Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Homestead Base, FL
June 1, 2024 10:33 PM EDT (02:33 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:29 AM Sunset 8:09 PM Moonrise 1:50 AM Moonset 2:19 PM |
AMZ630 Biscayne Bay- 1000 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of tonight - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Bay waters choppy. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Bay waters a moderate chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tue - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of tstms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Tue night and Wed - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.
Thu - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Bay waters a light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night - S se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S sw in the morning. Bay waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms, mainly in the evening.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Edt Sat Jun 1 2024
Synopsis -
building high pressure north of the area will result in east- northeast winds, with fresh breezes persisting through much of the weekend. Hazardous conditions may impact the gulf stream waters due to elevated winds and building seas. Quick-moving showers and isolated Thunderstorms may also develop, resulting in locally enhanced winds and seas.
gulf stream hazards seas up to 4-7 feet through early Sunday morning.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 01, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
building high pressure north of the area will result in east- northeast winds, with fresh breezes persisting through much of the weekend. Hazardous conditions may impact the gulf stream waters due to elevated winds and building seas. Quick-moving showers and isolated Thunderstorms may also develop, resulting in locally enhanced winds and seas.
gulf stream hazards seas up to 4-7 feet through early Sunday morning.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of jun 01, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 8 nautical miles northeast of port everglades. 10 nautical miles northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 020033 AAC AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 833 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 816 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The latest short range models is showing that a low level ridge of high pressure will remain over the Western Atlantic waters tonight into Sunday, as a mid to upper level through moves through South Florida. At the same time, the short range models are showing a possible coastal trough setting up over east coastal areas late tonight, due to the winds over the interior and west coast metro areas will become light and variable with winds of the Atlantic waters will remain around 20 knots from the east. There is also an increase of moisture to the region tonight, due to a mid level disturbance moves northeast from the Caribbean Sea into the Bahamas.
This weather pattern will lead to development of showers and thunderstorms over the Atlantic waters tonight which could work into the east coast metro areas especially over Broward and Miami- Dade counties. Therefore, POPs have been raised tonight into the scattered range. Rest of the South Florida should remain dry tonight.
POPs have also been increased into the likely cat across South Florida on Sunday due to the mid to upper level trough moving through the region. The focus will be over the eastern areas in the morning hours before shifting into the interior and west coast metro areas in the afternoon hours, due to the easterly steering flow pushing the activity westward through the day hours.
There could also be some heavy rainfall from any showers or thunderstorms that do develop tonight into Sunday due to the increase moisture and PWATs getting up to 1.7 to 2 inches by Sunday afternoon. There could be some heavy rainfall with any storms that do develop tonight into Sunday.
The High risk of rip currents continues for the east coast beaches of South Florida through Sunday evening along with the SCA conditions for the Atlantic waters.
Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes are planned with this update.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The main feature of influence in the near-term for our area will be seasonably strong sfc. high pressure currently positioned just off the coast of North Carolina. This high is supporting breezy easterly flow over the area this afternoon which will focus any afternoon thunderstorms over the gulf coast and/or the Gulf waters. It remains to be seen if a gulf breeze will even occur today given the strong synoptic gradient, however if it does materialize it would likely be the primary focus for any afternoon activity. Although low-lvl lapse rates remain steep and DCAPE values will be in excess of 1000 J/kg, weak flow aloft combined with dry mid-lvl air should generally limit convective intensity and coverage, with gusty winds being the main threat with any storms which do form. Easterly flow will persist overnight resulting in warmer overnight lows (mid to upper 70s) for the east coast compared to the interior and west coast (generally lower 70s). Additionally scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible along the east coast, but particularly over the Atlantic waters (where nocturnal instability will be maximized).
The western Atlantic high will shift eastward on Sunday, but still maintain easterly synoptic flow over our region, while at the mid- lvls a shortwave will dip southeast into the area. The approaching shortwave, combined with a likely greater inland progression of the Gulf breeze should result in greater coverage of showers and storms relative to today. Given the easterly regime, morning/early afternoon activity would likely be more focused near the east coast, while the stronger and more widespread activity in the mid-late afternoon period would be focused over SWFL and the Interior. High temperatures will be typical of an easterly regime ranging from the mid 80s near the immediate east coast to the low to mid 90s over Interior and SWFL.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 340 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A mid-level trough will move across the region to close out the weekend and kick off the work week with increasing moisture and the potential for showers and thunderstorms beyond the normal diurnally-driven pattern on Monday. By Tuesday, the trough axis exits into the Atlantic waters and the pattern begins to return to something more diurnally-driven with morning Atlantic showers transitioning into inland and Gulf coast showers and thunderstorms by afternoon and early evening.
The surface high will continue to linger around the region through midweek before the next frontal boundary emanating from low pressure over Canada enters the southeastern United States.
The parent low will move southeastward over the Great Lakes by late in the week. South Florida will be wedged between the stalled frontal boundary near Interstate 10 and deeper tropical moisture in the western Caribbean. The retrogression of the surface high back into the Atlantic will mean a transition to southerly to west-southwesterly flow across much of the area to close out the forecast period Saturday and Sunday.
