Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Channelview, TX
June 4, 2024 10:32 AM CDT (15:32 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:18 AM Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 3:34 AM Moonset 5:44 PM |
GMZ335 Galveston Bay- 1026 Am Cdt Tue Jun 4 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of today - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Tonight - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay waters choppy.
Wednesday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay waters slightly choppy.
Wednesday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, easing to around 10 knots late. Bay waters slightly choppy, easing to smooth late.
Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Thursday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth.
GMZ300 Synopsis For High Island To The Matagorda Ship Channel Out 60 Nautical Miles Including Galveston And Matagorda Bays 1026 Am Cdt Tue Jun 4 2024
Synopsis for high island to the matagorda ship channel out 60 nm including galveston and matagorda bays
moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow, elevated seas, and high rip current risk will continue through midweek. Small craft advisories and caution flags are in effect. Winds and seas should begin diminishing as we head into the second part of the week.
moderate to occasionally strong onshore flow, elevated seas, and high rip current risk will continue through midweek. Small craft advisories and caution flags are in effect. Winds and seas should begin diminishing as we head into the second part of the week.
Area Discussion for - Houston/Galveston, TX
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FXUS64 KHGX 041143 AFDHGX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 643 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Not much in the way of change to the overall synoptic pattern is expected in the immediate term with hot and humid conditions prevailing throughout the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. As a midlevel ridge continues to build gradually into the area, scattered storm chances remain in the forecast as a series of midlevel disturbances pass just to our north. HiRes models show convective initiation to our north both late this morning and tomorrow morning, each associated with a passing midlevel shortwave.
While SBCAPE values in excess of 4000 J/kg at times and abundant moisture availability (PWs ~2.0 in) will support some isolated storms this afternoon, strong to severe storm potential will generally be inhibited by limited effective layer shear and the presence of an inversion around 850mb. Upstream conditions tomorrow are a bit more favorable, with models continuing to indicate a linear mode of convection as a MCS pushes towards SE TX just after sunrise. That being said, a continued lack of deep shear as well as a robust capping inversion at the time of the system's arrival will likely keep severe storm development at bay.
With high temperatures today approaching the mid-90s and dew points remaining high in the upper 70s, heat index values may reach as high as 110 in some locations to the west of the I-45 corridor.
Furthermore, WBGT values in the 87-89 range this afternoon indicate an elevated heat impact risk, though this risk may be mitigated somewhat by winds in the vicinity of 15 mph. Nonetheless, we have gone ahead and issued a Heat Advisory for much of the Western third of the area for this afternoon. Another Advisory may be needed tomorrow, though heat stress may be mitigated further by expanding afternoon cloud cover. Low temperatures will remain in the upper 70s to near 80.
Cady
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
On Thursday, a mid-level high begins to expand northward from northern Mexico into the Four Corners region. This'll place Southeast Texas on the eastern edge of ridging aloft, and most of the area will be under the influence of a subsidence inversion layer aloft which will keep rain chances on the slim side. There will still be a few instances where rain chances approach 20% as some embedded shortwaves pass through and even a frontal boundary partially moving through portions of the Piney Woods on late Friday courtesy of an upper level low moving through the Great Lakes region. Through the weekend though, rain chances are only 20% at most in the afternoon hours with areas north of I-10 and east of I- 45 having the best potential for seeing showers and storms. It wouldn't be out of the realm of possibilities for the seabreeze to kick up a few storms as well, but it'll have to battle the cap to get things going.
It's June, so if the rain chances are low then that must mean the temperatures are hot and that is indeed the case! High temperatures throughout the long term period will be in the low to mid 90s with low temperatures mainly in the mid to upper 70s. The humidity won't be going anywhere unfortunately, so it'll continue to feel like 100+°F (heat index) in the afternoons. Rain chances become a little bit more notable early next week as the main ridge axis shifts further west, which will allow for Southeast Texas to be more in the path of incoming shortwaves from a rather robust upper level low that looks to sit over the northeastern CONUS for multiple days...yep the same one that was mentioned in the first paragraph.
Batiste
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 640 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
A brief thunderstorm may impact LBX/GLS in the 12-13Z hour...otherwise, the initial few hours of the TAF period will be characterized by improving cigs. Conditions will return to VFR by late morning, with south winds reaching around 10-15 knots with gusts at times in excess of 20 knots over the course of the afternoon. A slight relaxation of winds can be expected after 00Z, though wind speeds should remain just under 10 knots overnight as MVFR cigs redevelop. Some scattered storms are possible tomorrow morning as a decaying complex of storms moves into the area.
There's still some uncertainty as to the exact timing and extent of storms for now, so have included a few hours of VCTS wording in the extended portion of the IAH TAF.
