Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Waterford, CT
June 14, 2024 2:47 PM EDT (18:47 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:12 AM Sunset 8:24 PM Moonrise 1:11 PM Moonset 1:09 AM |
ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 600 Am Edt Tue Mar 30 2021
Today - E winds around 5 kt, becoming S late this morning and afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then chance of rain in the afternoon.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers.
Thu night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ300 1033 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front will move through the area this evening with high pressure building in from the northwest behind it. High pressure becomes centered over the area Sunday morning and moves offshore by Sunday evening. The high remains in control through late next week.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
HIDE HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KOKX 141808 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 208 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will move through the area this evening with high pressure building in from the northwest behind it. High pressure becomes centered over the area Sunday morning and moves offshore by Sunday evening. The high remains in control through late next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
Forecast has been updated mostly for cloud cover and PoPs for the next few hours.
A cold front approaches from the west. The front is currently over western NY/PA as the associated surface low tracks through southeast Canada. Aloft, multiple shortwave troughs are rotating around the broader trough over the northeast US.
We are still on track to potentially see strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The latest SPC outlook has expanded the slight risk of severe thunderstorms eastward to include almost the entire forecast area.
SBCAPEs are mostly 1000-1500 J/kg early this afternoon from NYC to points N/W. Cloud cover may prevent these CAPEs from increasing much more, especially with showers in the area, and more clouds being produced by convection to our west. We can still potentially get severe wx from thunderstorms as 0-6km bulk shear increases toward 30-40kt toward the end of the day combined with the instability in place. Any severe wx would probably more in the form of wind gusts. Large hail possible as well with CAPEs possibly approaching 500 J/kg in some areas within the -10 to -30C region, but mitigated somewhat by neutral to backing wind profile aloft.
Given the moist environment and skinny CAPE profile, heavy rain is also possible in any showers or thunderstorms. See hydrology section below.
The area will likely be dry by the early morning hours on Saturday.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
After an active Friday, the weekend is expected to feature plenty of sunshine and quiet weather. High pressure slowly builds in behind the departing cold front as heights rise aloft with an upper level ridge building over the eastern US. The airmass that will build in will be cooler and drier. Dewpoints will be in the 40s and 50s both days, withs highs in the 70s to low 80s. This will give the air a comfortable feel. We could actually drop to the upper 40s at the usual cool spots Saturday night as radiational cooling conditions look ideal.
The center of the high moves offshore by Sunday evening and a return flow sets up.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Key Points**
* Increasing confidence in a prolonged heat wave mid to late next week. Heat indices may approach or exceed 100F at times, especially Wednesday through Friday.
* Heat indices greater than 90 are expected as early as Tuesday, gradually expanding and increasing through the end of the week.
Surface high pressure gradually shifts overhead and offshore on late Sunday as a large mid and upper level ridge continues to build over the Eastern CONUS. The surface high pressure positions itself over the Western Atlantic, allowing for a persistent southwest to south flow over the area, advecting both lower level moisture and warm air into the area.
The building ridge amplifies further into the middle to end of the week, allowing for the development of a close to 600dm ridge over the Northeast US and SE Canada. A ridge of this strength for mid- late June over the area would be highly anomalous, though there still remains uncertainty as to how strong it becomes.
Temperatures at 850mb from Tuesday through at least Friday will be 18-21C allowing for surface temperatures to reach into the 90s and possibly approaching 100 degrees toward the end of the week for western portions of the area away from the immediate coastline. Heat indices may be slightly higher given a SW/S flow advecting higher moisture into the area. While details as to the extent of the heat will come into focus as we approach early next week, this will very likely be the first heat wave of the season with heat headlines eventually being needed for at least a portion of the area.
Given the potential duration of the heat, it'll be important to take precautions to protect one's health, particularly those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration. Some heat-sensitive industries and infrastructure will likely be impacted by the extent of this heat as well.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A pre frontal trough was moving into the lower Hudson Valley and into northeastern New Jersey at 17Z with showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible. A cold front will follow late this afternoon through late tonight.
VFR expected outside of any showers and thunderstorms when MVFR conditions are expected, with brief IFR possible in stronger thunderstorms. Timing of the thunderstorms continues to trend slightly later, with thunderstorms in the NYC metro area 21Z to 01Z, and to the east 23Z to 03Z. Stronger storms, with gusty winds and small hail possible, will be more likely across the lower Hudson Valley into northeastern New Jersey, and the NYC terminals. A few showers will remain possible in the vicinity of, and post frontal into late tonight.
S to SW winds ahead of the cold front may briefly become light and variable in the vicinity of the pre frontal trough. Post cold front winds shift to NW to N and become gusty. Overnight gusts may be more occasional.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Showers were moving across the terminals, with an isolated thunderstorm possible, through 20Z.
