the Carolina coast continuing to gradually push offshore with a mix of calm to light S'rly winds noted across ENC. Widespread high cirrus remains over the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic this morning as moisture continues to stream in from the south and west out ahead of a weak upper trough in the Mississippi River Valley. Still expect winds to become S-SW'rly across all of the FA near daybreak as high pressure slides offshore. This will limit how cool we get this morning with lows likely already reached for the night as temps range from the upper 50s to upper 60s.
As we go through the day, upper ridging over the area will gradually slide offshore as a neutrally tilted upper trough approaches from the west towards sunset. Weak mid level shortwave will be rounding the base of this trough but will remain just off to the west by Sun evening. At the surface, high pressure will remain offshore allowing winds across the FA to become S-SW'rly today at about 5-10 mph. This will finally begin moisture return in earnest as PWAT's climb to around 1 inch by this afternoon. Some brief enhancement along the seabreeze may occur this afternoon but in general winds should continue to remain light through today. Current forecast keeps the area dry through the day and we likely see some breaks in any high cloud cover this morning before a mix of diurnal Cu and additional high cloud cover develop this afternoon. Some of the CAM's are showing a few isolated showers across the region this afternoon, however given dry forecast soundings, a lack of forcing, and the rest of the global and ensemble guidance showing fairly widespread dry air still over ENC today, elected to keep PoP's below mentionable. Highs get into the mid 80s inland and upper 70s to low 80s along the OBX and immediate coast.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/
As of 3 AM Sun...Low confidence precip forecast begins this evening as upper level trough moves overhead with associated shortwave also moving over the area as well late tonight.
Surface high pressure remains centered offshore keeping light S-SW'rly flow across ENC which will continue to pump moisture over the forecast area tonight. Given this we will finally have a seasonably moist atmospheric column over the region as PWAT's finally get to about 1-1.5 inches across the CWA With weak forcing in place, a few iso showers could develop across the CWA and have kept in SChc PoP's over the area as a result. Will note many of the CAM's show the area completely dry, but think there's enough of a chance to see an iso shower or two across the region tonight to keep SChc PoP's in for now. Will note even if showers do develop any precip amount's would be very light generally less than 0.05 inches and as mentioned above, this is generally a low confidence precip forecast. Lows tonight get into the 60s to near 70.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 330 AM Sun...Conditions become more unsettled Monday as a weak impulse moves overhead. A backdoor cold front moves into Eastern NC Tuesday morning and stalls through Wednesday morning, and provides a focus for scattered shower and thunderstorm development. High pressure rebuilds offshore later Wednesday, and increasing southerly flow will bring a surge of moisture into the area through late week with more unsettled conditions likely. A strong cold front looks to move through the area sometime next weekend.
Monday and Tuesday...Moisture advection continues Monday as PWATs surge above 1.5", and expect a decent coverage (~40%) of showers and thunderstorms as a weak upper level impulse moves overhead a moist and unstable environment.
A backdoor cold front will move into the area Tuesday morning, but now looks to be weaker, and is expected to stall somewhere across Eastern NC. This development brings the potential for the front to focus afternoon shower and thunderstorm development, and have the highest chances for precip (35-45%)
inland Tuesday afternoon.
Highs both Monday and Tuesday will be warmer than recent days but still slightly below normal and in the low to mid 80s.
Wednesday through Saturday...The stalled frontal boundary will break down early Wednesday as high pressure rebuilds off the SE coast, and this will allow rich moisture (PWATs 1.75-2") to advect in from the west Wednesday through Friday ahead of a potent upper level trough and strong cold front.
Increasingly unsettled conditions (40-55% +) are likely with a diurnal max in coverage each afternoon. An increase in heat and humidity is also likely as highs climb into the upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon, and it will feel like 95-100 degrees out when factoring the humidity.
Stark timing differences with the front among model guidance, as well as differences with the eventual evolution of the upper level trough casts some doubt on rain chances Friday, but most guidance has drier conditions moving in for next weekend.
AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Sunday night/...