Cady
MARINE
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Small craft should continue to exercise caution through midweek as moderate onshore flow persists with winds around 15-20 knots and seas around 6 ft in the Gulf waters. Winds and seas may briefly flirt with advisory criteria at times. This persistent onshore flow will continue to carry a high risk of rip currents throughout much of the work week. We'll also have to monitor for the potential for minor coastal flooding with water levels approaching 3.0-3.5 ft above MLLW during times of high tide through midweek. Following midweek, winds and seas begin to subside.
Batiste
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
There are currently four River Flood Warnings in effect: three along the Trinity River and one on the Navasota River. The Navasota River near Normangee (currently in minor flood stage) crested in moderate flood stage over the weekend and will continue on a gradual recession and eventually fall below flood stage around midweek. The Trinity River near Riverside and near Moss Bluff will remain in minor flood stage until further notice. The Trinity River near Liberty is currently rising in minor flood stage and will also remain there until further notice. There isn't a River Flood Warning out for the Trinity River near Crockett as of yet, but the latest forecasts indicate that it will rise into minor flood stage at the end of the week.
Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as river flooding continues.
Batiste
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 94 77 93 76 / 10 10 20 10 Houston (IAH) 92 79 94 78 / 10 10 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 87 81 87 81 / 10 10 20 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ195>198-210>212-226-235.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday morning for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through Wednesday morning for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 643 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
New AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(Today through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Not much in the way of change to the overall synoptic pattern is expected in the immediate term with hot and humid conditions prevailing throughout the remainder of the week and into the upcoming weekend. As a midlevel ridge continues to build gradually into the area, scattered storm chances remain in the forecast as a series of midlevel disturbances pass just to our north. HiRes models show convective initiation to our north both late this morning and tomorrow morning, each associated with a passing midlevel shortwave.
While SBCAPE values in excess of 4000 J/kg at times and abundant moisture availability (PWs ~2.0 in) will support some isolated storms this afternoon, strong to severe storm potential will generally be inhibited by limited effective layer shear and the presence of an inversion around 850mb. Upstream conditions tomorrow are a bit more favorable, with models continuing to indicate a linear mode of convection as a MCS pushes towards SE TX just after sunrise. That being said, a continued lack of deep shear as well as a robust capping inversion at the time of the system's arrival will likely keep severe storm development at bay.
With high temperatures today approaching the mid-90s and dew points remaining high in the upper 70s, heat index values may reach as high as 110 in some locations to the west of the I-45 corridor.
Furthermore, WBGT values in the 87-89 range this afternoon indicate an elevated heat impact risk, though this risk may be mitigated somewhat by winds in the vicinity of 15 mph. Nonetheless, we have gone ahead and issued a Heat Advisory for much of the Western third of the area for this afternoon. Another Advisory may be needed tomorrow, though heat stress may be mitigated further by expanding afternoon cloud cover. Low temperatures will remain in the upper 70s to near 80.
Cady
LONG TERM
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
On Thursday, a mid-level high begins to expand northward from northern Mexico into the Four Corners region. This'll place Southeast Texas on the eastern edge of ridging aloft, and most of the area will be under the influence of a subsidence inversion layer aloft which will keep rain chances on the slim side. There will still be a few instances where rain chances approach 20% as some embedded shortwaves pass through and even a frontal boundary partially moving through portions of the Piney Woods on late Friday courtesy of an upper level low moving through the Great Lakes region. Through the weekend though, rain chances are only 20% at most in the afternoon hours with areas north of I-10 and east of I- 45 having the best potential for seeing showers and storms. It wouldn't be out of the realm of possibilities for the seabreeze to kick up a few storms as well, but it'll have to battle the cap to get things going.
It's June, so if the rain chances are low then that must mean the temperatures are hot and that is indeed the case! High temperatures throughout the long term period will be in the low to mid 90s with low temperatures mainly in the mid to upper 70s. The humidity won't be going anywhere unfortunately, so it'll continue to feel like 100+°F (heat index) in the afternoons. Rain chances become a little bit more notable early next week as the main ridge axis shifts further west, which will allow for Southeast Texas to be more in the path of incoming shortwaves from a rather robust upper level low that looks to sit over the northeastern CONUS for multiple days...yep the same one that was mentioned in the first paragraph.
Batiste
AVIATION
(12Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 640 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
A brief thunderstorm may impact LBX/GLS in the 12-13Z hour...otherwise, the initial few hours of the TAF period will be characterized by improving cigs. Conditions will return to VFR by late morning, with south winds reaching around 10-15 knots with gusts at times in excess of 20 knots over the course of the afternoon. A slight relaxation of winds can be expected after 00Z, though wind speeds should remain just under 10 knots overnight as MVFR cigs redevelop. Some scattered storms are possible tomorrow morning as a decaying complex of storms moves into the area.
There's still some uncertainty as to the exact timing and extent of storms for now, so have included a few hours of VCTS wording in the extended portion of the IAH TAF.