More organized thunderstorms will become likely late afternoon into this evening 22Z to 01Z. Timing has trended slightly later, and that trend may continue. A stronger storm remains possible with gusts up to 40kt and small hail possible.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday afternoon through Wednesday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A southerly flow will occasionally gust up to 25 kt this afternoon, otherwise winds and waves are expected to remain below SCA conditions through early next week.
There is potential for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, with the possibility of some being strong to severe.
HYDROLOGY
The entire area is now in a marginal risk of excessive rainfall.
Expecting mostly minor urban poor drainage flooding, but localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out. Although rain will be heavy at times, the progressive nature of the thunderstorms is expected to keep flooding more minor. Probabilities of seeing 1 inch in 1 hour remain low. Average storm total rainfall amounts will be between half an inch and 1 inch, with locally higher amounts possible.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There is a high risk for rip current development along Atlantic facing beaches today with southerly flow 15 to 20 kt along the shoreline and surf up to 4 ft expected.
Conditions begin to improve by Saturday, with a moderate risk forecast as winds shift offshore.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...High Risk for Rip Currents until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 208 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front will move through the area this evening with high pressure building in from the northwest behind it. High pressure becomes centered over the area Sunday morning and moves offshore by Sunday evening. The high remains in control through late next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
Forecast has been updated mostly for cloud cover and PoPs for the next few hours.
A cold front approaches from the west. The front is currently over western NY/PA as the associated surface low tracks through southeast Canada. Aloft, multiple shortwave troughs are rotating around the broader trough over the northeast US.
We are still on track to potentially see strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The latest SPC outlook has expanded the slight risk of severe thunderstorms eastward to include almost the entire forecast area.
SBCAPEs are mostly 1000-1500 J/kg early this afternoon from NYC to points N/W. Cloud cover may prevent these CAPEs from increasing much more, especially with showers in the area, and more clouds being produced by convection to our west. We can still potentially get severe wx from thunderstorms as 0-6km bulk shear increases toward 30-40kt toward the end of the day combined with the instability in place. Any severe wx would probably more in the form of wind gusts. Large hail possible as well with CAPEs possibly approaching 500 J/kg in some areas within the -10 to -30C region, but mitigated somewhat by neutral to backing wind profile aloft.
Given the moist environment and skinny CAPE profile, heavy rain is also possible in any showers or thunderstorms. See hydrology section below.
The area will likely be dry by the early morning hours on Saturday.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
After an active Friday, the weekend is expected to feature plenty of sunshine and quiet weather. High pressure slowly builds in behind the departing cold front as heights rise aloft with an upper level ridge building over the eastern US. The airmass that will build in will be cooler and drier. Dewpoints will be in the 40s and 50s both days, withs highs in the 70s to low 80s. This will give the air a comfortable feel. We could actually drop to the upper 40s at the usual cool spots Saturday night as radiational cooling conditions look ideal.
The center of the high moves offshore by Sunday evening and a return flow sets up.
LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
**Key Points**
* Increasing confidence in a prolonged heat wave mid to late next week. Heat indices may approach or exceed 100F at times, especially Wednesday through Friday.
* Heat indices greater than 90 are expected as early as Tuesday, gradually expanding and increasing through the end of the week.
Surface high pressure gradually shifts overhead and offshore on late Sunday as a large mid and upper level ridge continues to build over the Eastern CONUS. The surface high pressure positions itself over the Western Atlantic, allowing for a persistent southwest to south flow over the area, advecting both lower level moisture and warm air into the area.
The building ridge amplifies further into the middle to end of the week, allowing for the development of a close to 600dm ridge over the Northeast US and SE Canada. A ridge of this strength for mid- late June over the area would be highly anomalous, though there still remains uncertainty as to how strong it becomes.
Temperatures at 850mb from Tuesday through at least Friday will be 18-21C allowing for surface temperatures to reach into the 90s and possibly approaching 100 degrees toward the end of the week for western portions of the area away from the immediate coastline. Heat indices may be slightly higher given a SW/S flow advecting higher moisture into the area. While details as to the extent of the heat will come into focus as we approach early next week, this will very likely be the first heat wave of the season with heat headlines eventually being needed for at least a portion of the area.
Given the potential duration of the heat, it'll be important to take precautions to protect one's health, particularly those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration. Some heat-sensitive industries and infrastructure will likely be impacted by the extent of this heat as well.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
A pre frontal trough was moving into the lower Hudson Valley and into northeastern New Jersey at 17Z with showers and an isolated thunderstorm possible. A cold front will follow late this afternoon through late tonight.
