Sunrise 5:52 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM Moonrise 4:21 PM   Moonset 1:58 AM

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AMZ154 S Of Cape Hatteras To Ocracoke Inlet Nc Out 20 Nm Including The Monitor National Marine Sanctuary- 1242 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024
Rest of tonight - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds. Tue - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 12 seconds. Tue night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 6 seconds and se 1 ft at 11 seconds. Wed - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 5 ft at 8 seconds. Wed night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: E 5 ft at 8 seconds. Thu - E winds around 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: E 6 ft at 9 seconds. Thu night - E winds around 10 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Fri - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Fri night - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Sat - S winds around 10 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.

AMZ100 1242 Am Edt Tue Jun 18 2024
Synopsis for eastern north carolina coastal waters - High pressure dominates through midweek week resulting in largely benign boating conditions.

FXUS62 KMHX 180501 AAB AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 101 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure dominates through Thursday resulting in dry and warm conditions. Coastal troughing may bring some showers to the region late in the week into the weekend.

NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/
As of 950 PM Mon...Mid-level ridge remains centered overhead, while at the surface high pressure centered off the coast of New England extends into the southeastern CONUS. Sea breeze circulations are dominant along the coast but strong subsidence from the aforementioned ridge is shutting the door on any convective development. Little change in the overall pattern for tonight, with no significant changes needed to previous forecast for update. Skies will clear overnight and light to calm winds inland will lead to a favorable radiational cooling setup. Min Tds this afternoon reached well into the low 60s and nudged forecast lows close to this benchmark. Retained upper 60s to low 70s along the coast where winds will likely remain elevated and keep low- levels mixed. Overall column looks to be too dry to support a mentionable fog threat, although very patchy ditch fog cannot be ruled out.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/
As of 310 PM Mon...Pattern of warm but dry conditions carries into tomorrow as core of the upper high shifts northward. This will keep the most intense heat displaced from our area, but warm conditions will once again prevail. Highs range tomorrow from the low 90s inland to mid 80s along the coast.
Predominantly easterly winds in the morning will give way to dominant sea and sound breeze circulations in the afternoon.
Still relatively dry for mid to late June as Tds drop into the upper 50s, resulting in RHs in the 35-40% range across the inner coastal plain. This will pose a continued fire weather risk...see the FIRE WEATHER section for more.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 3 AM Mon...Pleasant but dry weather through mid week, then heat and humidity build at the end of the week through the weekend. Small chances for showers and perhaps a few storms Friday into the weekend.

Tuesday through Thursday...Strong ridging will build over the eastern US through mid- week, which will bring cont rain- free weather. The core of the ridging will remain north of ENC initially, and thus keeping the intense heat to the north across the Mid Atlantic, Great Lakes, and Northeast. For ENC, easterly flow is expected, which will keep conditions tempered, and in fact quite pleasant. Highs expected in the mid-upr 80s interior, to low 80s OBX. In addition, TD's will be very tolerable, and remain in the 60s. This will bring cool nights to the region, with lows in the 60s away from the immediate coast, to low 70s beaches and OBX zones.

Friday through the Weekend...There are still notable differences in the long range models, but the consensus is that weak low pres will develop east of the Bahamas and move west towards the Southeast Coast (FL/GA). Center of upr ridge will slide eastward a bit with a weakness allowing for some weak mid level troughing, and allowing for more of a serly to srly flow to develop and bring inc heat and humidity starting late this work week into the weekend. PoPs remain low, though by Fri into the weekend, some chance of a return to typical afternoon/early evening sea breeze convection. Pops remain at only 20-30%, as no strong forcing feature is noted on med range ensembles. Temps will be on the rise, into the 90s Fri into the weekend. TD's will rise steadily as well, and a potential for heat indices into the upr 90s to low 100s.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
SHORT TERM /through Tue/...
As of 1 AM Tuesday...Pred VFR through the period thanks to high pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast. Skies should be mostly clear tonight outside of a few high clouds. Winds are out of the southeast but will back to the east overnight and remain nearly calm (less than 5 kt). A lack of moisture will deflect widespread fog development overnight but offshore strato-cu is drifting westward and could bring some MVFR cigs along the OBX.
Tomorrow, skies will remain mostly clear outside of some diurnal cu and winds will be light out of the east. Similarly to tonight, some MVFR cigs could spread inland tomorrow night.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 3 AM Mon...VFR conditions expected through the period with high pressure remaining dominant through the period.

MARINE
SHORT TERM /through Tuesday/...
As of 950 PM Mon...Benign boating conditions expected to continue through tomorrow as high pressure remains in control over the waters. Latest obs show E-SE winds 5-15 kt with seas 2-4 ft. Little change overnight with winds a couple knots stronger tomorrow, which may encourage more widespread 4 foot seas across area waters. Still, marine headlines are not expected through the short term period.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
As of 3 AM Mon...Sub- SCA through the period with high pressure anchored to the north of ENC. Light to moderate erly flow of 10-15 kt, ocnl gusts to 20 kt expected. Seas will generally be 2-4 ft through mid week. Low pres will develop east of the Bahamas this week and approach the SE Coast (FL/GA) by mid week.
Some higher swell may approach and seas possibly exceeding 6 ft Wed night into Thu for the ctrl/srn waters.

FIRE WEATHER
As of 310 PM Mon...A dry airmass will be in place through mid week, with minimum RH in the 30s and 40s percent, especially away from the coast. This will overlap with breezy E winds at times, and is noteworthy for any ongoing, or planned, fires.

MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

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Hatteras (ocean)
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Mon -- 02:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:06 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:36 PM EDT     3.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hatteras (ocean), North Carolina, Tide feet

Cape Hatteras
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Mon -- 02:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 04:14 AM EDT     3.02 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:44 PM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, Tide feet

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