Cady
MARINE
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
Small craft should continue to exercise caution through midweek as moderate onshore flow persists with winds around 15-20 knots and seas around 6 ft in the Gulf waters. Winds and seas may briefly flirt with advisory criteria at times. This persistent onshore flow will continue to carry a high risk of rip currents throughout much of the work week. We'll also have to monitor for the potential for minor coastal flooding with water levels approaching 3.0-3.5 ft above MLLW during times of high tide through midweek. Following midweek, winds and seas begin to subside.
Batiste
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 248 AM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024
There are currently four River Flood Warnings in effect: three along the Trinity River and one on the Navasota River. The Navasota River near Normangee (currently in minor flood stage) crested in moderate flood stage over the weekend and will continue on a gradual recession and eventually fall below flood stage around midweek. The Trinity River near Riverside and near Moss Bluff will remain in minor flood stage until further notice. The Trinity River near Liberty is currently rising in minor flood stage and will also remain there until further notice. There isn't a River Flood Warning out for the Trinity River near Crockett as of yet, but the latest forecasts indicate that it will rise into minor flood stage at the end of the week.
Remember to heed any instructions from your local officials and to never travel through ANY flooded areas or roadways. TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN. Please monitor updated forecasts via the NWS NWPS webpage (https://water.noaa.gov/) as river flooding continues.
Batiste
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
College Station (CLL) 94 77 93 76 / 10 10 20 10 Houston (IAH) 92 79 94 78 / 10 10 20 10 Galveston (GLS) 87 81 87 81 / 10 10 20 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ195>198-210>212-226-235.
High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday morning for TXZ436>439.
GM...Small Craft Should Exercise Caution through Wednesday morning for GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| MGPT2 - 8770613 - Morgans Point, TX | 8 mi | 45 min | ESE 8G | 84°F | 83°F | 29.78 | ||
| NCHT2 - 8770777 - Manchester, TX | 10 mi | 45 min | S 8G | 85°F | 29.75 | |||
| EPTT2 - 8771013 - Eagle Point, TX | 21 mi | 45 min | S 11G | 86°F | 83°F | 29.78 | ||
| GRRT2 | 33 mi | 45 min | SSE 8.9G | 83°F | 84°F | 29.76 | ||
| GNJT2 - 8771341 - Galveston Bay (North Jetty), TX | 34 mi | 45 min | SSW 12G | 83°F | 83°F | 29.77 | ||
| GTOT2 | 35 mi | 45 min | S 8G | 84°F | 85°F | 29.76 | ||
| RLOT2 - 8770971 - Rollover Pass, TX | 35 mi | 45 min | S 8.9G | 83°F | 89°F | 29.80 | ||
| HIST2 | 38 mi | 45 min | S 7G | 83°F | 90°F | 29.79 | ||
| LUIT2 | 48 mi | 45 min | S 11G | 84°F | 84°F | 29.76 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEFD ELLINGTON,TX | 12 sm | 38 min | SSE 08 | 5 sm | Mostly Cloudy | Haze | 86°F | 77°F | 75% | 29.78 |
| KHOU WILLIAM P HOBBY,TX | 13 sm | 16 min | SE 12G18 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 88°F | 77°F | 70% | 29.77 | |
| KLVJ PEARLAND RGNL,TX | 19 sm | 39 min | S 07 | 7 sm | Overcast | 84°F | 79°F | 84% | 29.80 | |
| KIAH GEORGE BUSH INTERCONTINENTAL/HOUSTON,TX | 20 sm | 39 min | SSE 10 | 7 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 86°F | 79°F | 79% | 29.77 |
Lynchburg Landing
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:04 AM CDT -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:34 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:41 AM CDT 1.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:44 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:18 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:04 AM CDT -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:34 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:19 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 11:41 AM CDT 1.54 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:44 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:18 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Lynchburg Landing, San Jacinto River, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.2 |
| 3 am |
| -0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1.1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.3 |
Point Barrow
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:22 AM CDT -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:18 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:51 AM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:36 PM CDT 1.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:12 PM CDT 1.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:42 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:22 AM CDT -0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:33 AM CDT Moonrise
Tue -- 06:18 AM CDT Sunrise
Tue -- 10:51 AM CDT 1.29 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:36 PM CDT 1.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:12 PM CDT 1.07 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:42 PM CDT Moonset
Tue -- 08:17 PM CDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Point Barrow, Trinity Bay, Texas, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| -0.2 |
| 1 am |
| -0.3 |
| 2 am |
| -0.3 |
| 3 am |
| -0.2 |
| 4 am |
| -0 |
| 5 am |
| 0.2 |
| 6 am |
| 0.5 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 1 |
| 9 am |
| 1.2 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.2 |
Houston/Galveston, TX,
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