VFR expected outside of any showers and thunderstorms when MVFR conditions are expected, with brief IFR possible in stronger thunderstorms. Timing of the thunderstorms continues to trend slightly later, with thunderstorms in the NYC metro area 21Z to 01Z, and to the east 23Z to 03Z. Stronger storms, with gusty winds and small hail possible, will be more likely across the lower Hudson Valley into northeastern New Jersey, and the NYC terminals. A few showers will remain possible in the vicinity of, and post frontal into late tonight.
S to SW winds ahead of the cold front may briefly become light and variable in the vicinity of the pre frontal trough. Post cold front winds shift to NW to N and become gusty. Overnight gusts may be more occasional.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Showers were moving across the terminals, with an isolated thunderstorm possible, through 20Z.
More organized thunderstorms will become likely late afternoon into this evening 22Z to 01Z. Timing has trended slightly later, and that trend may continue. A stronger storm remains possible with gusts up to 40kt and small hail possible.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
Saturday afternoon through Wednesday: VFR.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
A southerly flow will occasionally gust up to 25 kt this afternoon, otherwise winds and waves are expected to remain below SCA conditions through early next week.
There is potential for showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, with the possibility of some being strong to severe.
HYDROLOGY
The entire area is now in a marginal risk of excessive rainfall.
Expecting mostly minor urban poor drainage flooding, but localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out. Although rain will be heavy at times, the progressive nature of the thunderstorms is expected to keep flooding more minor. Probabilities of seeing 1 inch in 1 hour remain low. Average storm total rainfall amounts will be between half an inch and 1 inch, with locally higher amounts possible.
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
There is a high risk for rip current development along Atlantic facing beaches today with southerly flow 15 to 20 kt along the shoreline and surf up to 4 ft expected.
Conditions begin to improve by Saturday, with a moderate risk forecast as winds shift offshore.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...High Risk for Rip Currents until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075- 080-081-178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NLHC3 | 1 mi | 47 min | 75°F | 69°F | 29.86 | |||
| MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY | 23 mi | 47 min | 70°F | 66°F | 29.84 | |||
| PDVR1 | 40 mi | 47 min | SSW 6G | 80°F | 29.85 | 67°F | ||
| QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI | 40 mi | 47 min | SW 11G | 74°F | 29.86 | |||
| NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI | 42 mi | 47 min | SSW 14G | 68°F | 65°F | 29.88 | ||
| NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 43 mi | 47 min | SSW 6G | 74°F | 67°F | 29.87 | ||
| NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI | 45 mi | 62 min | W 6 | 77°F | 29.89 | 67°F | ||
| PRUR1 | 45 mi | 47 min | 69°F | 66°F | ||||
| PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI | 45 mi | 47 min | SW 2.9G | 75°F | 29.88 | |||
| CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI | 47 mi | 47 min | SE 15G | 71°F | 71°F | 29.86 | ||
| FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI | 48 mi | 47 min | SW 8G | 83°F | 64°F | 29.85 | ||
| PVDR1 | 48 mi | 47 min | SW 7G | 80°F | 29.86 | 67°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KGON
NEW Forecast page for KGON
toggle option: (graph/table)
NEW Forecast page for KGON
Wind History graph: GON
(wind in knots)New London
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:09 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 04:07 AM EDT 2.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:40 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:52 PM EDT 2.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:20 PM EDT 0.79 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:09 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 04:07 AM EDT 2.33 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 10:40 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 04:52 PM EDT 2.62 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:23 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 11:20 PM EDT 0.79 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New London, Connecticut, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.2 |
| 1 am |
| 1.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.9 |
| 3 am |
| 2.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2.3 |
| 5 am |
| 2.3 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 1.7 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
The Race
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:10 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:09 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 02:50 AM EDT 1.76 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:07 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:09 AM EDT -2.20 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:25 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 03:16 PM EDT 2.02 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:43 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:44 PM EDT -2.27 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:10 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:09 AM EDT Moonset
Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT First Quarter
Fri -- 02:50 AM EDT 1.76 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:14 AM EDT Sunrise
Fri -- 06:07 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:09 AM EDT -2.20 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 12:25 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 01:10 PM EDT Moonrise
Fri -- 03:16 PM EDT 2.02 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 06:43 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:22 PM EDT Sunset
Fri -- 09:44 PM EDT -2.27 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 1.6 |
| 3 am |
| 1.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.5 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| -0.9 |
| 8 am |
| -1.8 |
| 9 am |
| -2.2 |
| 10 am |
| -2 |
| 11 am |
| -1.3 |
| 12 pm |
| -0.4 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -1.4 |
| 9 pm |
| -2.1 |
| 10 pm |
| -2.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.8 |
Boston, MA,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE