Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Oak Hill, FL
June 7, 2024 7:36 AM EDT (11:36 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:23 AM Sunset 8:22 PM Moonrise 6:05 AM Moonset 8:58 PM |
AMZ550 Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard County Line 0-20 Nm- 444 Am Edt Fri Jun 7 2024
Today - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south late this morning, becoming southeast early this afternoon, increasing to 10 to 15 knots late. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds and south 1 foot at 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon.
Tonight - South winds around 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds and west 1 foot at 2 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Saturday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: west 1 foot at 2 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds and east 1 foot at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon, becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and west 1 foot at 2 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon, becoming south in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and west 1 foot at 2 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south. Seas 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon, then a chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
FXUS62 KMLB 071052 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 652 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 646 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
VCTS starting 20Z-21Z and running through 02Z-03Z for ISO-SCT TSRA/SHRA INVOF all ECFL terminals. Enough consistency the last few model runs to justify TEMPOs for TSRA impacts 21Z-23Z at the Orlando area terminals and 22Z-24Z at KDAB-KTIX. CIGs expected to remain VFR, with heavy rain and gusty winds the primary impacts.
Light SW-W winds once again favor the WCSB, forecast to reach KLEE ~18Z, and KMCO/KISM ~20Z if TSRA doesn't develop first, increasing winds to ~10 kts. ECSB reaches the coastal terminals ~16Z to the south and ~20Z to the north, shifting winds to E-SE 10-15 kts. Winds become light/VRB after 02Z Friday night, and remain light into much of Saturday.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Key Messages:
-Isolated to scattered lightning storms this afternoon, capable of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
-Increasing temperatures this weekend with heat index values 100-107+ and a risk for heat exhaustion or heat stroke
-Coverage of lightning storms increases next week, timing and rainfall amounts remain less certain
Today-Tonight...With temperatures in the mid 70s and dew points not too far behind, it feels quite muggy stepping out the door.
Skies are mostly clear, winds are light, and GOES-derived PW range from 1.5" across most locations to 1.7" along the Martin/Palm Beach County line. Hot, humid conditions are forecast to continue today with highs approaching the mid 90s and heat indices topping out around 100-107F. Make sure to practice heat safety, staying hydrated and taking frequent breaks in shaded or air-conditioned spaces.
Relief from the heat in the form of scattered showers and lightning storms is possible again this afternoon through early evening. Unlike yesterday, model guidance suggests a bit of warming in the mid levels, suggesting less support for a hail and damaging wind threat. However, the risk for a strong to severe storm cannot be completely ruled out, especially where water-loaded downdrafts could quickly produce strong to locally damaging wind gusts. Locations along the sea breeze collision will see the highest rain chance, generally near and just west of I-95. The main timeframe for storms is after 3 or 4 PM, ending an hour or two after sunset. Storms will drift toward the east coast before dissipating or moving offshore.
This Weekend...Lower coverage of showers and storms is anticipated, as a surface boundary dissipates across north Florida, mid level ridging builds over the state, and relatively drier air pushes south. PW should remain in the upper 1" range to nearly 2" from Lake Okeechobee to the Treasure Coast, with values around 1.3" to 1.6" farther north. This means the best chance for rain will be across southern counties Saturday and Sunday (30-50 PoP). The bigger story will be the heat and humidity, which will combine to produce heat index values near Heat Advisory criteria (especially south). The risk for heat-related illness increases as a result, so residents and visitors are encouraged to stay well-hydrated, while taking frequent breaks in shade and air conditioning.
Record-breaking high temperatures may occur at a couple of sites through the weekend and perhaps even on Monday. Overnight lows will stay warm in the 70s.
Monday-Thursday...Monday stays hot with temperatures reaching the mid to upper 90s and heat index values spanning the 100s, though rain chances do increase as greater moisture advects north across the state. Ridging begins to break down, also, as a surface front approaches the Panhandle. 850mb-500mb SW winds increase Tuesday and Wednesday, supporting scattered to numerous showers and lightning storms through the day, perhaps lingering into the nighttime hours. Medium-range solutions are spread far and wide, with the GFS surging moisture north across the FL peninsula and supporting a wide swath of 2-4" of rainfall through Wednesday. In contrast, the ECMWF keeps rain totals below 1" here through Thursday morning. Any rain will be beneficial to the ongoing drought conditions, but just how much remains to be seen.
