Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 1:32 AM   Moonset 2:05 PM

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ANZ540 Eastern Bay- 137 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Overnight - W winds 5 kt. Waves flat. Sat - W winds 5 kt. Waves flat. Sat night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Sun night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers. Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. Mon night - E winds 5 kt. Waves flat. Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.

ANZ500 137 Am Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure builds over the waters through Saturday leading to light and variable winds. Shower and Thunderstorm chances return to the waters Sunday into the early and middle part of next week. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters late Saturday night and Sunday.

FXUS61 KPHI 010526 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 126 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure holds dominant influence over the region into early Sunday, then some unsettled conditions could return late Sunday and continue into Monday. High pressure may then build back in Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
1 AM... no changes from earlier forecast.

Previous discussion...
Surface high pressure will dominate over the region through the duration of the near term. This surface high is currently centered just to our west and will gradually move eastward with time. Overall, a dry and quiet forecast is on tap; pleasant and tranquil conditions will continue. Forecast is on track this evening, with only minor tweaks to the grids made.

Clear skies are expected tonight with very light WNW/NW synoptic flow. Winds will likely go light and variable and/or calm for most locations; efficient radiational cooling will take hold. Most locations will see lows in the low 50s with the metro areas and coastal locations seeing the mid to upper 50s. Areas that radiate very well (e.g., the Pine Barrens in NJ) could see lows drop into the upper 40s.

Another beautiful day is on tap for Saturday with high pressure in control. Highs are expected to be warmer than those seen Friday; mainly the upper 70s to low 80s can be anticipated. Dewpoints of the mid 40s to low 50s can be anticipated, RHs will again be very comfortable.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The center of high pressure shifts south and east off the coast Saturday night through Sunday as a weak disturbance approaches from the west. This will bring increasing high cloudiness Saturday night with clouds thickening up through Sunday. By late day Sunday there could be some showers moving into portions of eastern PA and Delmarva eventually getting into NJ. However the timing on this is uncertain so POPs are generally around 30 percent or so. SW flow will return on Sunday as well, bringing warmth and humidity into the region, though cloud coverage will likely limit temperatures from warming too much. High temperatures will linger around the low 80s with mid 80s across the metro areas.

Chances for showers continue Sunday night as the deamplifying upper level disturbance moves through but overall this does not look to be a very impactful weather maker. Some embedded thunder will be possible over Delmarva but otherwise instability looks to be pretty limited. A more mild night with lows only cooling into the low to mid 60s.

Some showers may linger into Monday as the system slowly departs. Offshore system will bring in some E to NE flow across the region, helping temperatures stay on the cooler side. Highs are only expected to be in the upper 70s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
The long range forecast continues to be a bit tricky as it's looking like the area will be situated between a stalled upper level low over the western Atlantic near the Canadian Maritimes and an approaching upper level trough from the west. This approaching upper level trough may take some time to reach the east coast, however, due to a blocking pattern that develops due to the stalled upper low. This could keep the area largely under the influence of upper level ridging through the first half of next week. That said, there will still be the potential for some pieces of upper level energy from the trough to sneak under the ridge helping trigger some showers and thunderstorms each day Monday night through Wednesday. Not expecting a washout though for any of these days and generally speaking, POPs are only around 20 to 30 percent during this time frame. Expect highs generally in the low to mid 80s with dew points generally 60 to 65 which will make it feel a little bit humid but still not too bad.

Chances for showers and storms look to increase by the time we get to next Thursday and the main upper level trough finally starts to dig in over the area.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of Tonight...VFR/SKC. Winds generally light and variable around 5 kt or less, though a west/northwest direction will be favored. High confidence.

Saturday
VFR. FEW or SCT daytime Cu or some Ci at times.
Highly variable winds with mostly N/NW this morning and then mostly SW by afternoon. Winds mostly 5 TO 10 knots most areas.
Sea breeze expected KACY/KMIV with a possible push inland to other sites after 20Z/21Z. High confid except wind direction fcst and sea- breeze effects.

Saturday night
VFR conditions expected with clear skies across the terminals. Patchy rural fog possible. Calm or very light/variable winds. High confid.

Outlook...

Sunday...Sub-VFR cigs could develop for some sites by the afternoon due to some showers/storms.

Monday...Mainly VFR, though some sub-VFR cigs could linger.

Tuesday...Sub-VFR cigs could develop for some sites by the afternoon due to some showers/storms, especially for eastern PA TAF sites.

Wednesday...Sub-VFR cigs possible with showers and storms increasing through the day and into the nighttime hours.

MARINE
No marine headlines anticipated through Saturday. Fair weather expected through Saturday. Variable winds around 10 kts. Seas 2 feet or less.

Outlook...

Saturday through Wednesday...No marine headlines anticipated.

Rip Currents...

For Friday, northwest winds 5 to 15 mph in the morning will veer and become southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Breaking waves will be 1 to 2 feet. With fairly light winds and shorter period swells, there will continue to be a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents along the New Jersey and Delaware beaches.

Saturday will be very similar to Friday. Northwest winds around 10 mph will become southeast later in the day. Breaking waves will be 1 to 2 feet. This will once again result in a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents along the New Jersey and Delaware beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

Rip currents occur often in the vicinities of jetties and piers. Utilize any guarded beaches if venturing out into the water.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Denton
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Sat -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:32 AM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:00 AM EDT     1.28 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:22 PM EDT     2.68 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:50 PM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Denton, Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet

Greensboro
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Sat -- 02:32 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:02 AM EDT     3.77 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:43 AM EDT     1.25 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:05 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:35 PM EDT     0.66 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Greensboro, Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet

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