The warm airmass combined with flow over the peninsula will mean a considerable warming trend through the week which could lead to heat illness risk climbing by late week. This will need to be monitored, along with the progress of the synoptic scale features both to the north and to the south, in case of changes which could create some major revisions to the forecast for these time periods. For now, hot and diurnally unsettled will continue to be the message for a good part of the week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 724 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Winds will remain easterly over all TAF sites tonight into Sunday.
Speeds will be around 10 to 15 knots tonight increasing to 15 to 20 knots Sunday east coast TAF sites. KAPF taf site winds will be less than 10 knots tonight increasing to 10 to 15 knots on Sunday.
VCSH tonight into Sunday morning, then VCTS Sunday Afternoon. VCSH KAPF taf site till 02Z then VCTS after 17Z Sunday. Could be a hunderstorm after 04Z for KMIA, KOPF, and KTMB but coverage is not enough at this time to put into these TAF sites. VFR for celing and vis but could fall down into IFR with showers and storms.
MARINE
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Fresh to strong E-NE winds will continue through tonight over the Atlantic waters before dropping below Small Craft Advisory criteria by Sunday morning. Seas will peak at 5-7 ft this afternoon over the Gulf stream, and then gradually decrease to under 5 ft by Sunday.
Showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the evening and overnight periods will remain possible the next few days.
BEACHES
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Breezy easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the east coast beaches through Sunday. The risk will begin to decrease early next week as easterly flow decreases.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 77 86 76 88 / 40 50 60 70 West Kendall 75 88 74 89 / 40 50 60 70 Opa-Locka 76 88 75 89 / 40 50 60 70 Homestead 77 87 76 88 / 50 50 70 70 Fort Lauderdale 76 85 77 86 / 40 50 60 70 N Ft Lauderdale 76 85 77 87 / 40 50 60 70 Pembroke Pines 77 89 77 91 / 40 50 60 70 West Palm Beach 75 86 74 88 / 40 50 50 60 Boca Raton 75 86 76 89 / 40 50 60 70 Naples 74 93 74 93 / 20 60 50 60
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 833 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
New UPDATE
UPDATE
Issued at 816 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The latest short range models is showing that a low level ridge of high pressure will remain over the Western Atlantic waters tonight into Sunday, as a mid to upper level through moves through South Florida. At the same time, the short range models are showing a possible coastal trough setting up over east coastal areas late tonight, due to the winds over the interior and west coast metro areas will become light and variable with winds of the Atlantic waters will remain around 20 knots from the east. There is also an increase of moisture to the region tonight, due to a mid level disturbance moves northeast from the Caribbean Sea into the Bahamas.
This weather pattern will lead to development of showers and thunderstorms over the Atlantic waters tonight which could work into the east coast metro areas especially over Broward and Miami- Dade counties. Therefore, POPs have been raised tonight into the scattered range. Rest of the South Florida should remain dry tonight.
POPs have also been increased into the likely cat across South Florida on Sunday due to the mid to upper level trough moving through the region. The focus will be over the eastern areas in the morning hours before shifting into the interior and west coast metro areas in the afternoon hours, due to the easterly steering flow pushing the activity westward through the day hours.
There could also be some heavy rainfall from any showers or thunderstorms that do develop tonight into Sunday due to the increase moisture and PWATs getting up to 1.7 to 2 inches by Sunday afternoon. There could be some heavy rainfall with any storms that do develop tonight into Sunday.
The High risk of rip currents continues for the east coast beaches of South Florida through Sunday evening along with the SCA conditions for the Atlantic waters.
Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes are planned with this update.
SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
The main feature of influence in the near-term for our area will be seasonably strong sfc. high pressure currently positioned just off the coast of North Carolina. This high is supporting breezy easterly flow over the area this afternoon which will focus any afternoon thunderstorms over the gulf coast and/or the Gulf waters. It remains to be seen if a gulf breeze will even occur today given the strong synoptic gradient, however if it does materialize it would likely be the primary focus for any afternoon activity. Although low-lvl lapse rates remain steep and DCAPE values will be in excess of 1000 J/kg, weak flow aloft combined with dry mid-lvl air should generally limit convective intensity and coverage, with gusty winds being the main threat with any storms which do form. Easterly flow will persist overnight resulting in warmer overnight lows (mid to upper 70s) for the east coast compared to the interior and west coast (generally lower 70s). Additionally scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible along the east coast, but particularly over the Atlantic waters (where nocturnal instability will be maximized).
The western Atlantic high will shift eastward on Sunday, but still maintain easterly synoptic flow over our region, while at the mid- lvls a shortwave will dip southeast into the area. The approaching shortwave, combined with a likely greater inland progression of the Gulf breeze should result in greater coverage of showers and storms relative to today. Given the easterly regime, morning/early afternoon activity would likely be more focused near the east coast, while the stronger and more widespread activity in the mid-late afternoon period would be focused over SWFL and the Interior. High temperatures will be typical of an easterly regime ranging from the mid 80s near the immediate east coast to the low to mid 90s over Interior and SWFL.