Daytime temperatures will largely depend on the presence (or absence) of rainfall and associated cloud cover. For now, the forecast leans toward the NBME and cooler side of guidance, with the ECMWF several degrees warmer. Expect highs in the upper 80s to low 90s through mid week.
MARINE
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Today-Tonight...Generally favorable boating conditions outside of isolated showers and lightning storms. Winds back to the ESE as the east coast breeze increases to around 10-15 kt. Seas generally 2 ft. Locally higher winds and seas are possible in the vicinity of storms.
Saturday-Tuesday...Lower rain chances this weekend and light surface winds are expected, prior to sea breeze development. In the afternoon SSE winds 10-15 kt behind the breeze. Winds increase up to 17 kt Sun. and Mon. night but remain around 15 kt or less during the day. Seas 2-3 ft. Rain and lightning storms increase in coverage next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Today-This Weekend...Sensitive fire weather conditions persist due to drought conditions and the potential for new fire starts due to lightning strikes. Minimum relative humidity values fall to the mid 30s to low 40s on Sunday, before moisture increases across the state next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 94 74 95 75 / 40 30 20 10 MCO 95 76 97 77 / 50 20 30 20 MLB 93 74 93 75 / 50 40 20 20 VRB 93 74 94 75 / 50 40 30 30 LEE 96 76 97 76 / 40 10 20 10 SFB 95 75 97 76 / 50 30 20 10 ORL 96 76 97 78 / 50 20 30 10 FPR 94 73 94 74 / 50 40 30 30
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 652 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 646 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
VCTS starting 20Z-21Z and running through 02Z-03Z for ISO-SCT TSRA/SHRA INVOF all ECFL terminals. Enough consistency the last few model runs to justify TEMPOs for TSRA impacts 21Z-23Z at the Orlando area terminals and 22Z-24Z at KDAB-KTIX. CIGs expected to remain VFR, with heavy rain and gusty winds the primary impacts.
Light SW-W winds once again favor the WCSB, forecast to reach KLEE ~18Z, and KMCO/KISM ~20Z if TSRA doesn't develop first, increasing winds to ~10 kts. ECSB reaches the coastal terminals ~16Z to the south and ~20Z to the north, shifting winds to E-SE 10-15 kts. Winds become light/VRB after 02Z Friday night, and remain light into much of Saturday.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Key Messages:
-Isolated to scattered lightning storms this afternoon, capable of gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall
-Increasing temperatures this weekend with heat index values 100-107+ and a risk for heat exhaustion or heat stroke
-Coverage of lightning storms increases next week, timing and rainfall amounts remain less certain
Today-Tonight...With temperatures in the mid 70s and dew points not too far behind, it feels quite muggy stepping out the door.
Skies are mostly clear, winds are light, and GOES-derived PW range from 1.5" across most locations to 1.7" along the Martin/Palm Beach County line. Hot, humid conditions are forecast to continue today with highs approaching the mid 90s and heat indices topping out around 100-107F. Make sure to practice heat safety, staying hydrated and taking frequent breaks in shaded or air-conditioned spaces.
Relief from the heat in the form of scattered showers and lightning storms is possible again this afternoon through early evening. Unlike yesterday, model guidance suggests a bit of warming in the mid levels, suggesting less support for a hail and damaging wind threat. However, the risk for a strong to severe storm cannot be completely ruled out, especially where water-loaded downdrafts could quickly produce strong to locally damaging wind gusts. Locations along the sea breeze collision will see the highest rain chance, generally near and just west of I-95. The main timeframe for storms is after 3 or 4 PM, ending an hour or two after sunset. Storms will drift toward the east coast before dissipating or moving offshore.