As of 1 AM Sun... No significant changes to the forecast. VFR conditions with light winds are forecast to prevail across all terminals through Sunday night as high pressure continues to influence the weather with the probability of IFR flight conditions over the next 24 hours is very low...less than 10%.
High clouds generally above 15-20 kft continue to stream in from the west this evening as a moisture plume ahead of a weak barotropic low over the Mississippi RIver Valley shifts eastwards limiting the fog threat tonight and bringing little in the way of impacts to operations. By tomorrow morning, the high cirrus should move well east but increasing low- level moisture with southerly return flow will aid in eventual diurnal cu development Sun afternoon with SCT to BKN ceilings around 5kft expected between 18Z Sun to about 1-2Z Mon with 10-15 kft high cirrus also increasing once again in the afternoon across ENC. Once again minimal impact to operation is forecast into SUn evening. As we get into Sun night iso shower chances gradually begin to increase as a weak mid level shortwave approaches though given the rather isolated nature of any precip that develops will keep terminals precip free through the period until higher confidence in precip chances occurs.
LONG TERM /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Unsettled conditions will be the theme this week, with best chances for rain and thunderstorms coming Wednesday and Thursday. This could bring some periods of sub- VFR conditions to the terminals at times.
MARINE
SHORT TERM /Through Sunday night/...
As of 3 AM Sun... Benign boating conditions persist through the period as high pressure becomes centered off the Southeast Coast. Light and occasionally variable winds this morning will become S-SW'rly and increase slightly to 5-15 kt over the next several hours. These winds will then persist through the remainder of the period. 1 to 2 foot seas across our waters will also change little through the period as well with some occasional 3 ft seas found along the Gulf Stream waters this evening.
LONG TERM /Sunday night through Thursday/...
As of 330 AM Sun...Good boating conditions expected through Wednesday with light winds but some unsettled conditions possible. Then the pressure gradient will tighten Thursday with low end Small Craft conditions possible.
Winds will be SSW at 10-15 kts Monday, becoming weaker overnight into Tuesday morning. A backdoor front will move through a portion of the waters from the north Tuesday morning before stalling, with flow out of the NE at 5-10 kts to its north and SW winds at 5-10 kts to its south. This front will continue to bifurcate the coastal waters through Wednesday morning until high pressure rebuilds offshore and winds become SSW at 10-15 kts Wednesday afternoon. Winds then continue to strengthen Wednesday night, and then climb to SW 20-25 kts Thursday.
Seas will be mostly 2-3 ft through Wednesday, and then increase to 4-6 ft Thursday.
MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| DUKN7 - Duck Pier, NC - 8651370 | 44 mi | 58 min | 71°F | 30.16 | ||||
| ORIN7 - 8652587 - Oregon Inlet Marina, NC | 46 mi | 58 min | 72°F | 74°F | 30.19 | |||
| 44056 - Duck FRF, NC | 47 mi | 62 min | 70°F | 1 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEDE NORTHEASTERN RGNL,NC | 18 sm | 28 min | SW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 68°F | 64°F | 88% | 30.17 |
Kitty Hawk (ocean)
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:16 AM EDT 3.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:23 AM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 PM EDT 3.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:21 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:16 AM EDT 3.12 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:23 AM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:50 PM EDT 3.88 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:21 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Kitty Hawk (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 1.4 |
| 2 am |
| 2.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.8 |
| 4 am |
| 3.1 |
| 5 am |
| 3 |
| 6 am |
| 2.5 |
| 7 am |
| 1.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| -0 |
| 11 am |
| 0 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| -0 |
Duck Pier
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:16 AM EDT 3.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:57 PM EDT 3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:26 PM EDT 0.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:59 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 04:16 AM EDT 3.06 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 10:20 AM EDT -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:13 PM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 04:57 PM EDT 3.95 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 11:26 PM EDT 0.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Duck Pier, outside, North Carolina, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 1.3 |
| 2 am |
| 2.1 |
| 3 am |
| 2.7 |
| 4 am |
| 3 |
| 5 am |
| 3 |
| 6 am |
| 2.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1.9 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.2 |
| 10 am |
| -0.2 |
| 11 am |
| -0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 4 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0 |
Morehead City, NC,
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