LONG TERM
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 340 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
A mid-level trough will move across the region to close out the weekend and kick off the work week with increasing moisture and the potential for showers and thunderstorms beyond the normal diurnally-driven pattern on Monday. By Tuesday, the trough axis exits into the Atlantic waters and the pattern begins to return to something more diurnally-driven with morning Atlantic showers transitioning into inland and Gulf coast showers and thunderstorms by afternoon and early evening.
The surface high will continue to linger around the region through midweek before the next frontal boundary emanating from low pressure over Canada enters the southeastern United States.
The parent low will move southeastward over the Great Lakes by late in the week. South Florida will be wedged between the stalled frontal boundary near Interstate 10 and deeper tropical moisture in the western Caribbean. The retrogression of the surface high back into the Atlantic will mean a transition to southerly to west-southwesterly flow across much of the area to close out the forecast period Saturday and Sunday.
The warm airmass combined with flow over the peninsula will mean a considerable warming trend through the week which could lead to heat illness risk climbing by late week. This will need to be monitored, along with the progress of the synoptic scale features both to the north and to the south, in case of changes which could create some major revisions to the forecast for these time periods. For now, hot and diurnally unsettled will continue to be the message for a good part of the week.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 724 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Winds will remain easterly over all TAF sites tonight into Sunday.
Speeds will be around 10 to 15 knots tonight increasing to 15 to 20 knots Sunday east coast TAF sites. KAPF taf site winds will be less than 10 knots tonight increasing to 10 to 15 knots on Sunday.
VCSH tonight into Sunday morning, then VCTS Sunday Afternoon. VCSH KAPF taf site till 02Z then VCTS after 17Z Sunday. Could be a hunderstorm after 04Z for KMIA, KOPF, and KTMB but coverage is not enough at this time to put into these TAF sites. VFR for celing and vis but could fall down into IFR with showers and storms.
MARINE
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Fresh to strong E-NE winds will continue through tonight over the Atlantic waters before dropping below Small Craft Advisory criteria by Sunday morning. Seas will peak at 5-7 ft this afternoon over the Gulf stream, and then gradually decrease to under 5 ft by Sunday.
Showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the evening and overnight periods will remain possible the next few days.
BEACHES
Issued at 1205 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
Breezy easterly flow will result in a high risk of rip currents for the east coast beaches through Sunday. The risk will begin to decrease early next week as easterly flow decreases.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 77 86 76 88 / 40 50 60 70 West Kendall 75 88 74 89 / 40 50 60 70 Opa-Locka 76 88 75 89 / 40 50 60 70 Homestead 77 87 76 88 / 50 50 70 70 Fort Lauderdale 76 85 77 86 / 40 50 60 70 N Ft Lauderdale 76 85 77 87 / 40 50 60 70 Pembroke Pines 77 89 77 91 / 40 50 60 70 West Palm Beach 75 86 74 88 / 40 50 50 60 Boca Raton 75 86 76 89 / 40 50 60 70 Naples 74 93 74 93 / 20 60 50 60
MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday evening for FLZ168-172-173.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ650-651-670- 671.
GM...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KHST HOMESTEAD ARB,FL | 5 sm | 38 min | ENE 10 | 10 sm | Clear | 81°F | 72°F | 74% | 30.04 | |
| KTMB MIAMI EXECUTIVE,FL | 16 sm | 40 min | E 13 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 81°F | 72°F | 74% | 30.05 |
Turkey Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:25 AM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:50 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:55 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:19 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT 1.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:25 AM EDT 0.13 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:50 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT 1.64 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:55 PM EDT -0.05 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:19 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 07:27 PM EDT 1.71 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:08 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Turkey Point, Biscayne Bay, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.3 |
| 1 am |
| 0.1 |
| 2 am |
| 0.2 |
| 3 am |
| 0.4 |
| 4 am |
| 0.8 |
| 5 am |
| 1.3 |
| 6 am |
| 1.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.5 |
| 9 am |
| 1.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 0 |
| 2 pm |
| -0 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 1 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Caesar Creek
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:55 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 03:39 AM EDT 0.99 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:42 AM EDT -1.95 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:21 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:17 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:55 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:49 AM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 03:39 AM EDT 0.99 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:42 AM EDT -1.95 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:21 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 03:18 PM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT 1.38 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:17 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:07 PM EDT Sunset
Sat -- 10:28 PM EDT -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Caesar Creek, Biscayne Bay, Florida Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.7 |
| 1 am |
| 0 |
| 2 am |
| 0.6 |
| 3 am |
| 0.9 |
| 4 am |
| 1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.8 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| -0.6 |
| 8 am |
| -1.4 |
| 9 am |
| -1.9 |
| 10 am |
| -1.9 |
| 11 am |
| -1.7 |
| 12 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| -1.3 |
| 10 pm |
| -1.7 |
| 11 pm |
| -1.7 |
Miami, FL,
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