Sunrise 6:29 AM   Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 1:50 AM   Moonset 2:18 PM

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AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 1000 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of tonight - E ne winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Bay waters choppy. Sat - E ne winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - E ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Mon and Mon night - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of tstms. A chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms after midnight. Tue and Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Wed night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Fri May 31 2024
Synopsis -
building high pressure north of the area will result in east- northeast winds gradually strengthening to a fresh breeze through tonight, and lasting through this weekend. Hazardous conditions may impact the gulf stream waters, owing to elevated winds and building seas. Quick moving showers and isolated Thunderstorms may also develop and result in locally enhanced winds and seas.
Gulf stream hazards - SEas up to 4-7 feet this weekend.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 30, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles southeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 13 nautical miles southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 010608 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 208 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 202 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

A shallow backdoor cold front will move through the Atlantic waters to the north, reinforcing breezy easterly flow over South Florida. This will result in cooler temperatures, especially the eastern metro region. Highs today will range from around the upper 80s to low 90s along the east coast, and low to mid 90s elsewhere. There could be a few showers along the east coast metro area forming along low-level convergence zones, but most convective activity will be over the interior and southwest areas.
A few strong thunderstorms are possible over these interior locations, owing to enhanced instability and pockets of low-level convergence along the sea breeze.

By Sunday, the milder northeasterly flow associated with the backdoor cold front will have dissipated over the Atlantic waters as gradient flow weakens and shifts easterly. This change will bring scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms along the east coast in the morning, driven by low-level theta-e pulses. The easterly flow regime will support greatest convective development along the interior and southwest Florida by the afternoon hours.
Some locations may experience measurable rainfall, but impacts should be limited to gusty winds and brief lightning strikes.
Temperatures will continue to be a few degrees cooler along the east coast, with highs in the mid to upper 80s along the east coast and low to mid 90s over the interior and Gulf Coast. Heat index values will not exceed high temperatures by much, as dewpoints remain at or below 70 degreesF.

LONG TERM
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 202 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Early Next Week: As the gradient flow weakens within the boundary layer and the front becomes less pronounced and diffuses over the Atlantic waters to the north, a persistent fetch of east to southeasterly winds will prevail through early next week. Subtle pulses of low-level convergence, combined with theta-e maxima, could spawn bursts of convection along the east coast in the morning. However, most convection should be relegated to the interior and southwest portions of the region. High temperatures each day will mainly be in the lower to mid 90s across most areas, except for the mid to upper 80s in the east coast metro areas.
The far western east coast metro areas could see highs around 90 degrees. Heat indices will be in the mid to upper 90s for most areas, except for lower to mid 90s in the east coast metro areas and around 100 in metro Collier County. Low temperatures will be in the lower to mid 70s across most areas each night, with the east coast metro areas experiencing lows in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees.

Middle to End of Next Week: Late next week, the ridge over the Western Atlantic waters will break down, allowing a trough of low pressure to build into the Eastern United States from the west.
This will cause the steering flow to shift to a more south to southwest direction over South Florida. Concurrently, deeper moisture from the Caribbean Sea may start to move into South Florida, potentially increasing the probability of precipitation (POPs) late next week, with the highest coverage expected over the east coast metro areas where sea breezes collide. High temperatures will rise in the middle to end of next week, reaching the mid to upper 90s across most areas, except around 90 degrees in the west coast metro areas. Heat indices will also increase, likely reaching the lower to mid 100s across most areas, except around 100 degrees in the west coast metro areas. Low temperatures will remain in the 70s across most areas, with the east coast metro areas around 80 degrees.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

E/NE winds 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts late this morning through the early evening. VCTS entered at all locations after 18Z. Mainly clear skies early this morning with SCT MVFR ceilings possible throughout the day.

MARINE
Issued at 202 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

East-northeast winds of 15 to 25 knots will develop this evening and overnight, creating hazardous boating conditions over the Atlantic waters, which will persist through most of the weekend.
Seas will build up to 6-7 feet over the Atlantic waters and 2-3 feet over the Gulf waters. Consequently, a Small Craft Advisory has been issued for the Atlantic waters from this evening through Sunday morning. Additionally, there is potential for daily showers and thunderstorms, which could result in locally elevated winds and seas.

BEACHES
Issued at 202 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Persistent east to northeasterly flow in the presence of a front to the north will result in a high risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches. This will persist through the weekend and likely into early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Breezy E/NE winds will continue today, with gusts of 20-30 mph possible from late morning through the early evening. Despite RH values not falling to critical thresholds, fire weather concerns will still be present over interior portions of SW FL today.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 88 77 87 77 / 30 40 50 50 West Kendall 89 75 88 74 / 30 40 50 50 Opa-Locka 88 76 88 75 / 30 40 40 50 Homestead 89 77 88 76 / 30 40 50 50 Fort Lauderdale 86 77 86 77 / 30 40 40 50 N Ft Lauderdale 86 76 86 76 / 30 40 40 50 Pembroke Pines 90 77 89 77 / 30 40 40 50 West Palm Beach 87 75 86 74 / 20 40 40 50 Boca Raton 88 76 86 75 / 30 40 40 50 Naples 94 74 93 75 / 30 30 50 50

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.

GM...None.

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Adams Key
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:34 AM EDT     1.54 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:42 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:18 PM EDT     1.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Adams Key, south end, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:55 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:39 AM EDT     0.99 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:42 AM EDT     -1.95 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT     1.38 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:17 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots

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