This Weekend...Lower coverage of showers and storms is anticipated, as a surface boundary dissipates across north Florida, mid level ridging builds over the state, and relatively drier air pushes south. PW should remain in the upper 1" range to nearly 2" from Lake Okeechobee to the Treasure Coast, with values around 1.3" to 1.6" farther north. This means the best chance for rain will be across southern counties Saturday and Sunday (30-50 PoP). The bigger story will be the heat and humidity, which will combine to produce heat index values near Heat Advisory criteria (especially south). The risk for heat-related illness increases as a result, so residents and visitors are encouraged to stay well-hydrated, while taking frequent breaks in shade and air conditioning.
Record-breaking high temperatures may occur at a couple of sites through the weekend and perhaps even on Monday. Overnight lows will stay warm in the 70s.
Monday-Thursday...Monday stays hot with temperatures reaching the mid to upper 90s and heat index values spanning the 100s, though rain chances do increase as greater moisture advects north across the state. Ridging begins to break down, also, as a surface front approaches the Panhandle. 850mb-500mb SW winds increase Tuesday and Wednesday, supporting scattered to numerous showers and lightning storms through the day, perhaps lingering into the nighttime hours. Medium-range solutions are spread far and wide, with the GFS surging moisture north across the FL peninsula and supporting a wide swath of 2-4" of rainfall through Wednesday. In contrast, the ECMWF keeps rain totals below 1" here through Thursday morning. Any rain will be beneficial to the ongoing drought conditions, but just how much remains to be seen.
Daytime temperatures will largely depend on the presence (or absence) of rainfall and associated cloud cover. For now, the forecast leans toward the NBME and cooler side of guidance, with the ECMWF several degrees warmer. Expect highs in the upper 80s to low 90s through mid week.
MARINE
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Today-Tonight...Generally favorable boating conditions outside of isolated showers and lightning storms. Winds back to the ESE as the east coast breeze increases to around 10-15 kt. Seas generally 2 ft. Locally higher winds and seas are possible in the vicinity of storms.
Saturday-Tuesday...Lower rain chances this weekend and light surface winds are expected, prior to sea breeze development. In the afternoon SSE winds 10-15 kt behind the breeze. Winds increase up to 17 kt Sun. and Mon. night but remain around 15 kt or less during the day. Seas 2-3 ft. Rain and lightning storms increase in coverage next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 430 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024
Today-This Weekend...Sensitive fire weather conditions persist due to drought conditions and the potential for new fire starts due to lightning strikes. Minimum relative humidity values fall to the mid 30s to low 40s on Sunday, before moisture increases across the state next week.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 94 74 95 75 / 40 30 20 10 MCO 95 76 97 77 / 50 20 30 20 MLB 93 74 93 75 / 50 40 20 20 VRB 93 74 94 75 / 50 40 30 30 LEE 96 76 97 76 / 40 10 20 10 SFB 95 75 97 76 / 50 30 20 10 ORL 96 76 97 78 / 50 20 30 10 FPR 94 73 94 74 / 50 40 30 30
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41070 | 27 mi | 61 min | 80°F | 2 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 36 mi | 48 min | W 6G | 78°F | 89°F | 29.87 | ||
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 39 mi | 40 min | 83°F | 2 ft | ||||
| 41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 45 mi | 36 min | W 7.8G | 81°F | 81°F | 29.88 | 75°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KEVB NEW SMYRNA BEACH MUNI,FL | 12 sm | 49 min | SW 05 | 10 sm | Clear | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 29.88 | |
| KSFB ORLANDO SANFORD INTL,FL | 21 sm | 43 min | SE 03 | 10 sm | Clear | 73°F | 72°F | 94% | 29.88 | |
| KDAB DAYTONA BEACH INTL,FL | 22 sm | 43 min | SSW 04 | 8 sm | Partly Cloudy | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 29.88 | |
| KTTS NASA SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY,FL | 22 sm | 41 min | WSW 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 75°F | 70°F | 83% | 29.85 |
Link to 5 minute data for KEVB
Link to Terminal Area Forecast for KEVB
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to Terminal Area Forecast for KEVB
Wind History graph: EVB
(wind in knots)Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ponce De Leon Inlet South, Florida (sub), Tide feet
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Ponce Inlet, Halifax River, Florida, Tide feet
Melbourne, FL,
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