Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 7:51 PM Moonrise 12:20 PM   Moonset 12:39 AM

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GMZ634 Expires:202406140815;;959544 Fzus54 Kmob 131947 Cwfmob
coastal waters forecast national weather service mobile al 247 pm cdt Thu jun 13 2024
gulf coastal waters okaloosa walton county line to pascagoula out 60 nm
seas are given as significant wave height - .which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the significant wave height.
gmz633-634-140815- perdido bay-pensacola bay system- 247 pm cdt Thu jun 13 2024
Tonight - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Smooth.Friday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Friday night - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. Saturday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. Light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Monday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Monday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less. A moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ600 247 Pm Cdt Thu Jun 13 2024
Synopsis - A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Friday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Saturday and strengthens on Sunday.

FXUS64 KMOB 132045 AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

NEAR TERM
(Now through Friday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Upper ridging continues to build into the forecast area through Friday. Likewise, the heat will continue to increase into Friday with temperatures warming amply into the upper 90's to near 100 in spots. Heat index values should remain in the 100 to 105 range, however a couple spots nearer the coast could get near 107 Friday afternoon. Overnight lows cool into the upper 60's inland and lower to middle 70's nearer the coast. Overall weather conditions should remain calm through Friday, with only an isolated storm or two possible east of the I-65 corridor this afternoon. Dry weather will prevail for the day Friday in all locations. A low risk of rip currents continues into Friday. MM/25

SHORT AND LONG TERM
(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

It's going to be a hot weekend as upper high pressure over the southern/central Great Plains shifts eastward over our region and a large surface high pressure area across eastern North America shifts eastward with a ridge setting up along the eastern Seaboard to the Gulf of Mexico. It will be especially hot on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 90s with some locations potentially reaching the century mark. These temps are about 5 to 10 degrees and above normal, and when combined with surface dewpoints in the upper 60 to lower 70s, the highest heat index values should range from 100-105 degrees. Dry conditions are expected Saturday most areas, with only a few afternoon showers and storms possible over a small portion of the western Florida Panhandle and south central Alabama. A Low risk of rip currents is expected through the remainder of the week.

An inverted upper trough sets up over the western Gulf early next week with a 40 percent chance of cyclone formation across the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Tropical depression formation is possible during the early to middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward. Upper disturbances moving over our region should bring an increase in cloud coverage and rain chances on Sunday, with isolated mainly afternoon showers and storms northern zones with scattered coverage closer to the coast. High temperatures Sunday will be slightly cooler in the low to middle 90s, but when combined with surface dewpoints in the lower to middle 70s, the highest heat index values should again range from 100-105 degrees.

With the influence of the inverted upper trough over the western Gulf, the center of the upper high pressure area over our region is deflected northeastward away from the forecast area and a surface ridge oriented mainly over the southeastern states promotes a moist southeasterly flow over the forecast area. In general, increasing amounts of deep layer moisture gradually work into the forecast area through Tuesday. Maintained the higher rain chances (30-60%) for Monday, with the best chances occurring along a developing sea breeze. Tuesday through Thursday we are primarily expecting a return to isolated afternoon showers and storms northern zones with scattered coverage closer to the coast.
A Moderate risk of rip currents returns early next week. /22

MARINE
Issued at 345 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal flow prevails through Friday, with an offshore flow at night into the morning hours and a mostly onshore flow in the afternoon and early evening hours. A light to moderate southeasterly flow is established by Saturday and strengthens on Sunday as low pressure develops in the southwestern Gulf. Seas are also expected to increase as we head into early next week. BB/03

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Mobile 72 96 74 97 75 93 75 89 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 30 60 Pensacola 75 95 77 95 78 92 77 89 / 0 10 0 10 10 40 30 60 Destin 77 93 79 93 80 91 78 90 / 10 10 0 20 10 40 30 50 Evergreen 71 98 71 98 72 96 72 93 / 0 10 0 10 0 30 20 50 Waynesboro 68 97 70 99 73 97 72 90 / 0 0 0 10 0 20 10 50 Camden 69 97 71 98 73 98 72 92 / 0 0 0 10 0 20 10 40 Crestview 71 99 71 99 72 95 72 94 / 0 10 0 20 0 40 20 50

MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.

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Thu -- 12:39 AM CDT     Moonset
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Thu -- 04:24 PM CDT     1.17 feet High Tide
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